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This paper is concerned with SIR (susceptible $\to$ infected $\to$ removed) household epidemic models in which the infection response may be either mild or severe, with the type of response also affecting the infectiousness of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-05-26 Frank Ball , Tom Britton , David Sirl

We simulate a spatial behavioral model of the diffusion of an infection to understand the role of geographic characteristics: the number and distribution of outbreaks, population size, density, and agents' movements. We show that several…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-31 Alberto Bisin , Andrea Moro

We study the propagation of an SIR (susceptible-infectious-recovered) disease over an agent population which, at any instant, is fully divided into couples of agents. Couples are occasionally allowed to exchange their members. This process…

Biological Physics · Physics 2011-04-21 Damián H. Zanette

The size and shape of the region affected by an outbreak is relevant to understand the dynamics of a disease and help to organize future actions to mitigate similar events. A simple extension of the SIR model is considered, where agents…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-05-03 Paulo Murilo C. de Oliveira , Daniel A. Stariolo , Jeferson J. Arenzon

In this study, we develop the mathematical model to understand the coupling between the spreading dynamics of infectious diseases and the mobility dynamics through urban transportation systems. We first describe the mobility dynamics of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-12 Xinwu Qian , Satish V. Ukkusuri

An epidemic model where disease transmission can occur either through global contacts or through local, nearest neighbor interactions is considered. The classical SIR--model describing the global interactions is extended by adding…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-02 Thomas Götz

We develop a new structured compartmental model for the coevolutionary dynamics between susceptible and infectious individuals in heterogeneous SI epidemiological systems. In this model, the susceptible compartment is structured by a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-10 Tommaso Lorenzi , Elisa Paparelli , Andrea Tosin

We propose an extension of the classical susceptible infectious recovered (SIR) model that incorporates the effects of spatial propagation of an epidemic through a small number of additional compartments. The model is designed to capture…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-02 M. Soledad Aronna , Mariana Bergonzi , Ernesto Kofman

We define and study an open stochastic SIR (Susceptible -- Infected -- Removed) model on a graph in order to describe the spread of an epidemic on a cattle trade network with epidemiological and demographic dynamics occurring over the same…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-28 Pierre Montagnon

We present an SI epidemic model whereby a continuous variable captures variability in proliferative potential and resistance to infection among susceptibles. The occurrence of heritable, spontaneous changes in these phenotype and the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-30 Tommaso Lorenzi , Andrea Pugliese , Mattia Sensi , Agnese Zardini

We study extensions of the classical SIR model of epidemic spread. First, we consider a single population modified SIR epidemics model in which the contact rate is allowed to be an arbitrary function of the fraction of susceptible and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-12-17 Martina Alutto , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

We study the qualitative properties of a spatial diffusive heterogeneous SIR model, that appears in mathematical epidemiology to describe the spread of an infectious disease in a population. The model we consider consists in a system of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2020-05-15 Romain Ducasse

Motivated by epidemics such as COVID-19, we study the spread of a contagious disease when behavior responds to the disease's prevalence. We extend the SIR epidemiological model to include endogenous meeting rates. Individuals benefit from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-25 Krishna Dasaratha

In a metapopulation network, infectious diseases spread widely because of the travel of individuals. In the present study, we consider a modified metapopulation Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model with a latent period, which we call…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-08-02 Kazue Kudo , Kanako Mizuno

In general, the rates of infection and removal (whether through recovery or death) are nonlinear functions of the number of infected and susceptible individuals. One of the simplest models for the spread of infectious diseases is the SIR…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-05-11 Seong Jun Park , M. Y. Choi

Current modeling of infectious diseases allows for the study of complex and realistic scenarios that go from the population to the individual level of description. However, most epidemic models assume that the spreading process takes place…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-04-15 Joaquín Sanz , Cheng-Yi Xia , Sandro Meloni , Yamir Moreno

We consider an epidemiological SIR model with an infection rate depending on the recovered population. We establish sufficient conditions for existence, uniqueness, and stability (local and global) of endemic equilibria and consider also…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2021-07-09 Andres David Báez-Sánchez , Nara Bobko

We propose two SIR models which incorporate sociological behavior of groups of individuals. It is these differences in behaviors which impose different infection rates on the individual susceptible populations, rather than biological…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-07-26 Robert F. Allen , Katherine Heller , Matthew A. Pons

The growing literature on the propagation of COVID-19 relies on various dynamic SIR-type models (Susceptible-Infected-Recovered) which yield model-dependent results. For transparency and ease of comparing the results, we introduce a common…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-19 Christian Gourieroux , Joann Jasiak

In this research, we develop a framework to analyze the interaction between the economy and the Covid-19 pandemic using an extension of SIR epidemic model. At the outset, we assume there are two health related investments including general…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-14 Zachariah Sinkala , Vajira Manathunga , Bichaka Fayissa