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Key science questions, such as galaxy distance estimation and weather forecasting, often require knowing the full predictive distribution of a target variable $y$ given complex inputs $\mathbf{x}$. Despite recent advances in machine…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-22 Biprateep Dey , David Zhao , Brett H. Andrews , Jeffrey A. Newman , Rafael Izbicki , Ann B. Lee

The paper presents an approach for building consistent and applicable clinical decision support systems (CDSSs) using a data-driven predictive model aimed at resolving the problem of low applicability and scalability of CDSSs in real-world…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-18 Sergey V. Kovalchuk , Georgy D. Kopanitsa , Ilia V. Derevitskii , Daria A. Savitskaya

Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) is an important cause of disability and death among individuals with Diabetes Mellitus (DM). International clinical guidelines for the management of Type 2 DM (T2DM) are founded on primary and secondary…

Causal inference in the presence of intermediate variables is a challenging problem in many applications. Principal stratification (PS) provides a framework to estimate principal causal effects (PCE) in such settings. However, existing PS…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-20 Lei Yang , Michael J. Daniels , Fan Li

During the past few decades, cognitive diagnostics modeling has attracted increasing attention in computational education communities, which is capable of quantifying the learning status and knowledge mastery levels of students. Indeed, the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-01-22 Yunfei Zhang , Chuan Qin , Dazhong Shen , Haiping Ma , Le Zhang , Xingyi Zhang , Hengshu Zhu

Medical time series data, such as EEG and ECG, are vital for diagnosing neurological and cardiovascular diseases. However, their precise interpretation faces significant challenges due to high annotation costs, leading to data scarcity, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Kaito Tanaka , Aya Nakayama , Masato Ito , Yuji Nishimura , Keisuke Matsuda

In panel predictive regressions with persistent covariates, coexistence of the Nickell bias and the Stambaugh bias imposes challenges for estimation and hypothesis testing. This paper introduces an innovative estimator, the Double IVX…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-26 Chengwang Liao , Ziwei Mei , Zhentao Shi

Staggered treatment adoption arises in the evaluation of policy impact and implementation in many settings, including both randomized stepped-wedge trials and non-randomized quasi-experiments with panel data. In both settings, getting an…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-14 Lee Kennedy-Shaffer

A lack of understanding of human biology creates a hurdle for the development of precision medicines. To overcome this hurdle we need to better understand the potential synergy between a given investigational treatment (vs. placebo or…

Applications · Statistics 2017-08-17 Jia Jia , Qi Tang , Wangang Xie , Richard Rode

A Skeleton-stabilized ImmersoGeometric Analysis technique is proposed for incompressible viscous flow problems with moderate Reynolds number. The proposed formulation fits within the framework of the finite cell method, where essential…

Cardiovascular disease and chronic kidney disease are major complications of diabetes, leading to high morbidity and mortality. Early detection of these conditions is critical, yet traditional diagnostic markers often lack sensitivity in…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-20 Syed Ibad Hasnain

Computational Drug Repositioning (CDR) is the task of discovering potential new indications for existing drugs by mining large-scale heterogeneous drug-related data sources. Leveraging the patient-level temporal ordering information between…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-01 Zhaobin Kuang , James Thomson , Michael Caldwell , Peggy Peissig , Ron Stewart , David Page

Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are often underpowered to detect treatment heterogeneity in subgroups defined by cross-classifications of multiple covariates, due to sparse sample sizes in some strata. External RCT data can help, but…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Youqi Yang , Walter Dempsey , Bhramar Mukherjee

Early event prediction (EEP) systems continuously estimate a patient's imminent risk to support clinical decision-making. For bedside trust, risk trajectories must be accurate and temporally stable, shifting only with new, relevant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Mayank Keoliya , Seewon Choi , Rajeev Alur , Mayur Naik , Eric Wong

Transparency is a paramount concern in the medical field, prompting researchers to delve into the realm of explainable AI (XAI). Among these XAI methods, Concept Bottleneck Models (CBMs) aim to restrict the model's latent space to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Lijie Hu , Songning Lai , Yuan Hua , Shu Yang , Jingfeng Zhang , Di Wang

Recent years have witnessed the success of introducing deep learning models to time series forecasting. From a data generation perspective, we illustrate that existing models are susceptible to distribution shifts driven by temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Mouxiang Chen , Lefei Shen , Han Fu , Zhuo Li , Jianling Sun , Chenghao Liu

Estimation of structure, such as in variable selection, graphical modelling or cluster analysis is notoriously difficult, especially for high-dimensional data. We introduce stability selection. It is based on subsampling in combination with…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-05-16 Nicolai Meinshausen , Peter Buehlmann

Understanding the effects of interventions is central to scientific progress, with randomized controlled trials (RCTs) regarded as the gold standard for causal inference in many applied fields. However, RCTs are costly, time-consuming, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-27 Drago Plecko , Patrik Okanovic , Torsten Hoefler , Elias Bareinboim

Calibration is crucial in deep learning applications, especially in fields like healthcare and autonomous driving, where accurate confidence estimates are vital for decision-making. However, deep neural networks often suffer from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-17 Linwei Tao , Haolan Guo , Minjing Dong , Chang Xu

Considering the profound transformation affecting pathology practice, we aimed to develop a scalable artificial intelligence (AI) system to diagnose colorectal cancer from whole-slide images (WSI). For this, we propose a deep learning (DL)…

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