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The negative binomial distribution has been widely used as a more flexible model than the Poisson distribution for count data. However, when the true data-generating process is Poisson, it is often challenging to distinguish it from a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-07 Yingying Yang , Niloufar Dousti Mousavi , Zhou Yu , Jie Yang

The sum of $n$ {non-independent} Bernoulli random variables could be modeled in several different ways. One of these is the Multiplicative Binomial Distribution (MBD), introduced by Altham (1978) and revised by Lovison (1998). In this work,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-26 Francesca Fortunato

A new multivariate distribution possessing arbitrarily parametrized and positively dependent univariate Pareto margins is introduced. Unlike the probability law of Asimit et al. (2010) [Asimit, V., Furman, E. and Vernic, R. (2010) On a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-19 Jianxi Su , Edward Furman

We introduce and study a subclass of joint Bernoulli distributions which has the palindromic property. For such distributions the vector of joint probabilities is unchanged when the order of the elements is reversed. We prove for binary…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-06 Giovanni M. Marchetti , Nanny Wermuth

We study the probability distribution of the value of geometric Brownian motion at the stochastic observation time. It is known that the exponentially distributed observation time yields the distribution called the double Pareto…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Ken Yamamoto , Takashi Bando , Hirokazu Yanagawa , Yorhihiro Yamazaki

Possible parameter values in a random sampling model are shown by definition to have uniform base-rate prior probabilities. This allows a frequentist posterior probability distribution to be calculated for such possible parameter values…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-02-14 Huw Llewelyn

A new algorithm is developed to tackle the issue of sampling non-Gaussian model parameter posterior probability distributions that arise from solutions to Bayesian inverse problems. The algorithm aims to mitigate some of the hurdles faced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-19 Leen Alawieh , Jonathan Goodman , John B. Bell

Using a hierarchical construction, we develop methods for a wide and flexible class of models by taking a fully parametric approach to generalized linear mixed models with complex covariance dependence. The Laplace approximation is used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-31 Jay M. Ver Hoef , Eryn Blagg , Michael Dumelle , Philip M. Dixon , Dale L. Zimmerman , Paul Conn

This paper proposes famillies of multimatricvariate and multimatrix variate distributions based on elliptically contoured laws in the context of real normed division algebras. The work allows to answer the following inference problems about…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-14 José A. Díaz-García , Francisco J. Caro-Lopera

Particle filters are a frequent choice for inference tasks in nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space models. They can either be used for state inference by approximating the filtering distribution or for parameter inference by approximating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Domonkos Csuzdi , Olivér Törő , Tamás Bécsi

Multivariate categorical data occur in many applications of machine learning. One of the main difficulties with these vectors of categorical variables is sparsity. The number of possible observations grows exponentially with vector length,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-10 Yarin Gal , Yutian Chen , Zoubin Ghahramani

We define a message-passing algorithm for computing magnetizations in Restricted Boltzmann machines, which are Ising models on bipartite graphs introduced as neural network models for probability distributions over spin configurations. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-02 Burak Çakmak , Manfred Opper

In this paper, a generalization for the Birnbaum Saunders distribution, which has been applied to the modelling of fatigue failure times and reliability studies, is considered. The maximum likelihood estimators and statistical inference for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-06 Beenu Thomas , Chacko V M

This paper is devoted to a fractional generalization of the Dirichlet distribution. The form of the multivariate distribution is derived assuming that the $n$ partitions of the interval $[0,W_n]$ are independent and identically distributed…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-17 Elvira Di Nardo , Federico Polito , Enrico Scalas

This paper presents a framework for binary autoregressive time series in which each observation is a Bernoulli variable whose success probability evolves with past outcomes and probabilities, in the spirit of GARCH-type dynamics,…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-17 Anna Bykhovskaya , Nour Meddahi

We compare two statistical models of three binary random variables. One is a mixture model and the other is a product of mixtures model called a restricted Boltzmann machine. Although the two models we study look different from their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-18 Anna Seigal , Guido Montufar

We derive a parallel sampling algorithm for computational inverse problems that present an unknown linear forcing term and a vector of nonlinear parameters to be recovered. It is assumed that the data is noisy and that the linear part of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-24 Darko Volkov

We introduce a new family of one factor distributions for high-dimensional binary data. The model provides an explicit probability for each event, thus avoiding the numeric approximations often made by existing methods. Model interpretation…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-05 Matthieu Marbac , Mohammed Sedki

We propose a bivariate model for a pair of dependent unit vectors which is generated by Brownian motion. Both marginals have uniform distributions on the sphere, while the conditionals follow so-called ``exit'' distributions. Some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-08 Shogo Kato

There are many advantages to use probability method for nonlinear system identification, such as the noises and outliers in the data set do not affect the probability models significantly; the input features can be extracted in probability…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-06-08 Erick de la Rosa , Wen Yu