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Surrogate models are widely used in mechanical design and manufacturing process optimization, where high-fidelity computational models may be unavailable or prohibitively expensive. Their effectiveness, however, is often limited by data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Bingran Wang , Seongha Jeong , Sebastiaan P. C. van Schie , Dongyeon Han , Jaeho Min , John T. Hwang

Surrogate models are statistical or conceptual approximations for more complex simulation models. In this context, it is crucial to propagate the uncertainty induced by limited simulation budget and surrogate approximation error to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-27 Philipp Reiser , Javier Enrique Aguilar , Anneli Guthke , Paul-Christian Bürkner

A probabilistic performance-oriented control design optimization approach is introduced for flight systems. Aiming at estimating rare-event probabilities accurately and efficiently, subset simulation is combined with surrogate modeling…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-20 Dalong Shi , Florian Holzapfel

Simulation models often have parameters as input and return outputs to understand the behavior of complex systems. Calibration is the process of estimating the values of the parameters in a simulation model in light of observed data from…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-15 Özge Sürer

Interactive multi-agent simulation algorithms are used to compute the trajectories and behaviors of different entities in virtual reality scenarios. However, current methods involve considerable parameter tweaking to generate plausible…

Graphics · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Jiaping Ren , Wei Xiang , Yangxi Xiao , Ruigang Yang , Dinesh Manocha , Xiaogang Jin

In many situations, simulation models are developed to handle complex real-world business optimisation problems. For example, a discrete-event simulation model is used to simulate the trailer management process in a big Fast-Moving Consumer…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-07-18 Dylan Rijnen , Jason Rhuggenaath , Paulo R. de O. da Costa , Yingqian Zhang

Motivated by critical challenges and needs from biopharmaceuticals manufacturing, we propose a general metamodel-assisted stochastic simulation uncertainty analysis framework to accelerate the development of a simulation model with modular…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Wei Xie , Russell R. Barton , Barry L. Nelson , Keqi Wang

Hyperparameter tuning is a challenging problem especially when the system itself involves uncertainty. Due to noisy function evaluations, optimization under uncertainty can be computationally expensive. In this paper, we present a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-09 Akash Yadav , Ruda Zhang

Effective hospital capacity management is pivotal for enhancing patient care quality, operational efficiency, and healthcare system resilience, notably during demand spikes like those seen in the COVID-19 pandemic. However, devising optimal…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-04-01 Felix Parker , Fardin Ganjkhanloo , Diego A. Martínez , Kimia Ghobadi

$\textbf{Background:}$ At the onset of a pandemic, such as COVID-19, data with proper labeling/attributes corresponding to the new disease might be unavailable or sparse. Machine Learning (ML) models trained with the available data, which…

The dominant paradigm for power system dynamic simulation is to build system-level simulations by combining physics-based models of individual components. The sheer size of the system along with the rapid integration of inverter-based…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-24 Matthew Bossart , Jose Daniel Lara , Ciaran Roberts , Rodrigo Henriquez-Auba , Duncan Callaway , Bri-Mathias Hodge

The COVID-19 pandemic has placed immense strain on hospital systems worldwide, leading to critical capacity challenges. This research proposes a two-part framework to optimize hospital capacity through patient relocation strategies. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Sadaf Tabatabaee , Hicham El Baz , Mohammed Khalil Ghali , Nagendra N. Nagarur

Simulation is a powerful tool for exploring uncertainty. Its potential in clinical medicine is transformative and includes personalized treatment planning and virtual clinical trials. However, simulating patient trajectories is challenging…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Yu Akagi , Tomohisa Seki , Hiromasa Ito , Toru Takiguchi , Kazuhiko Ohe , Yoshimasa Kawazoe

This work presents a robust design optimization approach for a char combustion process in a limited-data setting, where simulations of the fluid-solid coupled system are computationally expensive. We integrate a polynomial dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-03-11 Yulin Guo , Dongjin Lee , Boris Kramer

Recent advances in machine learning, specifically transformer architecture, have led to significant advancements in commercial domains. These powerful models have demonstrated superior capability to learn complex relationships and often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Matthew L. Olson , Shusen Liu , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Bogdan Kustowski , Weng-Keen Wong , Rushil Anirudh

Sample efficiency is one of the key factors when applying policy search to real-world problems. In recent years, Bayesian Optimization (BO) has become prominent in the field of robotics due to its sample efficiency and little prior…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-11-19 Lukas P. Fröhlich , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Edgar D. Klenske

High-fidelity simulation models are widely used to analyze complex stochastic systems, but their high computational cost motivates the development of cheaper surrogate models that approximate the simulation model's input-output…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 Mohammadmahdi Ghasemloo , David J. Eckman , Yaxian Li

The vast majority of stochastic simulation models are imperfect in that they fail to exactly emulate real system dynamics. The inexactness of the simulation model, or model discrepancy, can impact the predictive accuracy and usefulness of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-21 Matthew Plumlee , Henry Lam

Business process simulation (BPS) is a key tool for analyzing and optimizing organizational workflows, supporting decision-making by estimating the impact of process changes. The reliability of such estimates depends on the ability of a BPS…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Konrad Özdemir , Lukas Kirchdorfer , Keyvan Amiri Elyasi , Han van der Aa , Heiner Stuckenschmidt

Managing stock efficiently remains a core issue in modern logistics, where companies must reconcile cost efficiency with dependable service despite unpredictable market conditions. Conventional models often overlook the direct connection…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Tianxiao Sun , Noah Schwarzkopf
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