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Let $\{\boldsymbol{X}_n\}$ be a discrete-time $d$-dimensional process on $\mathbb{Z}_+^d$ with a supplemental (background) process $\{J_n\}$ on a finite set and assume the joint process $\{\boldsymbol{Y}_n\}=\{(\boldsymbol{X}_n,J_n)\}$ to…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-17 Toshihisa Ozawa

Many probabilistic inference problems such as stochastic filtering or the computation of rare event probabilities require model analysis under initial and terminal constraints. We propose a solution to this bridging problem for the widely…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-28 Michael Backenköhler , Luca Bortolussi , Gerrit Großmann , Verena Wolf

Motivated by disease progression-related studies, we propose an estimation method for fitting general non-homogeneous multi-state Markov models. The proposal can handle many types of multi-state processes, with several states and various…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-22 Alessia Eletti , Giampiero Marra , Rosalba Radice

We consider a Markov jump process on a general state space to which we apply a time-dependent weak perturbation over a finite time interval. By martingale-based stochastic calculus, under a suitable exponential moment bound for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Alessandra Faggionato , Vittoria Silvestri

This paper investigates almost sure exponential stabilization of continuous-time Markov jump linear systems (MJLSs) under communication data-rate constraints by introducing sampling and quantization into the feedback control. Different from…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-10-29 Jingyi Wang , Jianwen Feng , Chen Xu , Xiaoqun Wu , Jinhu Lü

Robust Markov decision processes (RMDPs) extend standard Markov decision processes (MDPs) to account for uncertainty in the transition probabilities. RMDPs have an uncertainty set that defines a set of possible transition functions, each of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Marnix Suilen , Guillermo A. Pérez

This paper considers the problem of remote state estimation for Markov jump linear systems in the presence of uncertainty in the posterior mode probabilities. Such uncertainty may arise when the estimator receives noisy or incomplete…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-05 Ioannis Tzortzis , Themistoklis Charalambous , Charalambos D. Charalambous

Hybrid systems, and Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes in particular, are widely used to model and numerically study systems exhibiting multiple time scales in biochemical reaction kinetics and related areas. In this paper an almost…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2011-12-07 Martin G. Riedler

In modern life insurance, Markov processes in continuous time on a finite or at least countable state space have been over the years an important tool for the modelling of the states of an insured. Motivated by applications in disability…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-22 Emmanuel Coffie , Sindre Duedahl , Frank Proske

We study a finite-horizon covariance steering problem for discrete-time Markov jump linear systems (MJLS) with both state- and control-dependent multiplicative noise. The objective is to minimize a quadratic running cost while steering the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Fangji Wang , Siddhartha Ganguly , Panagiotis Tsiotras

We present the R package MSTest, which implements hypothesis testing procedures to identify the number of regimes in Markov switching models. These models have wide-ranging applications in economics, finance, and numerous other fields. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-14 Gabriel Rodriguez-Rondon , Jean-Marie Dufour

The Reversible Jump algorithm is one of the most widely used Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for Bayesian estimation and model selection. A generalized multiple-try version of this algorithm is proposed. The algorithm is based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-10-14 S. Pandolfi , F. Bartolucci , N. Friel

In this paper we present elementary computations for some Markov modulated counting processes, also called counting processes with regime switching. Regime switching has become an increasingly popular concept in many branches of science. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-27 Michel Mandjes , Peter Spreij

We propose a unified framework for robustly and adaptively stabilizing large-scale networked uncertain Markovian jump linear systems (MJLS) under external disturbances and mode switches that can change the network's topology. Adaptation is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-29 SooJean Han , Minwoo M. Kim , Ieun Choo

There exist several methods for simulating biological and physical systems as represented by chemical reaction networks. Systems with low numbers of particles are frequently modelled as discrete-state Markov jump processes and are typically…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-24 Joshua C. Kynaston , Christian A Yates , Anna Hekkink , Chris Guiver

We investigate a piecewise-deterministic Markov process, evolving on a Polish metric space, whose deterministic behaviour between random jumps is governed by some semi-flow, and any state right after the jump is attained by a randomly…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-04 Dawid Czapla , Sander C. Hille , Katarzyna Horbacz , Hanna Wojewódka-Ściążko

We show a methodology for the computation of the probability of deadline miss for a periodic real-time task scheduled by a resource reservation algorithm. We propose a modelling technique for the system that reduces the computation of such…

Performance · Computer Science 2016-04-28 Luigi Palopoli , Daniele Fontanelli , Luca Abeni , Bernardo Villalba Frías

Markov jump processes are continuous-time stochastic processes which describe dynamical systems evolving in discrete state spaces. These processes find wide application in the natural sciences and machine learning, but their inference is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 David Berghaus , Kostadin Cvejoski , Patrick Seifner , Cesar Ojeda , Ramses J. Sanchez

A powerful time series analysis modeling technique is presented to describe cycle-to-cycle variability in memristors. These devices show variability linked to the inherent stochasticity of device operation and it needs to be accurately…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2024-02-08 Francisco J. Alonso , David Maldonado , Ana M. Aguilera , Juan B. Roldán

In this paper we consider the problem of parameter inference for Markov jump process (MJP) representations of stochastic kinetic models. Since transition probabilities are intractable for most processes of interest yet forward simulation is…

Computation · Statistics 2014-09-16 Andrew Golightly , Darren J. Wilkinson