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We consider a general class of high order weak approximation schemes for stochastic differential equations driven by L\'evy processes with infinite activity. These schemes combine a compound Poisson approximation for the jump part of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-24 Arturo Kohatsu-Higa , Salvador Ortiz-Latorre , Peter Tankov

We consider stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by small L\'evy noise with some unknown parameters, and propose a new type of least squares estimators based on discrete samples from the SDEs. To approximate the increments of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Mitsuki Kobayashi , Yasutaka Shimizu

The article is devoted to the nonparametric estimation of the quadratic covariation of non-synchronously observed It\^o processes in an additive microstructure noise model. In a high-frequency setting, we aim at establishing an asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-06-22 Markus Bibinger

One of the most commonly used methods for forming confidence intervals for statistical inference is the empirical bootstrap, which is especially expedient when the limiting distribution of the estimator is unknown. However, despite its…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-24 Morgane Austern , Vasilis Syrgkanis

The stochastic variational approach for geophysical fluid dynamics was introduced by Holm (Proc Roy Soc A, 2015) as a framework for deriving stochastic parameterisations for unresolved scales. This paper applies the variational stochastic…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-09-16 Colin Cotter , Dan Crisan , Darryl D. Holm , Wei Pan , Igor Shevchenko

Likelihood-based inference in stochastic non-linear dynamical systems, such as those found in chemical reaction networks and biological clock systems, is inherently complex and has largely been limited to small and unrealistically simple…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Ben Swallow , David A. Rand , Giorgos Minas

We investigate a class of stochastic integro differential equations driven by Levy noise.

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Mamadou Moustapha Mbaye , Solym Mawaki Manou-Abi

Empirical best linear unbiased prediction (EBLUP) method uses a linear mixed model in combining information from different sources of information. This method is particularly useful in small area problems. The variability of an EBLUP is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Snigdhansu Chatterjee , Partha Lahiri , Huilin Li

Obtaining accurate estimates of machine learning model uncertainties on newly predicted data is essential for understanding the accuracy of the model and whether its predictions can be trusted. A common approach to such uncertainty…

A general notion of bootstrapped $\phi$-divergence estimates constructed by exchangeably weighting sample is introduced. Asymptotic properties of these generalized bootstrapped $\phi$-divergence estimates are obtained, by mean of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-06 Salim Bouzebda , Mohamed Cherfi

We are concerned with multidimensional stochastic balance laws driven by L\'{e}vy processes. Using bounded variation (BV) estimates for vanishing viscosity approximations, we derive an explicit continuous dependence estimate on the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-02-10 Imran H. Biswas , Ujjwal Koley , Ananta K. Majee

Increasingly complex datasets pose a number of challenges for Bayesian inference. Conventional posterior sampling based on Markov chain Monte Carlo can be too computationally intensive, is serial in nature and mixes poorly between posterior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-27 Edwin Fong , Simon Lyddon , Chris Holmes

Using key tools such as It\^o formula for general semi-martingales, moments estimates for L\'{e}vy-type stochastic integrals and properties of regular varying functions we find conditions under which solutions of stochastic differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-09 I. Orlovskyi , F. Proske , O. Tymoshenko

Assessing sampling uncertainty in extremum estimation can be challenging when the asymptotic variance is not analytically tractable. Bootstrap inference offers a feasible solution but can be computationally costly especially when the model…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-15 Jean-Jacques Forneron , Serena Ng

Literature is full of inference techniques developed to estimate the parameters of stochastic dynamical systems driven by the well-known Brownian noise. Such diffusion models are often inappropriate models to properly describe the dynamics…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-19 Babak M. S. Arani

In this paper, we establish the non-asymptotic validity of the multiplier bootstrap procedure for constructing the confidence sets using the Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) algorithm. Under appropriate regularity conditions, our approach…

We present a method for providing statistical guarantees on runtime safety and goal reachability for integrated planning and control of a class of systems with unknown nonlinear stochastic underactuated dynamics. Specifically, given a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-12-15 Craig Knuth , Glen Chou , Jamie Reese , Joe Moore

The maximum score estimator of Manski (1975) provides an elegant approach to estimate slope coefficient in binary choice models without requiring parametric assumptions on the error distribution. However, under i.i.d. sampling, it admits a…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-14 Harold D. Chiang , Ahnaf Rafi

Inference methods for computing confidence intervals in parametric settings usually rely on consistent estimators of the parameter of interest. However, it may be computationally and/or analytically burdensome to obtain such estimators in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-20 Samuel Orso , Mucyo Karemera , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser , Stéphane Guerrier

The quasi-maximum likelihood estimation is a commonly-used method for estimating GARCH parameters. However, such estimators are sensitive to outliers and their asymptotic normality is proved under the finite fourth moment assumption on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-03 Hang Liu , Kanchan Mukherjee