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We introduce a prototype model in an attempt to capture some aspects of market dynamics simulating a trading mechanism. The model description starts with a discrete-space, continuous-time Markov process describing arrival and movement of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-04-04 N. Vvedenskaya , Y. Suhov , V. Belitsky

This paper introduces a novel Bayesian reverse unrestricted mixed-frequency model applied to a panel of nine European electricity markets. Our model analyzes the impact of daily fossil fuel prices and hourly renewable energy generation on…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-01 Francesco Ravazzolo , Luca Rossini , Andrea Viselli

The combustion of coal, the most polluting form of energy, must be significantly curtailed to limit global average temperature increase to well below 2 degrees C. The effectiveness of carbon pricing is frequently undermined by sub-optimally…

General Economics · Economics 2024-06-21 Sugandha Srivastav , Michael Zaehringer

Carbon emissions are currently attributed to producers although a consumption-aware accounting is advocated. After constructing the Carbon Trade Network, we trace the flow of emissions over the past two decades. Our analysis reveals the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-12-24 Gianluca Guidi , Rossana Mastrandrea , Angelo Facchini , Tiziano Squartini , Christopher Kennedy

Achieving net-zero carbon emissions requires a transformation of energy systems, industrial processes, and consumption patterns. In particular, a transition towards that goal involves a gradual reduction of excess carbon emissions that are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-19 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Nora Muler

MEDEAS (Modelling the Energy Development under Environmental And Socioeconomic constraint) World is a new global-aggregated energy-economy-environmental model, which runs from 1995 to 2050. In this work, we tested the MEDEAS world model to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-07-31 Gianluca Martelloni , Francesca Di Patti , Ilaria Perissi , Sara Falsini , Ugo Bardi

We develop a model for the long-term dynamics of electricity market, based on mean-field games of optimal stopping. Our paper extends the recent contribution [A\"id, Ren\'e, Roxana Dumitrescu, and Peter Tankov, ``The entry and exit game in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-01 Alicia Bassière , Roxana Dumitrescu , Peter Tankov

In this note, we present an existence result of a Nash equilibrium between electricity producers selling their production on an electricity market and buying CO2 emission allowances on an auction carbon market. The producers' strategies…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-11-08 Mireille Bossy , Nadia Maizi , Odile Pourtallier

In this article, we propose two-stage planning models for Electricity-Gas Coupled Integrated Energy System (EGC-IES), in which traditional thermal power plants (TTPPs) are considered to be retrofitted into carbon capture power plants…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-23 Ang Xuan , Xinwei Shen , Qinglai Guo , Hongbin Sun

The European power grid can be divided into several market areas where the price of electricity is determined in a day-ahead auction. Market participants can provide continuous hourly bid curves and combinatorial bids with associated…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-02 Alexander Martin , Johannes C. Müller , Sebastian Pokutta

Demand response provides utilities with a mechanism to share with end users the stochasticity resulting from the use of renewable sources. Pricing is accordingly used to reflect energy availability, to allocate such a limited resource to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-06-08 Andrea Monacchi , Wilfried Elmenreich

In [1], a single-period co-optimization model of energy and reserve is considered to better illustrate the properties of the co-optimization model and the associated market mechanism. To make the discussion more general, in this paper, the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-27 Jiantao Shi , Ye Guo , Lang Tong , Wenchuan Wu , Hongbin Sun

The large integration of variable energy resources is expected to shift a large part of the energy exchanges closer to real-time, where more accurate forecasts are available. In this context, the short-term electricity markets and in…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-14 Ioannis Boukas , Damien Ernst , Thibaut Théate , Adrien Bolland , Alexandre Huynen , Martin Buchwald , Christelle Wynants , Bertrand Cornélusse

Marginal emissions rates -- the sensitivity of carbon emissions to electricity demand -- are important for evaluating the impact of emissions mitigation measures. Like locational marginal prices, locational marginal emissions rates (LMEs)…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-08-21 Anthony Degleris , Lucas Fuentes Valenzuela , Ram Rajagopal , Marco Pavone , Abbas El Gamal

Carbon prices are one of the most prominent methods to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions and have been adopted by several countries around the world. However, regionally different carbon prices can lead to carbon leakage. We…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-02-15 Markus Schlott , Fabian Hofmann , Changlong Wang , R. O. Gomes , Alexander Kies

Ambitious targets for renewable energy and CO2 taxation both represent political instruments for decarbonisation of the energy system. We model a high number of coupled electricity and heating systems, where the primary sources of CO2…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-12-18 K. Zhu , M. Victoria , T. Brown , G. B. Andresen , M. Greiner

Accurate estimation of Marginal Emission Factors (MEFs) is critical for evaluating the decarbonization potential of low-carbon technologies and demand-side management. However, canonical methodologies, predominantly relying on linear…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-05 Antonio Panico , Andrew Burlinson , Luigi Grossi

An increasing share of consumers care about the carbon footprint of their electricity. This paper analyzes a method to integrate consumer carbon preferences in the electricity market-clearing by introducing consumer-based carbon costs and a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-27 Wenqian Jiang , Aditya Rangarajan , Line Roald

This paper examines Mixed-Integer Multi-Level problems with Sequential Followers (MIMLSF), a specialized optimization model aimed at enhancing upper-level decision-making by incorporating anticipated outcomes from lower-level sequential…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-28 Yuxin Xia , Iacopo Savelli , Thomas Morstyn

The recent research report of U.S. Department of Energy prompts us to re-examine the pricing theories applied in electricity market design. The theory of spot pricing is the basis of electricity market design in many countries, but it has…

Econometrics · Economics 2017-10-24 Haoyong Chen , Lijia Han