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We investigate the expected time to extinction in the susceptible-infectious-susceptible (SIS) model of disease spreading. Rather than using stochastic simulations, or asymptotic calculations in network models, we solve the extinction time…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-12-26 Petter Holme , Liubov Tupikina

Markov processes with stochastic resetting towards the origin generically converge towards non-equilibrium steady-states. Long dynamical trajectories can be thus analyzed via the large deviations at Level 2.5 for the joint probability of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-07 Cecile Monthus

We present a general approach to study the flooding time (a measure of how fast information spreads) in dynamic graphs (graphs whose topology changes with time according to a random process). We consider arbitrary converging Markovian…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2015-03-19 Andrea Clementi , Riccardo Silvestri , Luca Trevisan

We study an inhomogeneous sparse random graph on [N] = {1, . . . , N } as introduced in a seminal paper by Bollobas, Janson and Riordan (2007): vertices have a type (here in a compact metric space S), and edges between different vertices…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-21 Luisa Andreis , Wolfgang König , Heide Langhammer , Robert I. A. Patterson

We study K-processes, which are Markov processes in a denumerable state space, all of whose elements are stable, with the exception of a single state, starting from which the process enters finite sets of stable states with uniform…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-27 L. R. G. Fontes , P. Mathieu

We numerically study the dynamics of the SIR disease model on small-world networks by using a large-deviation approach. This allows us to obtain the probability density function of the total fraction of infected nodes and of the maximum…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-01 Yannick Feld , Alexander K. Hartmann

Infections diseases are marked by recovering time distributions which can be far from the exponential one associated with Markovian/Poisson processes, broadly applied in epidemic compartmental models. In the present work, we tackled this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-03 José Carlos M. Silva , Diogo H. Silva , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Silvio C. Ferreira

Graph dynamical systems (GDS) model dynamic processes on a (static) graph. Stochastic GDS has been used for network-based epidemics models such as the contact process and the reversible contact process. In this paper, we consider stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-16 Seyyed A. Fatemi , June Zhang

Localization phenomena permeate many branches of physics playing a fundamental role on dynamical processes evolving on heterogeneous networks. These localization analyses are frequently grounded, for example, on eigenvectors of adjacency or…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-24 Diogo H. Silva , Silvio C. Ferreira

We propose an extension of the Contextual Graph Markov Model, a deep and probabilistic machine learning model for graphs, to model the distribution of edge features. Our approach is architectural, as we introduce an additional Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Daniele Atzeni , Federico Errica , Davide Bacciu , Alessio Micheli

We analyze the existence and the size of the giant component in the stationary state of a Markovian model for bipartite multigraphs, in which the movement of the edge ends on one set of vertices of the bipartite graph is a zero-range…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Otto Pulkkinen , Juha Merikoski

Exploiting the power of the expectation operator and indicator (or Bernoulli) random variables, we present the exact governing equations for both the SIR and SIS epidemic models on \emph{networks}. Although SIR and SIS are basic epidemic…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-02-10 Piet Van Mieghem

In this paper we are concerned with the Susceptible-Infective-Removed model with random transition rates on complete graphs $C_n$ with $n$ vertices. We assign i. i. d. copies of a positive random variable $\xi$ on each vertex as the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Xiaofeng Xue

We study the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) epidemic on a random graph chosen uniformly over all graphs with certain critical, heavy-tailed degree distributions. For this model, each vertex infects all its susceptible neighbors and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-14 David Clancy

Recent studies on network geometry, a way of describing network structures as geometrical objects, are revolutionizing our way to understand dynamical processes on networked systems. Here, we cope with the problem of epidemic spreading,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-04 Joan T. Matamalas , Sergio Gómez , Alex Arenas

We consider spin systems on general $n$-vertex graphs of unbounded degree and explore the effects of spectral independence on the rate of convergence to equilibrium of global Markov chains. Spectral independence is a novel way of…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-30 Antonio Blanca , Xusheng Zhang

We study a simple model of epidemics where an infected node transmits the infection to its neighbors independently with probability $p$. This is also known as the independent cascade or Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model with fixed…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-10-19 Yeganeh Alimohammadi , Christian Borgs , Amin Saberi

We study the SIRS process, a continuous-time Markov chain modeling the spread of infections on graphs. In this model, vertices are either susceptible, infected, or recovered. Each infected vertex becomes recovered at rate 1 and infects each…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Tobias Friedrich , Andreas Göbel , Nicolas Klodt , Martin S. Krejca , Marcus Pappik

The interplay between bifurcations and random switching processes of vector fields is studied. More precisely, we provide a classification of piecewise deterministic Markov processes arising from stochastic switching dynamics near fold,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-01-03 Tobias Hurth , Christian Kuehn

We study the asymptotics of large, moderate and normal deviations for the connected components of the sparse random graph by the method of stochastic processes. We obtain the logarithmic asymptotics of large deviations of the joint…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Anatolii A. Puhalskii
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