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Globalization processes interweave economic structures at a worldwide scale, trade playing a central role as one of the elemental channels of interaction among countries. Despite the significance of such phenomena, measuring economic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Angeles Serrano

We study a model of two-player bargaining game in the shadow of a preventive trade war that examines why states deliberately maintain trade barriers in the age of globalization. Globalization can induce substantial power shifts between…

General Economics · Economics 2023-04-25 Liqun Liu , Tusi , Wen

The large-scale organization of the world economies is exhibiting increasingly levels of local heterogeneity and global interdependency. Understanding the relation between local and global features calls for analytical tools able to uncover…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 M. Angeles Serrano , Marian Boguna , Alessandro Vespignani

Global trade is shaped by a complex mix of factors beyond supply and demand, including tangible variables like transport costs and tariffs, as well as less quantifiable influences such as political and economic relations. Traditionally,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-21 Thomas Gaskin , Guven Demirel , Marie-Therese Wolfram , Andrew Duncan

The paper analyses trade between the most developed economies of the world. The analysis is based on the previously proposed model of international trade. This model of international trade is based on the theory of general economic…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-24 N. S. Gonchar , O. P. Dovzhyk , A. S. Zhokhin , W. H. Kozyrski , A. P. Makhort

This paper explores the gain maximization problem of two nations engaging in non-cooperative bilateral trade. Probabilistic model of an exchange of commodities under different price systems is considered. Volume of commodities exchanged…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-01-09 Tsotne Kutalia , Revaz Tevzadze

International trade has been in the forefront of economic development and growth debates. Trade openness, its definition, scope, and impacts have also been studied numerously. Tariff has been dubbed as negative influencer of economic growth…

General Economics · Economics 2024-05-15 S M Toufiqul Huq Sowrov

Geopolitical conflicts have increasingly been a driver of trade policy. We study the potential effects of global and persistent geopolitical conflicts on trade, technological innovation, and economic growth. In conventional trade models the…

General Economics · Economics 2023-01-31 Carlos Góes , Eddy Bekkers

We study the ever more integrated and ever more unbalanced trade relationships between European countries. To better capture the complexity of economic networks, we propose two global measures that assess the trade integration and the trade…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-03-05 Gautier M. Krings , Jean-François Carpantier , Jean-Charles Delvenne

We show that since the mid-1990s, the trade-promoting effects of tariff liberalization have been increasingly offset by deteriorating geopolitical alignment, slowing trade globalization after 2007. To quantify this barrier, we use large…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-28 Tianyu Fan , Mai Wo , Wei Xiang

Trade imbalances significantly alter the welfare implications of tariffs. Using an illustrative model, we show that trade deficits enhance a country's ability to alter its terms of trade, and thereby benefit from tariffs. Greater trade…

General Economics · Economics 2024-12-10 Pau Pujolas , Jack Rossbach

Countries participate in global value chains by engaging in backward and forward transactions connecting multiple geographically dispersed production stages. Inspired by network theory, we model global trade as a multilayer network and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-14 Luiz G. A. Alves , Giuseppe Mangioni , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Pietro Panzarasa , Yamir Moreno

Here, we present the World Trade Atlas 1870-2013, a collection of annual world trade maps in which distance combines economic size and the different dimensions that affect international trade beyond mere geography. Trade distances, which…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-05-11 Guillermo García-Pérez , Marián Boguñá , Antoine Allard , M. Ángeles Serrano

We investigate the role of networks of alliances in preventing (multilateral) interstate wars. We first show that, in the absence of international trade, no network of alliances is peaceful and stable. We then show that international trade…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-02-17 Matthew O. Jackson , Stephen M. Nei

The worldwide trade network has been widely studied through different data sets and network representations with a view to better understanding interactions among countries and products. Here we investigate international trade through the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-12-12 Luiz G. A. Alves , Giuseppe Mangioni , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Pietro Panzarasa , Yamir Moreno

This paper studies the statistical properties of the web of import-export relationships among world countries using a weighted-network approach. We analyze how the distributions of the most important network statistics measuring…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Giorgio Fagiolo , Javier Reyes , Stefano Schiavo

In this paper, we design two chapters to discuss trade dynamics with heterogeneous fluctuations, contributing new insights to macroeconomic issues related to international trade. In the first chapter, we model general exchange rate…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-11 Yongheng Hu

In recent decades, trade between nations has constituted an important component of global Gross Domestic Product (GDP), with official estimates showing that it likely accounted for a quarter of total global production. While evidence of…

General Economics · Economics 2022-11-24 Mayank Kejriwal , Yuesheng Luo

This study examines the effects of de-globalization trends on international trade networks and their role in improving forecasts for economic growth. Using section-level trade data from nearly 200 countries from 2010 to 2022, we identify…

General Economics · Economics 2024-04-16 Thiago C. Silva , Paulo V. B. Wilhelm , Diego R. Amancio

We analyze export data aggregated at world global level of 219 classes of products over a period of 39 years. Our main goal is to set up a dynamical model to identify and quantify plausible mechanisms by which the evolutions of the various…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-20 Michele Caraglio , Fulvio Baldovin , Attilio L. Stella
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