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In basketball, every time the offense produces a shot opportunity the player with the ball must decide whether the shot is worth taking. In this paper, I explore the question of when a team should shoot and when they should pass up the shot…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-01-30 Brian Skinner

Box score statistics in the National Basketball Association are used to measure and evaluate player performance. Some of these statistics are subjective in nature and since box score statistics are recorded by scorekeepers hired by the home…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-10 Matthew van Bommel , Luke Bornn

In many competitive settings, from education to politics, rules do not reward effort evenly, and thresholds (e.g., grade cutoffs or electoral majorities) make some moments disproportionately important. Success thus depends on efficiently…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Masatsugu Yoshizawa , Yuta Kawamoto , Daisuke Takeshita

Quitting games are one of the simplest stochastic games in which at any stage each player has only two possible actions, continue and quit. The game ends as soon as at least one player chooses to quit. The players then receive a payoff,…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-13 Katharina Fischer

Pace of play is an important characteristic in hockey as well as other team sports. We provide the first comprehensive study of pace within the sport of hockey, focusing on how teams and players impact pace in different regions of the ice,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-07 David Yu , Christopher Boucher , Luke Bornn , Mehrsan Javan

From 2020 to 2023, Major League Baseball changed rules affecting team composition, player positioning, and game time. Understanding the effects of these rules is crucial for leagues, teams, players, and other relevant parties to assess…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-17 Lee Kennedy-Shaffer

This article shows how coworker performance affects individual performance evaluation in a teamwork setting at the workplace. We use high-quality data on football matches to measure an important component of individual performance, shooting…

General Economics · Economics 2024-03-25 Enzo Brox , Michael Lechner

Estimating total treatment effects in the presence of network interference typically requires knowledge of the underlying interaction structure. However, in many practical settings, network data is either unavailable, incomplete, or…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Albert Tan , Sadegh Shirani , James Nordlund , Mohsen Bayati

In the realm of competitive sports, understanding the performance dynamics of athletes, represented by the age curve (showing progression, peak, and decline), is vital. Our research introduces a novel framework for quantifying age-specific…

Applications · Statistics 2024-02-21 Shinpei Nakamura-Sakai , Laura Forastiere , Brian Macdonald

In soccer, game context can result in skewing offensive statistics in ways that might misrepresent how well a team has played. For instance, in England's 1-2 loss to France in the 2022 FIFA World Cup quarterfinal, England attempted…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-07 Andrey Skripnikov , Ahmet Cemek , David Gillman

Various social dilemma games that follow different strategy updating rules have been studied on many networks.The reported results span the entire spectrum, from significantly boosting,to marginally affecting,to seriously decreasing the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-17 Qiang Zhang , Tianxiao Qi , Keqiang Li , Zengru Di , Jinshan Wu

Mean-payoff games on timed automata are played on the infinite weighted graph of configurations of priced timed automata between two players, Player Min and Player Max, by moving a token along the states of the graph to form an infinite…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-01-16 Shibashis Guha , Marcin Jurdzinski , Krishna S. , Ashutosh Trivedi

The influence of a fixed number of agents with the same fixed behavior on the dynamics of the minority game is studied. Alternatively, the system studied can be considered the minority game with a change in the comfort threshold away from…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 M. A. R. de Cara , F. Guinea

Do NFL teams make rational decisions? What factors potentially affect the probability of wining a game in NFL? How can a team come back from a demoralizing interception? In this study we begin by examining the hypothesis of rational…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-08 Konstantinos Pelechrinis , Evangelos Papalexakis

We analyze how coaching strategies affect goal difference and home win probabilities using hand-coded Serie A match commentary (2011/12--2013/14). Our dataset captures in-game dynamics, referee actions, and team behavior. Applying…

We study the time dependent cross correlations of stock returns, i.e. we measure the correlation as the function of the time shift between pairs of stock return time series using tick-by-tick data. We find a weak but significant effect…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 L. Kullmann , J. Kertesz , K. Kaski

We implement a propensity score matching technique to present the first evidence on the impact of labor supply decisions during labor disputes on worker productivity in the context of professional sports. In particular, we utilize a unique…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-29 Qi Ge , Michael J. Lopez

Evolutionary dynamics provides an iconic relationship --- the periodic frequency of a game is determined by the payoff matrix of the game. This paper reports the first experimental evidence to demonstrate this relationship. Evidence comes…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-03-20 Bin Xu , Shuang Wang , Zhijian Wang

Implicit biases occur automatically and unintentionally and are particularly present when we have to make split second decisions. One such situations appears in refereeing, where referees have to make an instantaneous decision on a…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-11 Konstantinos Pelechrinis

There exists a simple, didactically useful one-to-one relationship between stopping times and adapted c\`agl\`ad (LCRL) processes that are non-increasing and take the values 0 and 1 only. As a consequence, stopping times are always hitting…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-30 Tom Fischer