MEDEAS-World model calibration for the study of the energy transition
Abstract
MEDEAS (Modelling the Energy Development under Environmental And Socioeconomic constraint) World is a new global-aggregated energy-economy-environmental model, which runs from 1995 to 2050. In this work, we tested the MEDEAS world model to reproduce the IPCC (International Panel on Climate Change) GHG (Green House Gases) emission pathways consistent with 2 {\deg}C Global Warming. We achieved parameter optimizations of the MEDEAS model related to different scenarios until 2050. We chose to provide a sensitivity analysis on the parameters that directly influence the emission curves focusing on the annual growth of the RES (Renewable Energy Sources), GDP (Gross Domestic Product) and annual population growth. From such an analysis, it has been possible to infer the large impact of GDP on the emission scenarios.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.1906.01997,
title = {MEDEAS-World model calibration for the study of the energy transition},
author = {Gianluca Martelloni and Francesca Di Patti and Ilaria Perissi and Sara Falsini and Ugo Bardi},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1906.01997},
year = {2019}
}
Comments
Submitted to puntOorg International Journal on 30/07/2019 (special issue Systemic Approaches)