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As cryptocurrencies gain popularity and credibility, marketplaces for cryptocurrencies are growing in importance. Understanding the dynamics of these markets can help to assess how viable the cryptocurrnency ecosystem is and how design…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-04-25 Peter M Krafft , Nicolás Della Penna , Alex Pentland

This paper introduces new methods to study behaviours among the 52 largest cryptocurrencies between 01-01-2019 and 30-06-2021. First, we explore evolutionary correlation behaviours and apply a recently proposed turning point algorithm to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-15 Nick James , Max Menzies

Being archetypal complex systems, financial markets exhibit rich set of dynamics in their interactions. In this paper, we focus on the recently evolved cryptocurrency market as an example of a complex system and analyse the evolution of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-23 Vishwas Kukreti

We address the challenge of learning safe and robust decision policies in presence of uncertainty in context of the real scientific problem of adaptive resource oversubscription to enhance resource efficiency while ensuring safety against…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Lu Wang , Mayukh Das , Fangkai Yang , Chao Duo , Bo Qiao , Hang Dong , Si Qin , Chetan Bansal , Qingwei Lin , Saravan Rajmohan , Dongmei Zhang , Qi Zhang

Cryptocurrency markets are characterized by extreme volatility, making accurate forecasts essential for effective risk management and informed trading strategies. Traditional deterministic (point) forecasting methods are inadequate for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-25 Grzegorz Dudek , Witold Orzeszko , Piotr Fiszeder

This study identifies the key factors influencing the price movements of major cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin, Binance Coin, Ethereum, Litecoin, Ripple, and Tether, using Bayesian networks (BNs). This study addresses two key challenges:…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-22 Rasoul Amirzadeh , Asef Nazari , Dhananjay Thiruvady , Mong Shan Ee

This study employs an event study methodology to investigate the market impact of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission's (SEC) classification of crypto assets as securities. It explores how SEC interventions influence asset returns…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-04 Aman Saggu , Lennart Ante , Kaja Kopiec

The review introduces the history of cryptocurrencies, offering a description of the blockchain technology behind them. Differences between cryptocurrencies and the exchanges on which they are traded have been shown. The central part…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-10 Marcin Wątorek , Stanisław Drożdż , Jarosław Kwapień , Ludovico Minati , Paweł Oświęcimka , Marek Stanuszek

We show Bitcoin implied volatility on a 5 minute time horizon is modestly predictable from price, volatility momentum and alternative data including sentiment and engagement. Lagged Bitcoin index price and volatility movements contribute to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-30 Faizaan Pervaiz , Christopher Goh , Ashley Pennington , Samuel Holt , James West , Shaun Ng

Portfolio management is the decision-making process of allocating an amount of fund into different financial investment products. Cryptocurrencies are electronic and decentralized alternatives to government-issued money, with Bitcoin as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-12 Zhengyao Jiang , Jinjun Liang

We focus on the problem of market making in high-frequency trading. Market making is a critical function in financial markets that involves providing liquidity by buying and selling assets. However, the increasing complexity of financial…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-03 Jiafa He , Cong Zheng , Can Yang

Cryptocurrencies are an emerging economic force, but there are concerns about their security. This is due, in part, to complex collusion cases and new threat vectors that could be missed by conventional security assessment strategies. To…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-08-27 Ghada Almashaqbeh , Allison Bishop , Justin Cappos

Cryptocurrencies, such as Bitcoin, are becoming increasingly popular, having been widely used as an exchange medium in areas such as financial transaction and asset transfer verification. However, there has been a lack of solutions that can…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-03-12 Shubhankar Mohapatra , Nauman Ahmed , Paulo Alencar

Extreme volatility, nonlinear dependencies, and systemic fragility are characteristics of cryptocurrency markets. The assumptions of normality and centralized control in traditional financial risk models frequently cause them to miss these…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-15 Kiarash Firouzi

This study provides a practical introduction to high-frequency trading in blockchain-based currency markets. These types of markets have some specific characteristics that differentiate them from the stock markets, such as a large number of…

General Economics · Economics 2023-04-19 Vittorio Astarita

This paper distinguishes between risk resonance and risk diversification relationships in the cryptocurrency market based on the newly developed asymmetric breakpoint approach, and analyzes the risk propagation mechanism among…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-19 Wenjie Lan

The role of cryptocurrencies within the financial systems has been expanding rapidly in recent years among investors and institutions. It is therefore crucial to investigate the phenomena and develop statistical methods able to capture…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-22 Beatrice Foroni , Luca Merlo , Lea Petrella

Cryptocurrencies have gained popularity across various sectors, especially in finance and investment. Despite their growing popularity, cryptocurrencies can be a high-risk investment due to their price volatility. The inherent volatility in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Rasoul Amirzadeh , Dhananjay Thiruvady , Asef Nazari , Mong Shan Ee

This study investigates the relationship between narratives conveyed through microblogging platforms, namely Twitter, and the value of crypto assets. Our study provides a unique technique to build narratives about cryptocurrency by…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-12 Lubdhak Mondal , Udeshya Raj , Abinandhan S , Began Gowsik S , Sarwesh P , Abhijeet Chandra

Predicting cryptocurrency price trends remains a major challenge due to the volatility and complexity of digital asset markets. Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a powerful tool to address this problem. This study proposes a…