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In this work clustering schemes for uncertain and structured data are considered relying on the notion of Wasserstein barycenters, accompanied by appropriate clustering indices based on the intrinsic geometry of the Wasserstein space where…

Critical decisions frequently rely on high-dimensional output from complex computer simulation models that show intricate cross-variable, spatial and temporal dependence structures, with weather and climate predictions being key examples.…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Roman Schefzik , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir , Tilmann Gneiting

Drifters designed to mimic floating marine debris and small patches of pelagic \emph{Sargassum} were satellite tracked in four regions across the North Atlantic. Though subjected to the same initial conditions at each site, the tracks of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-10-28 P. Miron , M. J. Olascoaga , F. J. Beron-Vera , N. F. Putman , J. Trinanes , R. Lumpkin , G. J. Goni

Reliable quantification of epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty is of crucial importance in applications where models are trained in one environment but applied to multiple different environments, often seen in real-world applications for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Simon Dirmeier , Ye Hong , Yanan Xin , Fernando Perez-Cruz

Clustering uncertain data has emerged as a challenging task in uncertain data management and mining. Thanks to a computational complexity advantage over other clustering paradigms, partitional clustering has been particularly studied and a…

Databases · Computer Science 2012-03-30 Francesco Gullo , Andrea Tagarelli

This paper comprehensively surveys the development of trajectory clustering. Considering the critical role of trajectory data mining in modern intelligent systems for surveillance security, abnormal behavior detection, crowd behavior…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-02-21 Jiang Bian , Dayong Tian , Yuanyan Tang , Dacheng Tao

This paper introduces a novel and scalable framework for uncertainty estimation and separation with applications in data driven modeling in science and engineering tasks where reliable uncertainty quantification is critical. Leveraging an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Navid Ansari , Hans-Peter Seidel , Vahid Babaei

Faithful uncertainty quantification (UQ) is paramount in high stakes climate prediction. Deep ensembles, or ensembles of probabilistic neural networks, are state of the art for UQ in machine learning (ML) and are growing increasingly…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-24 Devin M. McAfee , Elizabeth A. Barnes

Quantifying aleatoric uncertainty in medical image segmentation is critical since it is a reflection of the natural variability observed among expert annotators. A conventional approach is to model the segmentation distribution using the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Phi Van Nguyen , Ngoc Huynh Trinh , Duy Minh Lam Nguyen , Phu Loc Nguyen , Quoc Long Tran

Quantifying uncertainty in weather forecasts is critical, especially for predicting extreme weather events. This is typically accomplished with ensemble prediction systems, which consist of many perturbed numerical weather simulations, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Peter Grönquist , Chengyuan Yao , Tal Ben-Nun , Nikoli Dryden , Peter Dueben , Shigang Li , Torsten Hoefler

This paper addresses the challenge of identifying the paths for vessels with operating routes of repetitive paths, partially repetitive paths, and new paths. We propose a spatial clustering approach for labeling the vessel paths by using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Mohamed Abuella , M. Amine Atoui , Slawomir Nowaczyk , Simon Johansson , Ethan Faghan

Recently, clustering moving object trajectories kept gaining interest from both the data mining and machine learning communities. This problem, however, was studied mainly and extensively in the setting where moving objects can move freely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-11-05 Mohamed Khalil El Mahrsi , Romain Guigourès , Fabrice Rossi , Marc Boullé

The goal of this investigation was to derive strictly new properties of chaotic systems and their mutual relations. The generalized Fokker-Planck equation with a non stationary diffusion has been derived and used for chaos analysis. An…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-07-29 Sergey A. Kamenshchikov

The implementation of road user models that realistically reproduce a credible behavior in a multi-agentsimulation is still an open problem. A data-driven approach consists on to deduce behaviors that may exist in real situation to obtain…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Nelson de Moura , Augustin Gervreau-Mercier , Fernando Garrido , Fawzi Nashashibi

For many practical, high-risk applications, it is essential to quantify uncertainty in a model's predictions to avoid costly mistakes. While predictive uncertainty is widely studied for neural networks, the topic seems to be under-explored…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-05 Andrey Malinin , Liudmila Prokhorenkova , Aleksei Ustimenko

Clustering is an effective tool for astronomical spectral analysis, to mine clustering patterns among data. With the implementation of large sky surveys, many clustering methods have been applied to tackle spectroscopic and photometric data…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-19 Haifeng Yang , Chenhui Shi , Jianghui Cai , Lichan Zhou , Yuqing Yang , Xujun Zhao , Yanting He , Jing Hao

We propose a clustering-based approach for identifying coherent flow structures in continuous dynamical systems. We first treat a particle trajectory over a finite time interval as a high-dimensional data point and then cluster these data…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-12-27 Wai Ming Chau , Shingyu Leung

Mixture model-based frameworks are very popular for statistical inference in clustering. While convenient for producing probabilistic estimates of cluster assignments and uncertainty, they are prone to misspecification, which can lead to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Yu Zheng , Leo L. Duan , Arkaprava Roy

We investigate a method to deal with congestion of sectors and delays in the tactical phase of air traffic flow and capacity management. It relies on temporal objectives given for every point of the flight plans and shared among the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-09-18 Gaétan Marceau , Pierre Savéant , Marc Schoenauer

Unsupervised classification called clustering is a process of organizing objects into groups whose members are similar in some way. Clustering of uncertain data objects is a challenge in spatial data bases. In this paper we use Probability…

Databases · Computer Science 2013-12-10 Ramachandra Rao Kurada