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Related papers: Transfer Graph Neural Networks for Pandemic Foreca…

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Infectious disease forecasting has been a key focus and proved to be crucial in controlling epidemic. A recent trend is to develop forecast-ing models based on graph neural networks (GNNs). However, existing GNN-based methods suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Mingjie Qiu , Zhiyi Tan , Bing-kun Bao

The SARS-CoV-2 infectious outbreak has rapidly spread across the globe and precipitated varying policies to effectuate physical distancing to ameliorate its impact. In this study, we propose a new hybrid machine learning model, SIRNet, for…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-23 Nicholas Soures , David Chambers , Zachariah Carmichael , Anurag Daram , Dimpy P. Shah , Kal Clark , Lloyd Potter , Dhireesha Kudithipudi

A system to model the spread of COVID-19 cases after lockdown has been proposed, to define new preventive measures based on hotspots, using the graph clustering algorithm. This method allows for more lenient measures in areas less prone to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Varun Nagesh Jolly Behera , Ashish Ranjan , Motahar Reza

The novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has posed unprecedented challenges for the utilities and grid operators around the world. In this work, we focus on the problem of load forecasting. With strict social distancing restrictions, power…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-17 Yize Chen , Weiwei Yang , Baosen Zhang

Developing methods to analyse infection spread is an important step in the study of pandemic and containing them. The principal mode for geographical spreading of pandemics is the movement of population across regions. We are interested in…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-11-11 Sudeepini Darapu , Subrata Ghosh , Abhishek Senapati , Chittaranjan Hens , Santosh Nannuru

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected countries across the world, demanding drastic public health policies to mitigate the spread of infection, leading to economic crisis as a collateral damage. In this work, we investigated the impact of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Syed Rizvi , Akash Awasthi , Maria J. Peláez , Zhihui Wang , Vittorio Cristini , Hien Van Nguyen , Prashant Dogra

Graph neural networks (GNNs) build on the success of deep learning models by extending them for use in graph spaces. Transfer learning has proven extremely successful for traditional deep learning problems: resulting in faster training and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-03 Nishai Kooverjee , Steven James , Terence van Zyl

Dynamic interactions between entities are prevalent in domains like social platforms, financial systems, healthcare, and e-commerce. These interactions can be effectively represented as time-evolving graphs, where predicting future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Sidharth Agarwal , Tanishq Dubey , Shubham Gupta , Srikanta Bedathur

The COVID-19 pandemic has claimed millions of lives, spurring the development of diverse forecasting models. In this context, the true utility of complex spatio-temporal architectures versus simpler temporal baselines remains a subject of…

Coronavirus outbreak is one of the most challenging pandemics for the entire human population of the planet Earth. Techniques such as the isolation of infected persons and maintaining social distancing are the only preventive measures…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-09-01 Rahul Mishra , Hari Prabhat Gupta , Tanima Dutta

Epidemic outcomes have a complex interplay with human behavior and beliefs. Most of the forecasting literature has focused on the task of predicting epidemic signals using simple mechanistic models or black-box models, such as deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Mulin Tian , Ajitesh Srivastava

Emerging in December 2019, the COVID-19 pandemic caused widespread health, economic, and social disruptions. Rapid global transmission overwhelmed healthcare systems, resulting in high infection rates, hospitalisations, and fatalities. To…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-08 Zacharias Komodromos , Kleanthis Malialis , Panayiotis Kolios

The Novel Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a fatal infectious disease, first recognized in December 2019 in Wuhan, Hubei, China, and has gone on an epidemic situation. Under these circumstances, it became more important to detect…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-20 Pramit Dutta , Tanny Roy , Nafisa Anjum

Millions of people have been infected and lakhs of people have lost their lives due to the worldwide ongoing novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic. It is of utmost importance to identify the future infected cases and the virus spread rate…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-05-04 Naresh Kumar , Seba Susan

The rapid spread of COVID-19 disease has had a significant impact on the world. In this paper, we study COVID-19 data interpretation and visualization using open-data sources for 351 cities and towns in Massachusetts from December 6, 2020…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-08-04 Ru Geng , Yixian Gao , Hongkun Zhang , Jian Zu

Accurate epidemic forecasting is crucial for effective disease control and prevention. Traditional compartmental models often struggle to estimate temporally and spatially varying epidemiological parameters, while deep learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Shuai Han , Lukas Stelz , Thomas R. Sokolowski , Kai Zhou , Horst Stöcker

Forecasting the evolution of contagion dynamics is still an open problem to which mechanistic models only offer a partial answer. To remain mathematically or computationally tractable, these models must rely on simplifying assumptions,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-18 Charles Murphy , Edward Laurence , Antoine Allard

The significant increase in world population and urbanisation has brought several important challenges, in particular regarding the sustainability, maintenance and planning of urban mobility. At the same time, the exponential increase of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-28 João Rico , José Barateiro , Arlindo Oliveira

The ongoing Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic threatens the health of humans and causes great economic losses. Predictive modelling and forecasting the epidemic trends are essential for developing countermeasures to mitigate this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-01 Ling Xue , Shuanglin Jing , Joel C. Miller , Wei Sun , Huafeng Li , Jose Guillermo Estrada-Franco , James M Hyman , Huaiping Zhu

The world is still overwhelmed by the spread of the COVID-19 virus. With over 250 Million infected cases as of November 2021 and affecting 219 countries and territories, the world remains in the pandemic period. Detecting COVID-19 using the…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-27 Gargi Desai , Nelly Elsayed , Zag Elsayed , Murat Ozer