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We study the overlaps between right and left eigenvectors for random matrices of the spherical and truncated unitary ensembles. Conditionally on all eigenvalues, diagonal overlaps are shown to be distributed as a product of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-17 Guillaume Dubach

We prove a large deviation principle for the largest eigenvalue of Wigner matrices without Gaussian tails, namely such that the distribution tails $\mathbb{P}( |X_{1,1}|>t)$ and $\mathbb{P}(|X_{1,2}|>t)$ behave like $e^{-bt^{\alpha}}$ and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-11 Fanny Augeri

There are many ways of measuring and modeling tail-dependence in random vectors: from the general framework of multivariate regular variation and the flexible class of max-stable vectors down to simple and concise summary measures like the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-12-05 Anja Janßen , Sebastian Neblung , Stilian Stoev

Empirical distributions have their in-sample maxima as natural censoring. We look at the "hidden tail", that is, the part of the distribution in excess of the maximum for a sample size of $n$. Using extreme value theory, we examine the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-14 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

We compute analytically the probability density function (pdf) of the largest eigenvalue $\lambda_{\max}$ in rotationally invariant Cauchy ensembles of $N\times N$ matrices. We consider unitary ($\beta = 2$), orthogonal ($\beta =1$) and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-01-29 Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr , Dario Villamaina , Pierpaolo Vivo

We derive exponential tail inequalities for sums of random matrices with no dependence on the explicit matrix dimensions. These are similar to the matrix versions of the Chernoff bound and Bernstein inequality except with the explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-16 Daniel Hsu , Sham M. Kakade , Tong Zhang

Estimating the eigenvalues of a population covariance matrix from a sample covariance matrix is a problem of fundamental importance in multivariate statistics; the eigenvalues of covariance matrices play a key role in many widely…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Noureddine El Karoui

In this paper, we study tail inequalities of the largest eigenvalue of a matrix infinitely divisible (i.d.) series, which is a finite sum of fixed matrices weighted by i.d. random variables. We obtain several types of tail inequalities,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-31 Chao Zhang , Xianjie Gao , Min-Hsiu Hsieh , Hanyuan Hang , Dacheng Tao

We compute analytically the probability of large fluctuations to the left of the mean of the largest eigenvalue in the Wishart (Laguerre) ensemble of positive definite random matrices. We show that the probability that all the eigenvalues…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Pierpaolo Vivo , Satya N. Majumdar , Oriol Bohigas

We consider the problem of choosing design parameters to minimize the probability of an undesired rare event that is described through the average of $n$ iid random variables. Since the probability of interest for near optimal design…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-02-22 Amarjit Budhiraja , Shu Lu , Yang Yu , Quoc Tran-Dinh

We derive the tail inequalities between two random variables starting from inequalities between its moment, or more generally between its Lebesgue-Riesz norms, which holds true on certain sets of parameters. We consider some applications…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-06-06 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

The Adaptive Multilevel Splitting (AMS) algorithm is a powerful and versatile method for the simulation of rare events. It is based on an interacting (via a mutation-selection procedure) system of replicas, and depends on two integer…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-25 Charles-Edouard Bréhier

The key to successful statistical analysis of bivariate extreme events lies in flexible modelling of the tail dependence relationship between the two variables. In the extreme value theory literature, various techniques are available to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-05 Emma S. Simpson , Jonathan A. Tawn

Assessing the probability of occurrence of extreme events is a crucial issue in various fields like finance, insurance, telecommunication or environmental sciences. In a multivariate framework, the tail dependence is characterized by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-26 Nicolas Goix , Anne Sabourin , Stéphan Clémençon

It is known that large deviations of sums of subexponential random variables are most likely realised by deviations of a single random variable. In this article we give a detailed picture of how subexponential random variables are…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-25 Inés Armendáriz , Michail Loulakis

We provide a new extension of Breiman's Theorem on computing tail probabilities of a product of random variables to a multivariate setting. In particular, we give a complete characterization of regular variation on cones in $[0,\infty)^d$…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-09 Bikramjit Das , Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Claudia Klüppelberg

Random matrix theory has played an important role in various areas of pure mathematics, mathematical physics, and machine learning. From a practical perspective of data science, input data are usually normalized prior to processing. Thus,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Hyakka Nakada , Shu Tanaka

We often rely on probabilistic measures -- e.g. event probability or expected time -- to characterize systems' safety. However, determining these quantities for extremely low-probability events is generally challenging, as standard safety…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Aitor R. Gomez , Manuela L. Bujorianu , Rafal Wisniewski

We present a large deviation principle at speed N for the largest eigenvalue of some additively deformed Wigner matrices. In particular this includes Gaussian ensembles with full-rank general deformation. For the non-Gaussian ensembles, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Benjamin McKenna

The expected Euler characteristic (EEC) method is an integral-geometric method used to approximate the tail probability of the maximum of a random field on a manifold. Noting that the largest eigenvalue of a real-symmetric or Hermitian…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-17 Satoshi Kuriki