English

Neural Two-Stage Stochastic Optimization for Solving Unit Commitment Problem

Systems and Control 2026-04-16 v4 Machine Learning Systems and Control

Abstract

This paper proposes a neural stochastic optimization method for efficiently solving the two-stage stochastic unit commitment (2S-SUC) problem under high-dimensional uncertainty scenarios. The proposed method approximates the second-stage recourse problem using a deep neural network trained to map commitment decisions and uncertainty features to recourse costs. The trained network is subsequently embedded into the first-stage UC problem as a mixed-integer linear program (MILP), allowing for explicit enforcement of operational constraints while preserving the key uncertainty characteristics. A scenario-embedding network is employed to enable dimensionality reduction and feature aggregation across arbitrary scenario sets, serving as a data-driven scenario reduction mechanism. Numerical experiments on IEEE 5-bus, 30-bus, and 118-bus systems demonstrate that the proposed neural two-stage stochastic optimization method achieves solutions with an optimality gap of less than 1%, while enabling orders-of-magnitude speedup compared to conventional MILP solvers and decomposition-based methods. Moreover, the model's size remains constant regardless of the number of scenarios, offering significant scalability for large-scale stochastic unit commitment problems.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2507.09503,
  title  = {Neural Two-Stage Stochastic Optimization for Solving Unit Commitment Problem},
  author = {Zhentong Shao and Jingtao Qin and Nanpeng Yu},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2507.09503},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

The experimental results may require further refinement, and changes in the first author's affiliation may have affected the presentation of the work