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Tree-based ensemble methods, as Random Forests and Gradient Boosted Trees, have been successfully used for regression in many applications and research studies. Furthermore, these methods have been extended in order to deal with uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Myriam Tami , Marianne Clausel , Emilie Devijver , Adrien Dulac , Eric Gaussier , Stefan Janaqi , Meriam Chebre

Traditional end-to-end contextual robust optimization models are trained for specific contextual data, requiring complete retraining whenever new contextual information arrives. This limitation hampers their use in online decision-making…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Carlos Gamboa , Alexandre Street , Davi Valladão , Bernardo Pagnocelli

This paper proposes a neural stochastic optimization method for efficiently solving the two-stage stochastic unit commitment (2S-SUC) problem under high-dimensional uncertainty scenarios. The proposed method approximates the second-stage…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-16 Zhentong Shao , Jingtao Qin , Nanpeng Yu

Budgeted uncertainty sets have been established as a major influence on uncertainty modeling for robust optimization problems. A drawback of such sets is that the budget constraint only restricts the global amount of cost increase that can…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-28 Marc Goerigk , Stefan Lendl

This paper proposes an Adaptive Learning Model Predictive Control strategy for uncertain constrained linear systems performing iterative tasks. The additive uncertainty is modeled as the sum of a bounded process noise and an unknown…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-27 Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Xiaojing Zhang , Ugo Rosolia , Francesco Borrelli

We study an online mixed discrete and continuous optimization problem where a decision maker interacts with an unknown environment for a number of $T$ rounds. At each round, the decision maker needs to first jointly choose a discrete and a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-27 Lintao Ye , Ming Chi , Zhi-Wei Liu , Xiaoling Wang , Vijay Gupta

Uncertainty sets are at the heart of robust optimization (RO) because they play a key role in determining the RO models' tractability, robustness, and conservativeness. Different types of uncertainty sets have been proposed that model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-13 Meysam Cheramin , Richard Li-Yang Chen , Jianqiang Cheng , Ali Pinar

This paper considers structural optimization under a reliability constraint, where the input distribution is only partially known. Specifically, when we only know that the expected value vector and the variance-covariance matrix of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-19 Yoshihiro Kanno

This paper presents a novel robust trajectory optimization method for constrained nonlinear dynamical systems subject to unknown bounded disturbances. In particular, we seek optimal control policies that remain robustly feasible with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-08 Arshiya Taj Abdul , Augustinos D. Saravanos , Evangelos A. Theodorou

We study piecewise affine policies for multi-stage adjustable robust optimization (ARO) problems with non-negative right-hand side uncertainty. First, we construct new dominating uncertainty sets and show how a multi-stage ARO problem can…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Simon Thomä , Grit Walther , Maximilian Schiffer

In order for reinforcement learning techniques to be useful in real-world decision making processes, they must be able to produce robust performance from limited data. Deep policy optimization methods have achieved impressive results on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-22 James Queeney , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis , Christos G. Cassandras

This paper proposes a reformulation of the scenario-based two-stage unit commitment problem under uncertainty that allows finding unit-commitment plans that perform reasonably well both in expectation and for the worst case realization of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Ignacio Blanco , Juan M. Morales

One way to make decisions under uncertainty is to select an optimal option from a possible range of options, by maximizing the expected utilities derived from a probability model. However, under severe uncertainty, identifying precise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-06 Nawapon Nakharutai , Sébastien Destercke , Matthias C. M. Troffaes

Consider the setting of constrained optimization, with some parameters unknown at solving time and requiring prediction from relevant features. Predict+Optimize is a recent framework for end-to-end training supervised learning models for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-15 Xinyi Hu , Jasper C. H. Lee , Jimmy H. M. Lee

Multi-stage financial decision optimization under uncertainty depends on a careful numerical approximation of the underlying stochastic process, which describes the future returns of the selected assets or asset categories. Various…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2010-04-27 Ronald Hochreiter

To mitigate the vulnerability of distribution grids to severe weather events, some electric utilities use preemptive de-energization as the primary line of defense, causing significant power outages. In such instances, networked microgrids…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-05 Hannah Moring , Harsha Nagarajan , Kshitij Girigoudar , David M. Fobes , Johanna L. Mathieu

Gamma uncertainty sets have been introduced for adjusting the degree of conservatism of robust counterparts of (discrete) linear programs. The contribution of this paper is a generalization of this approach to (mixed integer) nonlinear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Dennis Adelhütte , Frauke Liers

Distributionally robust control is a well-studied framework for optimal decision making under uncertainty, with the objective of minimizing an expected cost function over control actions, assuming the most adverse probability distribution…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-12 Alexandros E. Tzikas , Lukas Fiechtner , Arec Jamgochian , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

In this paper, we consider an integrated MSP-MDP framework which captures features of Markov decision process (MDP) and multistage stochastic programming (MSP). The integrated framework allows one to study a dynamic decision-making process…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-29 Zhiyao Yang , Zhiping Chen , Huifu Xu

Two-stage robust unit commitment (RUC) models have been widely used for day-ahead energy and reserve scheduling under high renewable integration. The current state of the art relies on budget-constrained polyhedral uncertainty sets to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Alexandre Velloso , Alexandre Street , David Pozo , José M. Arroyo , Noemi G. Cobos