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Related papers: Uncertainty quantification in sunspot counts

200 papers

There are four important facts about solar neutrinos. They are listed in order of importance in this abstract and discussed more in the text of the talk. First, solar neutrinos have been detected in four experiments with approximately the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-02-03 John N. Bahcall

We have studied the relationship between three different versions of the sunspot number (Group, International and American sunspot number) and the number of active days (i.e., the number of days with spots on the solar disk). We have…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-18 J. M. Vaquero , S. Gutiérrez-López , A. Szelecka

Records of sunspots and aurora observations in pre-telescopic historical documents can provide useful information about solar activity in the past. This is also true for extreme space weather events, as they may have been recorded as large…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-29 Hisashi Hayakawa , Harufumi Tamazawa , Akito D Kawamura , Hiroaki Isobe

The prediction of solar activity is important for advanced technologies and space activities. The peak sunspot number (SSN), which can represent the solar activity, has declined continuously in the past four solar cycles (21$-$24), and the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-10-08 S. -S. Wu , G. Qin

New sunspot data composites, some of which are radically different in the character of their long-term variation, are evaluated over the interval 1845-2014. The method commonly used to calibrate historic sunspot data, relative to modern-day…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-06-22 Mike Lockwood , Mathew J. Owens , Luke A. Barnard , Ilya G. Usoskin

The prediction of the strength of future solar cycles is of interest because of its practical significance for space weather and as a test of our theoretical understanding of the solar cycle. The Babcock-Leighton mechanism allows…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-08-29 Jie Jiang , Jing-Xiu Wang , Qi-Rong Jiao , Jin-Bin Cao

Sunspot groups observed in white-light appear as complex structures. Analysis of these structures is usually based on simple morphological descriptors which capture only generic properties and miss information about fine details. We present…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-02-23 Egor Illarionov , Andrey Tlatov

The aim of this work is to create a long (410 years) series of average annual total sunspot areas AR - physically-based index of sunspot activity. We used telescopic observations of the AR index in 1832-1868 and 1875-2020, as well as the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-07-07 Yury A. Nagovitsyn , Aleksandra A. Osipova

Since the late 1970s, successive satellite missions have been monitoring the sun's activity and recording the total solar irradiance (TSI). Some of these measurements have lasted for more than a decade. In order to obtain a seamless record…

More than 70 years ago it was recognised that ionospheric F2-layer critical frequencies $foF2$ had a strong relationship to sunspot number. Using historic datasets from the Slough and Washington ionosondes, we evaluate the best statistical…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-03-23 M. Lockwood , C. J. Scott , M. J. Owens , L. Barnard , D. M. Willis

This paper deals with the analysis of sunspot number time series using the Hurst exponent. We use the rescaled range (R/S) analysis to estimate the Hurst exponent for 259-year and 11360-year sunspot data. The results show a varying degree…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-14 Vinita Suyal , Awadhesh Prasad , Harinder P. Singh

We use the historic record of sunspot groups compiled by the Royal Greenwich Observatory together with the sunspot number to derive the statistical properties of sunspot group emergence in dependence of cycle phase and strength. In…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-27 Jie Jiang , Robert H. Cameron , Dieter Schmitt , Manfred Schuessler

While sunspots are easily observed at the solar surface, determining their subsurface structure is not trivial. There are two main hypotheses for the subsurface structure of sunspots: the monolithic model and the cluster model. Local…

Sunspots are a canonical marker of the Sun's internal magnetic field which flips polarity every ~22-years. The principal variation of sunspots, an ~11-year variation in number, modulates the amount of magnetic field that pierces the solar…

The sunspot activity is the end result of the cyclic destruction and regeneration of magnetic fields by the dynamo action. We propose a new method to analyze the daily sunspot areas data recorded since 1874. By computing the power spectral…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-20 Ilidio Lopes , Hugo G. Silva

Recent precise observations of solar global parameters are used to calibrate an upgraded solar model which takes into account magnetic fields in the solar interior. Historical data about sunspot numbers (from 1500 to the present) and solar…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-24 Sabatino Sofia , Linghuai H. Li

We use archival daily spot coverage measurements from Howard et al. (1984) to study the rotational modulation of the Sun as though it were a distant star. A quasi-periodic Gaussian process measures the solar rotation period $P_\mathrm{rot}…

The solar cycle periodically reshapes the magnetic structure and radiative output of the Sun and determines its impact on the heliosphere roughly every 11 years. Besides this main periodicity, it shows century-long variations (including…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-03-23 A. Munoz-Jaramillo , J. M. Vaquero

The solar astrolabe at Observatorio Nacional has been doing a series of solar semidiameter measurements, extending from 1998 up to 2009, to a total of 21640 observations of the Sun. Using the data series it was established the solar radius…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-01-10 Sérgio Calderari Boscardin

Hoyt & Schatten (1998) claim that Simon Marius would have observed the sun from 1617 Jun 7 to 1618 Dec 31 (Gregorian calendar) all days, except three short gaps in 1618, but would never have detected a sunspot -- based on a quotation from…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-07-20 Ralph Neuhaeuser , Dagmar L. Neuhaeuser