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In this paper, we obtain quantitative, non-asymptotic, and data-dependent \textit{Bernstein-von Mises type} bounds on the normal approximation of the posterior distribution in exponential family models with arbitrary centring and scaling.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Adrian Fischer , Robert E. Gaunt , Gesine Reinert , Yvik Swan

Testing network effects in weighted directed networks is a foundational problem in econometrics, sociology, and psychology. Yet, the prevalent edge dependency poses a significant methodological challenge. Most existing methods are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-09 Wenqin Du , Yuan Zhang , Wen Zhou

We consider the symmetric FEM-BEM coupling that connects two linear elliptic second order partial differential equations posed in a bounded domain $\Omega$ and its complement, where the exterior problem is restated by an integral equation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-01-30 Jens Markus Melenk , Dirk Praetorius , Barbara Wohlmuth

We study almost sure limiting behavior of extreme and intermediate order statistics arising from strictly stationary sequences. First, we provide sufficient dependence conditions under which these order statistics converges almost surely to…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-28 Aneta Buraczyńska , Anna Dembińska

Let $(g_{n})_{n\geq 1}$ be a sequence of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) $d\times d$ real random matrices. For $n\geq 1$ set $G_n = g_n \ldots g_1$. Given any starting point $x=\mathbb R v\in\mathbb{P}^{d-1}$, consider the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-20 Hui Xiao , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

Neyman (1923/1990) introduced the randomization model, which contains the notation of potential outcomes to define causal effects and a framework for large-sample inference based on the design of the experiment. However, the existing theory…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-16 Lei Shi , Peng Ding

Let $(X_i)_{1 \le i \le n}$ be independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) standard Gaussian random variables, and denote by $X_{(n)} = \max_{1 \le i \le n} X_i$ the maximum order statistic. It is well-known in extreme value theory…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-15 Yutao Ma , Bingjie Tian

We consider the boundary case (in the sense of Biggins and Kyprianou [Electron. J. Probab. 10 (2005) 609--631] in a one-dimensional super-critical branching random walk, and study the additive martingale $(W_n)$. We prove that, upon the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-04-07 Elie Aidekon , Zhan Shi

Let the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process $\{X_t,\,t\geq 0\}$ driven by a fractional Brownian motion $B^H$ described by $d X_t=-\theta X_t dt+ d B_t^H,\, X_0=0$ with known parameter $H\in (0,\frac34)$ be observed at discrete time instants $t_k=kh,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Zheng Tang , Ying Li , Haili Yang , Hua Yi , Yong Chen

We show that spline and wavelet series regression estimators for weakly dependent regressors attain the optimal uniform (i.e. sup-norm) convergence rate $(n/\log n)^{-p/(2p+d)}$ of Stone (1982), where $d$ is the number of regressors and $p$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-06-06 Xiaohong Chen , Timothy Christensen

Error bound conditions (EBC) are properties that characterize the growth of an objective function when a point is moved away from the optimal set. They have recently received increasing attention in the field of optimization for developing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-15 Mingrui Liu , Xiaoxuan Zhang , Lijun Zhang , Rong Jin , Tianbao Yang

We obtain a Bernstein-type inequality for sums of Banach-valued random variables satisfying a weak dependence assumption of general type and under certain smoothness assumptions of the underlying Banach norm. We use this inequality in order…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-11 Gilles Blanchard , Oleksandr Zadorozhnyi

A Chernoff-type distribution is a nonnormal distribution defined by the slope at zero of the greatest convex minorant of a two-sided Brownian motion with a polynomial drift. While a Chernoff-type distribution is known to appear as the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-23 Qiyang Han , Kengo Kato

The sample paths of Brownian motion are known to admit the exact Besov-type smoothness exponent 1/2 when measured in the sub-Gaussian Orlicz norm. We extend these regularity results by deriving the exact limit of the sub-Gaussian Orlicz…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Fabian Mies

We obtain an optimal bound for a Gaussian approximation of a large class of vector-valued random processes. Our results provide a substantial generalization of earlier results that assume independence and/or stationarity. Based on the decay…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-29 Sayar Karmakar , Wei Biao Wu

We investigate the almost sure asymptotic properties of vector martingale transforms. Assuming some appropriate regularity conditions both on the increasing process and on the moments of the martingale, we prove that normalized moments of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-05 Bernard Bercu , Peggy Cénac , Guy Fayolle

Consider the set of all sequences of $n$ outcomes, each taking one of $m$ values, that satisfy a number of linear constraints. If $m$ is fixed while $n$ increases, most sequences that satisfy the constraints result in frequency vectors…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-18 Kostas N. Oikonomou , Peter D. Grunwald

We formulate and establish the central limit theorem for products of i.i.d. random variables on arbitrary simply connected nilpotent Lie groups, allowing a possible bias. Two new phenomena arise in the presence of a bias: (a) the walk…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-10 Timothée Bénard , Emmanuel Breuillard

We consider the problem of bounding large deviations for non-i.i.d. random variables that are allowed to have arbitrary dependencies. Previous works typically assumed a specific dependence structure, namely the existence of independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-06 Christoph H. Lampert , Liva Ralaivola , Alexander Zimin

In this paper, we obtain precise rates of convergence in the strong invariance principle for stationary sequences of real-valued random variables satisfying weak dependence conditions including strong mixing in the sense of Rosenblatt…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-17 Florence Merlevède , Emmanuel Rio