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In several environmental applications data are functions of time, essentially con- tinuous, observed and recorded discretely, and spatially correlated. Most of the methods for analyzing such data are extensions of spatial statistical tools…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-28 Elvira Romano , Antonio Balzanella , Rosanna Verde

A new method for estimating tropical cyclone track uncertainty is presented and tested. This method uses a neural network to predict a bivariate normal distribution, which serves as an estimate for track uncertainty. We train the network…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-03-14 M. A. Fernandez , Elizabeth A. Barnes , Randal J. Barnes , Mark DeMaria , Marie McGraw , Galina Chirokova , Lixin Lu

Predictability of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation (THC) variability as simulated in the GFDL coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation model is established for a set of ensemble experiments. The ensembles consist of identical…

ao-sci · Physics 2016-08-30 Stephen M. Griffies , Kirk Bryan

For objects in the low Earth orbit region, uncertainty in atmospheric density estimation is an important source of orbit prediction error, which is critical for space situational awareness activities such as the satellite conjunction…

Space Physics · Physics 2022-11-01 Smriti Nandan Paul , Richard J. Licata , Piyush M. Mehta

We propose a framework for a global description of the dynamics of complex flows via clusterized spatial representations of the flow, isolating and identifying local dynamics, retrieving different Space-Time Cluster-Based Network Models…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-09 Qihong L. Li-Hu , Guy Y. Cornejo Maceda , Andrea Ianiro , Stefano Discetti

The importance of accurately quantifying forecast uncertainty has motivated much recent research on probabilistic forecasting. In particular, a variety of deep learning approaches has been proposed, with forecast distributions obtained as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-11 Benedikt Schulz , Lutz Köhler , Sebastian Lerch

With recent advances in sensing and tracking technology, trajectory data is becoming increasingly pervasive and analysis of trajectory data is becoming exceedingly important. A fundamental problem in analyzing trajectory data is that of…

Computational Geometry · Computer Science 2013-03-08 Swaminathan Sankararaman , Pankaj K. Agarwal , Thomas Mølhave , Arnold P. Boedihardjo

We show that the clustering coefficient, a standard measure in network theory, when applied to flow networks, i.e. graph representations of fluid flows in which links between nodes represent fluid transport between spatial regions,…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-02-23 Victor Rodriguez-Mendez , Enrico Ser-Giacomi , Emilio Hernandez-Garcia

The increasing availability of traffic data from sensor networks has created new opportunities for understanding vehicular dynamics and identifying anomalies. In this study, we employ clustering techniques to analyse traffic flow data with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Davide Moretti , Elia Onofri , Emiliano Cristiani

Ocean eddies are swirling mesoscale features that play a fundamental role in oceanic transport and mixing. Eddy identification relies on diagnostic criteria that are inherently nonlinear functions of the flow variables. However, estimating…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-10-06 Charlotte Moser , Nan Chen , Stephen Wiggins

Crowdwork often entails tackling cognitively-demanding and time-consuming tasks. Crowdsourcing can be used for complex annotation tasks, from medical imaging to geospatial data, and such data powers sensitive applications, such as health…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-09-07 Akira Matsui , Emilio Ferrara , Fred Morstatter , Andres Abeliuk , Aram Galstyan

Brain vessel segmentation of MR scans is a critical step in the diagnosis of cerebrovascular diseases. Due to the fine vessel structure, manual vessel segmentation is time consuming. Therefore, automatic deep learning (DL) based…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-31 Omini Rathore , Richard Paul , Abigail Morrison , Hanno Scharr , Elisabeth Pfaehler

We present a framework for the partitioning of a spatial trajectory in a sequence of segments based on spatial density and temporal criteria. The result is a set of temporally separated clusters interleaved by sub-sequences of unclustered…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-06-19 Maria Luisa Damiani , Fatima Hachem , Issa Hamza , Nathan Ranc , Paul Moorcroft , Francesca Cagnacci

The discrete distribution is often used to describe complex instances in machine learning, such as images, sequences, and documents. Traditionally, clustering of discrete distributions (D2C) has been approached using Wasserstein barycenter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-19 Zixiao Wang , Dong Qiao , Jicong Fan

Coastal flooding drives considerable risks to many communities, but projections of future flood risks are deeply uncertain. The paucity of observations of extreme events often motivates the use of statistical approaches to model the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-01 Tony E. Wong , Alexandra Klufas , Vivek Srikrishnan , Klaus Keller

Ensemble learning is a standard approach to building machine learning systems that capture complex phenomena in real-world data. An important aspect of these systems is the complete and valid quantification of model uncertainty. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-12 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent Coull

Airline operations are subject to many uncertainties, such as weather, varying demand, maintenance events, congestion, etc. Large amounts of information are currently ignored due to difficulties in processing big data sets. We explore the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-28 Ítalo Romani de Oliveira , Steve Altus , Sergey Tiourine , Euclides C. Pinto Neto , Alexandre Leite , Felipe C. F. de Azevedo

Reconstructions of Lagrangian drift, for example for objects lost at sea, are often uncertain due to unresolved physical phenomena within the data. Uncertainty is usually overcome by introducing stochasticity into the drift, but this…

Trajectory clustering enables the discovery of common patterns in trajectory data. Current methods of trajectory clustering rely on a distance measure between two points in order to measure the dissimilarity between two trajectories. The…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Zi Jing Wang , Ye Zhu , Kai Ming Ting

Ocean buoy data in the form of high frequency multivariate time series are routinely recorded at many locations in the world's oceans. Such data can be used to characterise the ocean wavefield, which is important for numerous socio-economic…

Applications · Statistics 2023-08-25 Jake P. Grainger , Adam M. Sykulski , Kevin Ewans , Hans F. Hansen , Philip Jonathan