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We consider the classic supervised learning problem, where a continuous non-negative random label $Y$ (i.e. a random duration) is to be predicted based upon observing a random vector $X$ valued in $\mathbb{R}^d$ with $d\geq 1$ by means of a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-06 Guillaume Ausset , Stéphan Clémençon , François Portier

We study Pareto-optimal risk sharing in economies with heterogeneous attitudes toward risk, where agents' preferences are modeled by distortion risk measures. Building on comonotonic and counter-monotonic improvement results, we show that…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-22 Mario Ghossoub , Qinghua Ren , Ruodu Wang

The issue of fairness in machine learning models has recently attracted a lot of attention as ensuring it will ensure continued confidence of the general public in the deployment of machine learning systems. We focus on mitigating the harm…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-24 Thomas Kehrenberg , Zexun Chen , Novi Quadrianto

Although learning-based methods have great potential for robotics, one concern is that a robot that updates its parameters might cause large amounts of damage before it learns the optimal policy. We formalize the idea of safe learning in a…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-05-17 David Held , Zoe McCarthy , Michael Zhang , Fred Shentu , Pieter Abbeel

Traditional reinforcement learning methods optimize agents without considering safety, potentially resulting in unintended consequences. In this paper, we propose an optimal actor-free policy that optimizes a risk-sensitive criterion based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-04 Ruoqi Zhang , Jens Sjölund

Quadratic hedging of option payoffs generates the variance optimal martingale measure. When an option features an exercise policy and its cash flows are hedged according to this approach, it may be tempting to optimize such a policy under…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-26 Nicola Secomandi

The rise of algorithmic decision-making has spawned much research on fair machine learning (ML). Financial institutions use ML for building risk scorecards that support a range of credit-related decisions. Yet, the literature on fair ML in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-20 Nikita Kozodoi , Johannes Jacob , Stefan Lessmann

This paper revisits the classic instrument choice problem in a setting with consumption externalities, through the lens of robust mechanism design. A regulator can implement any incentive-compatible policy but is uncertain about how…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-18 Zi Yang Kang

We study tournaments where winning a rank-dependent prize requires passing a minimum performance standard. We show that, for any prize allocation, the optimal standard is always at a mode of performance that is weakly higher than the global…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-12-03 Mikhail Drugov , Dmitry Ryvkin , Jun Zhang

Real-world robotic tasks require complex reward functions. When we define the problem the robot needs to solve, we pretend that a designer specifies this complex reward exactly, and it is set in stone from then on. In practice, however,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-11-19 Jerry Zhi-Yang He , Anca D. Dragan

We provide a constructive way of defining new elicitable risk measures that are characterised by a multiplicative scoring function. We show that depending on the choice of the scoring function's components, the resulting risk measure…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-06 Akif Ince , Marlon Moresco , Ilaria Peri , Silvana M. Pesenti

Overcoming the impact of selfish behavior of rational players in multiagent systems is a fundamental problem in game theory. Without any intervention from a central agent, strategic users take actions in order to maximize their personal…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Maria-Florina Balcan , Matteo Pozzi , Dravyansh Sharma

Online strategic classification studies settings in which agents strategically modify their features to obtain favorable predictions. For example, given a classifier that determines loan approval based on credit scores, applicants may open…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Chase Hutton , Adam Melrod , Han Shao

We study the regulation of a monopolistic firm using a robust-design approach. We solve for the policy that minimizes the regulator's worst-case regret, where the regret is the difference between his complete-information payoff minus his…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-10-11 Yingni Guo , Eran Shmaya

Optimal designs are usually model-dependent and likely to be sub-optimal if the postulated model is not correctly specified. In practice, it is common that a researcher has a list of candidate models at hand and a design has to be found…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-29 Mingyao Ai , Holger Dette , Zhengfu Liu , Jun Yu

Fraud can pose a challenge in many resource allocation domains, including social service delivery and credit provision. For example, agents may misreport private information in order to gain benefits or access to credit. To mitigate this, a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Sanmay Das , Fang-Yi Yu , Yuang Zhang

Public-Private Partnership (PPP) is a contract between a public entity and a consortium, in which the public outsources the construction and the maintenance of an equipment (hospital, university, prison...). One drawback of this contract is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-07 Ishak Hajjej , Caroline Hillairet , Mohamed Mnif , Monique Pontier

This paper considers risk-sensitive model predictive control for stochastic systems with a decision-dependent distribution. This class of systems is commonly found in human-robot interaction scenarios. We derive computationally tractable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-02 Renzi Wang , Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

We consider the optimal risk transfer from an insurance company to a reinsurer. The problem formulation considered in this paper is closely connected to the optimal portfolio problem in finance, with some crucial distinctions. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-23 Benjamin Avanzi , Hayden Lau , Mogens Steffensen

The widespread use of machine learning in credit scoring has brought significant advancements in risk assessment and decision-making. However, it has also raised concerns about potential biases, discrimination, and lack of transparency in…