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This article studies the quasi-stationary behaviour of multidimensional birth and death processes, modeling the interaction between several species, absorbed when one of the coordinates hits 0. We study models where the absorption rate is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-14 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

The sterile insect technique (SIT) is a biological control method aimed at reducing or eliminating populations of pests or disease vectors. This technique involves releasing sterilised insects which, by mating with wild individuals, will…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Pierre-Alexandre Bliman , Manon de la Tousche , Yves Dumont

In the multitype contact process, vertices of a graph can be empty or occupied by a type 1 or a type 2 individual; an individual of type $i$ dies with rate 1 and sends a descendant to a neighboring empty site with rate $\lambda_i$. We study…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Thomas Mountford , Pedro Luis Barrios Pantoja , Daniel Valesin

Stochastic discrete-time SIS and SIR models of endemic diseases are introduced and analyzed. For the deterministic, mean-field model, the basic reproductive number $R_0$ determines their global dynamics. If $R_0\le 1$, then the frequency of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-19 Sebastian J. Schreiber , Shuo Huang , Jifa Jiang , Hao Wang

The sterile insect technique (SIT) is a technique to control pests and vectors of diseases by releasing mainly sterile males. Several challenges need to be solved before large-scale field application in order to guarantee its success. In…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-10-23 Yves Dumont , Valaire Ivric Yatat-Djeumen

We are interested in the long-time behavior of a diploid population with sexual reproduction, characterized by its genotype composition at one bi-allelic locus. The population is modeled by a 3-dimensional birth-and-death process with…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-16 Camille Coron

There is now experimental evidence that nearest-neighbour interactions in flocks of birds are metric free, i.e. they have no characteristic interaction length scale. However, models that involve interactions between neighbours that are…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-22 Daniel J. G. Pearce , Matthew S. Turner

Realistic modeling of ecological population dynamics requires spatially explicit descriptions that can take into account spatial heterogeneity as well as long-distance dispersal. Here, we present Monte Carlo simulations and numerical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-10-07 R. Juhász , I. A. Kovács

We study a two dimensional version of Neuhauser's long range sexual reproduction model and prove results that give bounds on the critical values $\lambda_f$ for the process to survive from a finite set and $\lambda_e$ for the existence of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-28 Mariya Bessonov , Richard Durrett

A stochastic birth-death competition model for particles with excluded volume is proposed. The particles move, reproduce, and die on a regular lattice. While the death rate is constant, the birth rate is spatially nonlocal and implements…

Biological Physics · Physics 2017-06-29 Nagi Khalil , Cristóbal López , Emilio Hernández-García

In this study, a new and natural way of constructing a stochastic Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) model is proposed. This approach is natural in the sense that the disease transmission rate, $\beta$, is substituted with a generic,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Berk Tan Perçin

We consider the extinction regime in the spatial stochastic logistic model in $\mathbb{R}^d$ (a.k.a. Bolker--Pacala--Dieckmann--Law model of spatial populations) using the first-order perturbation beyond the mean-field equation. In space…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-07 Dmitri Finkelshtein

This article is concerned with a version of the contact process with sexual reproduction on a graph with two levels of interactions modeling metapopulations. The population is spatially distributed into patches and offspring are produced in…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-26 Nicolas Lanchier

Consider a birth and death chain to model the number of types of a given virus. Each type gives birth to a new type at rate $\lambda$ and dies at rate 1. Each type is also assigned a fitness. When a death occurs either the least fit type…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-29 J. T. Cox , R. B. Schinazi

Consider the following stochastic model for immune response. Each pathogen gives birth to a new pathogen at rate $\lambda$. When a new pathogen is born, it has the same type as its parent with probability $1 - r$. With probability $r$, a…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Thomas M. Liggett , Rinaldo B. Schinazi , Jason Schweinsberg

We study a general class of birth-and-death processes with state space $\mathbb{N}$ that describes the size of a population going to extinction with probability one. This class contains the logistic case. The scale of the population is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-20 J. -R. Chazottes , P. Collet , S. Méléard

This paper is concerned with a stochastic model for the spread of an SEIR (susceptible -> exposed (=latent) -> infective -> removed) epidemic with a contact tracing scheme, in which removed individuals may name some of their infectious…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-08 Frank G Ball , Edward S Knock , Philip D O'Neill

The ordinary contact process is used to model the spread of a disease in a population. In this model, each infected individual waits an exponentially distributed time with parameter 1 before becoming healthy. In this paper, we introduce and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Erik I. Broman

We study the discrete-time dynamical systems associated to a stage-structured wild and sterile mosquito population. We describe all fixed points of the evolution operator (which depends on five parameters) of mosquito population and show…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-02-28 Z. S. Boxonov , U. A. Rozikov

We consider a stochastic model of infection spread on the complete graph on $N$ vertices incorporating dynamic partnerships, which we assume to be monogamous. This can be seen as a variation on the contact process in which some form of edge…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-23 Eric Foxall , Roderick Edwards , P. van den Driessche