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Academic research and the financial industry have recently paid great attention to Machine Learning algorithms due to their power to solve complex learning tasks. In the field of firms' default prediction, however, the lack of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-09-02 Lisa Crosato , Caterina Liberati , Marco Repetto

In sorting literature, comparative statics for multidimensional assignment models with general output functions and input distributions is an important open question. We provide a complete theory of comparative statics for technological…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-12 Job Boerma , Andrea Ottolini , Aleh Tsyvinski

The investor is interested in the expected return and he is also concerned about the risk and the uncertainty assumed by the investment. One of the most popular concepts used to measure the risk and the uncertainty is the variance and/or…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Andreia Dionisio , Rui Menezes , Diana A. Mendes

This study investigates the functioning of modern payment systems through the lens of banks' maturity mismatch practices, and it examines the effects of banks' refusal to roll over short-term interbank liabilities on financial stability.…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-12 Jessica Reale

The variance--covariance matrix plays a central role in the inferential theories of high-dimensional factor models in finance and economics. Popular regularization methods of directly exploiting sparsity are not directly applicable to many…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-15 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Liao , Martina Mincheva

Resolving conflicts is critical for improving the reliability of multi-view classification. While prior work focuses on learning consistent and informative representations across views, it often assumes perfect alignment and equal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Jueqing Lu , Wray Buntine , Yuanyuan Qi , Joanna Dipnall , Belinda Gabbe , Lan Du

principles that should govern autonomous AI systems. It essentially states that a system's goals and behaviour should be aligned with human values. But how to ensure value alignment? In this paper we first provide a formal model to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-02-08 Carles Sierra , Nardine Osman , Pablo Noriega , Jordi Sabater-Mir , Antoni Perelló

Managers, employers, policymakers, and others often seek to understand whether decisions are biased against certain groups. One popular analytic strategy is to estimate disparities after adjusting for observed covariates, typically with a…

Applications · Statistics 2024-01-29 Jongbin Jung , Sam Corbett-Davies , Johann D. Gaebler , Ravi Shroff , Sharad Goel

Portfolio diversification is a cornerstone of modern finance, while risk aversion is central to decision theory; both concepts are long-standing and foundational. We investigate their connections by studying how different forms of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-26 Xiangxin He , Fangda Liu , Ruodu Wang

A growing body of work on visualization affordances highlights how specific design choices shape reader takeaways from information visualizations. However, mapping the relationship between design choices and reader conclusions often…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2025-07-24 Chase Stokes , Kylie Lin , Cindy Xiong Bearfield

Effective financial reasoning demands not only textual understanding but also the ability to interpret complex visual data such as charts, tables, and trend graphs. This paper introduces a new benchmark designed to evaluate how well AI…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Shuangyan Deng , Haizhou Peng , Jiachen Xu , Chunhou Liu , Ciprian Doru Giurcuaneanu , Jiamou Liu

A new challenge to quantitative finance after the recent financial crisis is the study of credit valuation adjustment (CVA), which requires modeling of the future values of a portfolio. In this paper, following recent work in [Weinan…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-22 Jian-Huang She , Dan Grecu

This article introduces an advanced analytical approach for predicting backorders in inventory management. Backorder refers to an order that cannot be immediately fulfilled due to stock depletion. Multiple classification techniques,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-25 Sarit Maitra , Sukanya Kundu

This study develops an interpretable machine learning framework to forecast startup outcomes, including funding, patenting, and exit. A firm-quarter panel for 2010-2023 is constructed from Crunchbase and matched to U.S. Patent and Trademark…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Saeid Mashhadi , Amirhossein Saghezchi , Vesal Ghassemzadeh Kashani

Domain adaptation aims to transfer the knowledge learned on (data-rich) source domains to (low-resource) target domains, and a popular method is invariant representation learning, which matches and aligns the data distributions on the…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Ruicheng Xian , Honglei Zhuang , Zhen Qin , Hamed Zamani , Jing Lu , Ji Ma , Kai Hui , Han Zhao , Xuanhui Wang , Michael Bendersky

Estimation of parameters in differential equation models can be achieved by applying learning algorithms to quantitative time-series data. However, sometimes it is only possible to measure qualitative changes of a system in response to a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Gregory Szep , Neil Dalchau , Attila Csikasz-Nagy

Firms increasingly rely on dynamic pricing to respond to evolving customer demand, yet in many applications they observe only the revenue generated by a single posted price in each period. At the same time, market conditions may shift…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Xiangyu Yang , Feng Xu , Jian-Qiang Hu , Jiaqiao Hu

In many areas of engineering and sciences, decision rules and control strategies are usually designed based on nominal values of relevant system parameters. To ensure that a control strategy or decision rule will work properly when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Xinjia Chen

In this review article we explore several recent advances in the quantitative modeling of financial markets. We begin with the Efficient Markets Hypothesis and describe how this controversial idea has stimulated a number of new directions…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-31 J. Doyne Farmer , Andrew W. Lo

The Bayesian statistical paradigm provides a principled and coherent approach to probabilistic forecasting. Uncertainty about all unknowns that characterize any forecasting problem -- model, parameters, latent states -- is able to be…

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