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Systematic exploration of Agent-Based Models (ABMs) is challenged by the curse of dimensionality and their inherent stochasticity. We present a multi-stage pipeline integrating the systematic design of experiments with machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Paul Saves , Matthieu Mastio , Nicolas Verstaevel , Benoit Gaudou

How can we plan efficiently in a large and complex environment when the time budget is limited? Given the original simulator of the environment, which may be computationally very demanding, we propose to learn online an approximate but much…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-12-14 Jinke He , Miguel Suau , Hendrik Baier , Michael Kaisers , Frans A. Oliehoek

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a powerful method for optimizing black-box functions by combining prior knowledge with ongoing function evaluations. BO constructs a probabilistic surrogate model of the objective function given the covariates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Roi Naveiro , Becky Tang

Existing deep learning-based surrogate models facilitate efficient data generation, but fall short in uncertainty quantification, efficient parameter space exploration, and reverse prediction. In our work, we introduce SurroFlow, a novel…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Jingyi Shen , Yuhan Duan , Han-Wei Shen

Calibration of expensive simulation models involves an emulator based on simulation outputs generated across various parameter settings to replace the actual model. Noisy outputs of stochastic simulation models require many simulation…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-08 Özge Sürer

Synthetic data are becoming a critical tool for building artificially intelligent systems. Simulators provide a way of generating data systematically and at scale. These data can then be used either exclusively, or in conjunction with real…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-04-07 Daniel McDuff , Theodore Curran , Achuta Kadambi

Recent developments of advanced driver-assistance systems necessitate an increasing number of tests to validate new technologies. These tests cannot be carried out on track in a reasonable amount of time and automotive groups rely on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-12-16 Clara Carlier , Arnaud Franju , Matthieu Lerasle , Mathias Obrebski

Physics simulations like computational fluid dynamics (CFD) are a computational bottleneck in computer-aided design (CAD) optimization processes. To overcome this bottleneck, one requires either an optimization framework that is highly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-29 Harsh Vardhan , David Hyde , Umesh Timalsina , Peter Volgyesi , Janos Sztipanovits

Data-driven optimization models have the potential to significantly improve hospital capacity management, particularly during demand surges, when effective allocation of capacity is most critical and challenging. However, integrating models…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Felix Parker , Diego A. Martínez , James Scheulen , Kimia Ghobadi

Machine learning methods are increasingly used to build computationally inexpensive surrogates for complex physical models. The predictive capability of these surrogates suffers when data are noisy, sparse, or time-dependent. As we are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-20 A. Diaw , M. McKerns , I. Sagert , L. G. Stanton , M. S. Murillo

Probabilistic user modeling is essential for building machine learning systems in the ubiquitous cases with humans in the loop. However, modern advanced user models, often designed as cognitive behavior simulators, are incompatible with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-29 Alex Hämäläinen , Mustafa Mert Çelikok , Samuel Kaski

Uncertainty in optimization is often represented as stochastic parameters in the optimization model. In Predict-Then-Optimize approaches, predictions of a machine learning model are used as values for such parameters, effectively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Pieter Smet

Agent-based simulators provide granular representations of complex intelligent systems by directly modelling the interactions of the system's constituent agents. Their high-fidelity nature enables hyper-local policy evaluation and testing…

Variational quantum algorithms are a leading candidate for early applications on noisy intermediate-scale quantum computers. These algorithms depend on a classical optimization outer-loop that minimizes some function of a parameterized…

We present a framework for the efficient computation of optimal Bayesian decisions under intractable likelihoods, by learning a surrogate model for the expected utility (or its distribution) as a function of the action and data spaces. We…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-13 Justin Alsing , Thomas D. P. Edwards , Benjamin Wandelt

The analysis of computer models can be aided by the construction of surrogate models, or emulators, that statistically model the numerical computer model. Increasingly, computer models are becoming stochastic, yielding different outputs…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-10 Evan Baker , Peter Challenor , Matt Eames

High-Performance Computing (HPC) schedulers must balance user performance with facility-wide resource constraints. The task boils down to selecting the optimal number of nodes for a given job. We present a surrogate-assisted multi-objective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Ashna Nawar Ahmed , Banooqa Banday , Terry Jones , Tanzima Z. Islam

Mixed-integer optimization is at the core of many online decision-making systems that demand frequent updates of decisions in real time. However, due to their combinatorial nature, mixed-integer linear programs (MILPs) can be difficult to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Shivi Dixit , Rishabh Gupta , Qi Zhang

Computer simulations have become an important tool across the biomedical sciences and beyond. For many important problems several different models or hypotheses exist and choosing which one best describes reality or observed data is not…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-01-20 Tina Toni , Michael P. H. Stumpf

Multi-agent simulations enables the modeling and analyses of the dynamic behaviors and interactions of autonomous entities evolving in complex environments. Agent-based models (ABM) are widely used to study emergent phenomena arising from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Paul Saves , Nicolas Verstaevel , Benoît Gaudou