Related papers: Bootstrap method for misspecified ergodic L\'{e}vy…
We consider an SDE in R^m of the type dX(t)=a(X(t))dt+dU(t) with a L\'evy process U and study the problem for the distribution of a solution to be regular in various senses. We do not impose any specific conditions on the L\'evy measure of…
We develop and implement a novel fast bootstrap for dependent data. Our scheme is based on the i.i.d. resampling of the smoothed moment indicators. We characterize the class of parametric and semi-parametric estimation problems for which…
This paper develops bootstrap methods to construct uniform confidence bands for nonparametric spectral estimation of L\'{e}vy densities under high-frequency observations. We assume that we observe $n$ discrete observations at frequency…
We study accuracy of bootstrap procedures for estimation of quantiles of a smooth function of a sum of independent sub-Gaussian random vectors. We establish higher-order approximation bounds with error terms depending on a sample size and a…
In the usual Bayesian setting, a full probabilistic model is required to link the data and parameters, and the form of this model and the inference and prediction mechanisms are specified via de Finetti's representation. In general, such a…
We quantify the uncertainty of the L\"ammer model of damage evolution when fitted to (noisy) observations of damage evolution in cyclic fatigue experiments with and without dwell time. We therefore develop a bootstrap method by sampling…
To address the difficult problem of multi-step ahead prediction of non-parametric autoregressions, we consider a forward bootstrap approach. Employing a local constant estimator, we can analyze a general type of non-parametric time series…
Hierarchical probabilistic models, such as Gaussian mixture models, are widely used for unsupervised learning tasks. These models consist of observable and latent variables, which represent the observable data and the underlying…
Bayesian inference provides a framework to combine various model components with shared parameters, allowing joint uncertainty estimation and the use of all available data sources. Unfortunately, misspecification of any part of the model…
We propose an effective explicit numerical scheme for simulating solutions of stochastic differential equations with confining superlinear drift terms, driven by multiplicative heavy-tailed L\'evy noise. The scheme is designed to prevent…
The bootstrap, introduced by Efron (1982), has become a very popular method for estimating variances and constructing confidence intervals. A key insight is that one can approximate the properties of estimators by using the empirical…
Strict stationarity is a common assumption used in the time series literature in order to derive asymptotic distributional results for second-order statistics, like sample autocovariances and sample autocorrelations. Focusing on weak…
The Mallows-Binomial distribution is the first joint statistical model for rankings and ratings (Pearce and Erosheva, 2022). Because frequentist estimation of the model parameters and their uncertainty is challenging, it is natural to…
Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) or stochastic approximation has been widely used in model training and stochastic optimization. While there is a huge literature on analyzing its convergence, inference on the obtained solutions from SGD…
This paper considers stochastic population dynamics driven by Levy noise. The contributions of this paper lie in that (a) Using Khasminskii-Mao theorem, we show that the stochastic differential equation associated with the model has a…
We study the problem of parametric estimation for continuously observed stochastic differential equation driven by fractional Brownian motion. Under some assumptions on drift and diffusion coefficients, we construct maximum likelihood…
This paper presents a novel approach for approximate integration over the uncertainty of noise and signal variances in Gaussian process (GP) regression. Our efficient and straightforward approach can also be applied to integration over…
Efficient estimation of a non-Gaussian stable Levy process with drift and symmetric jumps observed at high frequency is considered. For this statistical experiment, the local asymptotic normality of the likelihood is proved with a…
This paper develops an asymptotic likelihood theory for triangular arrays of stationary Gaussian time series depending on a multidimensional unknown parameter. We give sufficient conditions for the associated sequence of statistical models…
Stochastic differential equations provide a powerful tool for modelling dynamic phenomena affected by random noise. In case of repeated observations of time series for several experimental units, it is often the case that some of the…