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The goal of this research is to derive an approach to assess uncertainty in an arbitrary volume conditioned by sampling data, without using geostatistical simulation. We have accomplished this goal by deriving an numerical tool suitable for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-22 Alvaro I. Riquelme , Julian M. Ortiz

Understanding $\textit{galaxy bias}$ -- that is the statistical relation between matter and galaxies -- is of key importance for extracting cosmological information from galaxy surveys. While the bias function $f$ -- that is the probability…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-05 Jens Stücker , Marcos Pellejero-Ibáñez , Rodrigo Voivodic , Raul E. Angulo

A product of two Gaussians (or normal distributions) is another Gaussian. That's a valuable and useful fact! Here we use it to derive a refactoring of a common product of multivariate Gaussians: The product of a Gaussian likelihood times a…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-01 David W. Hogg , Adrian M. Price-Whelan , Boris Leistedt

Set-valued quantiles for multivariate distributions with respect to a general convex cone are introduced which are based on a family of (univariate) distribution functions rather than on the joint distribution function. It is shown that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-14 Andreas H Hamel , Daniel Kostner

We survey the properties of the log-correlated Gaussian field (LGF), which is a centered Gaussian random distribution (generalized function) $h$ on $\mathbb R^d$, defined up to a global additive constant. Its law is determined by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-22 Bertrand Duplantier , Rémi Rhodes , Scott Sheffield , Vincent Vargas

The probability density function (PDF) of some global average quantity plays a fundamental role in critical and highly correlated systems. We explicitly compute this quantity as a function of the magnetization for the two dimensional XY…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2009-12-03 G. Palma , D. Zambrano

We introduce new families of Integral Probability Metrics (IPM) for training Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN). Our IPMs are based on matching statistics of distributions embedded in a finite dimensional feature space. Mean and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-06-12 Youssef Mroueh , Tom Sercu , Vaibhava Goel

Mirror Descent is a popular algorithm, that extends Gradients Descent (GD) beyond the Euclidean geometry. One of its benefits is to enable strong convergence guarantees through smooth-like analyses, even for objectives with exploding or…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Hadrien Hendrikx

Current tools for multivariate density estimation struggle when the density is concentrated near a nonlinear subspace or manifold. Most approaches require choice of a kernel, with the multivariate Gaussian by far the most commonly used.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-07 Minerva Mukhopadhyay , Didong Li , David B Dunson

Composite likelihood usually ignores dependencies among response components, while variational approximation to likelihood ignores dependencies among parameter components. We derive a Gaussian variational approximation to the composite…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Libai Xu , Nancy Reid , Dehan Kong

One of the fundamental tasks of science is to find explainable relationships between observed phenomena. One approach to this task that has received attention in recent years is based on probabilistic graphical modelling with sparsity…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-16 Peter Orchard , Felix Agakov , Amos Storkey

Non-Gaussian likelihoods are essential for modelling complex real-world observations but pose significant computational challenges in learning and inference. Even with Gaussian priors, non-Gaussian likelihoods often lead to analytically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-29 Thang D. Bui

Graphical models such as Markov random fields (MRFs) that are associated with undirected graphs, and Bayesian networks (BNs) that are associated with directed acyclic graphs, have proven to be a very popular approach for reasoning under…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-20 Ilya Shpitser

The projected normal distribution, also known as the angular Gaussian distribution, is obtained by dividing a multivariate normal random variable $\mathbf{x}$ by its norm $\sqrt{\mathbf{x}^T \mathbf{x}}$. The resulting random variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Daniel Herrera-Esposito , Johannes Burge

The composition of multiple Gaussian Processes as a Deep Gaussian Process (DGP) enables a deep probabilistic nonparametric approach to flexibly tackle complex machine learning problems with sound quantification of uncertainty. Existing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-02 Kurt Cutajar , Edwin V. Bonilla , Pietro Michiardi , Maurizio Filippone

In this paper we propose a family of multivariate asymmetric distributions over an arbitrary subset of set of real numbers which is defined in terms of the well-known elliptically symmetric distributions. We explore essential properties,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-02 Roberto Vila , Helton Saulo , Leonardo Santos , João Monteiros , Felipe Quintino

Approximating complex probability distributions, such as Bayesian posterior distributions, is of central interest in many applications. We study the expressivity of geometric Gaussian approximations. These consist of approximations by…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2025-07-02 Nathaël Da Costa , Bálint Mucsányi , Philipp Hennig

We study frequentist risk properties of predictive density estimators for mean mixtures of multivariate normal distributions, involving an unknown location parameter $\theta \in \mathbb{R}^d$, and which include multivariate skew normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-02 Pankaj Bhagwat , Eric Marchand

One of the main modeling in many data science applications is the Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM), and Mean Field Variational Bayesian Inference (MFVBI) is classically used for approximate fast computation. In this paper, we provide a…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2026-01-07 Alireza Bahraini , Saeed Sadeghi

Gaussian Markov random fields (GMRFs) are probabilistic graphical models widely used in spatial statistics and related fields to model dependencies over spatial structures. We establish a formal connection between GMRFs and convolutional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-11 Per Sidén , Fredrik Lindsten