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We study the asymptotic behaviour of Markov processes on large weighted Erdos-Renyi graphs where the transition rates of the vertices are only influenced by the state of their neighbours and the corresponding weight on the edges. We find…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-07 Daniel Keliger , Illes Horvath

Starting from a stochastic individual-based description of an SIS epidemic spreading on a random network, we study the dynamics when the size $n$ of the network tends to infinity. We recover in the limit an infinite-dimensional…

In this work, we use the spectral properties of graphons to study stability and sensitivity to noise of deterministic SIS epidemics over large networks. We consider the presence of additive noise in a linearized SIS model and we derive a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-31 Renato Vizuete , Paolo Frasca , Federica Garin

We study Markov population processes on large graphs, with the local state transition rates of a single vertex being linear function of its neighborhood. A simple way to approximate such processes is by a system of ODEs called the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Dániel Keliger

We consider a countable system of interacting (possibly non-Markovian) stochastic differential equations driven by independent Brownian motions and indexed by the vertices of a locally finite graph $G = (V,E)$. The drift of the process at…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-28 Daniel Lacker , Kavita Ramanan , Ruoyu Wu

We prove a Large Deviation Principle for {\color{blue} jump-Markov } Processes on sparse large disordered network with disordered connectivity. The network is embedded in a geometric space, with the probability of a connection a (scaled)…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-02 James MacLaurin

The epidemic threshold of the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) dynamics on random networks having a power law degree distribution with exponent $\gamma>3$ has been investigated using different mean-field approaches, which predict…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-19 Angélica S. Mata , Silvio C. Ferreira

We consider a random graph in which vertices can have one of two possible colours. Each vertex switches its colour at a rate that is proportional to the number of vertices of the other colour to which it is connected by an edge. Each edge…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Siva Athreya , Frank den Hollander , Adrian Röllin

We consider a class of graph-valued stochastic processes in which each vertex has a type that fluctuates randomly over time. Collectively, the paths of the vertex types up to a given time determine the probabilities that the edges are…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-07 Peter Braunsteins , Frank den Hollander , Michel Mandjes

In this paper, we study the trajectory of a classic SIR epidemic on a family of dynamic random graphs of fixed size, whose set of edges continuously evolves over time. We set general infection and recovery times, and start the epidemic from…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-17 Marta Milewska , Remco van der Hofstad , Bert Zwart

We study the existence of densities for distributions of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We also obtain relationships between invariant densities of the continuous time process and that of the process observed at jump times. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 Piotr Gwiżdż , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

In this paper, we are concerned with the stochastic susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model on the complete graph with $n$ vertices. This model has two parameters, which are the infection rate and the recovery rate. By…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-02 Huazheng Bu , Xiaofeng Xue

We study Markov processes conditioned so that their local time must grow slower than a prescribed function. Building upon recent work on Brownian motion with constrained local time in [5] and [33], we study transience and recurrence for a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-12-24 Adam Barker

We consider an SIR epidemic model propagating on a configuration model network, where the degree distribution of the vertices is given and where the edges are randomly matched. The evolution of the epidemic is summed up into three…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-09 Laurent Decreusefond , Jean-Stéphane Dhersin , Pascal Moyal , Viet Chi Tran

We study Markov processes on weighted directed hypergraphs where the state of at most one vertex can change at a time. Our setting is general enough to include simplicial epidemic processes, processes on multilayered networks or even the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Dániel Keliger , Balázs Ráth

Although viral spreading processes taking place in networks are often analyzed using Markovian models in which both the transmission and the recovery times follow exponential distributions, empirical studies show that, in many real…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-03-19 Masaki Ogura , Victor M. Preciado

The susceptible--infected--susceptible (SIS) epidemic process on complex networks can show metastability, resembling an endemic equilibrium. In a general setting, the metastable state may involve a large portion of the network, or it can be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-05-03 Faryad Darabi Sahneh , Aram Vajdi , Caterina Scoglio

In this paper, we are concerned with stochastic susceptible-exposed-infected-removed epidemics on complete graphs with vertex-dependent transition rates. Large and moderate deviations of empirical density fields of our models are given.…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-02 Xiaofeng Xue , Xueting Yin

We consider Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) models on dense dynamic random graphs, in which the joint dynamics of vertices and edges are co-evolutionary, i.e., they influence each other bidirectionally. In particular, edges appear and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Simone Baldassarri , Peter Braunsteins , Frank den Hollander , Michel Mandjes

We study the stability properties of a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) diffusion model, so-called the $n$-intertwined Markov model, over arbitrary directed network topologies. As in the majority of the work on infection spread…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-02-23 Ali Khanafer , Tamer Başar , Bahman Gharesifard
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