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The paper proposes a new approach to model risk measurement based on the Wasserstein distance between two probability measures. It formulates the theoretical motivation resulting from the interpretation of fictitious adversary of robust…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-05 Yu Feng , Erik Schlögl

This paper presents a unified approach based on Wasserstein distance to derive concentration bounds for empirical estimates for two broad classes of risk measures defined in the paper. The classes of risk measures introduced include as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-11 Prashanth L. A. , Sanjay P. Bhat

The ability to make optimal decisions under uncertainty remains important across a variety of disciplines from portfolio management to power engineering. This generally implies applying some safety margins on uncertain parameters that may…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-05 Matt Roveto , Robert Mieth , Yury Dvorkin

In this paper we tackle the problem of comparing distributions of random variables and defining a mean pattern between a sample of random events. Using barycenters of measures in the Wasserstein space, we propose an iterative version as an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-12 Emmanuel Boissard , Thibaut Le Gouic , Jean-Michel Loubes

We study the problem of model aggregation within the Wasserstein space for probability measures on the real line. Given a fixed finite collection of candidate probability models, we consider the associated class of Wasserstein barycenters…

Wasserstein barycenters define averages of probability measures in a geometrically meaningful way. Their use is increasingly popular in applied fields, such as image, geometry or language processing. In these fields however, the probability…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-13 Guillaume Carlier , Alex Delalande , Quentin Merigot

Model uncertainty has been one prominent issue both in the theory of risk measures and in practice such as financial risk management and regulation. Motivated by this observation, in this paper, we take a new perspective to describe the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-14 Shuo Gong , Yijun Hu , Linxiao Wei

Wasserstein barycenters provide a geometric notion of the weighted average of probability measures based on optimal transport. In this paper, we present a scalable algorithm to compute Wasserstein-2 barycenters given sample access to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-02 Alexander Korotin , Lingxiao Li , Justin Solomon , Evgeny Burnaev

In this paper, we explore a static setting for the assessment of risk in the context of mathematical finance and actuarial science that takes into account model uncertainty in the distribution of a possibly infinite-dimensional risk factor.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-13 Max Nendel , Alessandro Sgarabottolo

We propose a distributionally robust approach to risk-sensitive estimation of an unknown signal x from an observed signal y. The unknown signal and observation are modeled as random vectors whose joint probability distribution is unknown,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Feras Al Taha , Eilyan Bitar

In this paper, a regularization of Wasserstein barycenters for random measures supported on $\mathbb{R}^{d}$ is introduced via convex penalization. The existence and uniqueness of such barycenters is first proved for a large class of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-20 Jérémie Bigot , Elsa Cazelles , Nicolas Papadakis

There are various metrics for financial risk, such as value at risk (VaR), expected shortfall, expected/unexpected loss, etc. When estimating these metrics, it was very common to assume Gaussian distribution for the asset returns, which may…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-17 Shuguang Zhang , Minjing Tao , Xu-Feng Niu , Fred Huffer

Quantification of risk positions under model uncertainty is of crucial importance from both viewpoints of external regulation and internal management. The concept of model uncertainty, sometimes also referred to as model ambiguity. Although…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-06 Wentao Hu

We study stochastic optimization problems with chance and risk constraints, where in the latter, risk is quantified in terms of the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). We consider the distributionally robust versions of these problems, where…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-17 Ashish Cherukuri , Ashish R. Hota

We propose a hybrid resampling method to approximate finitely supported Wasserstein barycenters on large-scale datasets, which can be combined with any exact solver. Nonasymptotic bounds on the expected error of the objective value as well…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-28 Florian Heinemann , Axel Munk , Yoav Zemel

Wasserstein barycenters have become popular due to their ability to represent the average of probability measures in a geometrically meaningful way. In this paper, we present an algorithm to approximate the Wasserstein-2 barycenters of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-10 Alexander Korotin , Vage Egiazarian , Lingxiao Li , Evgeny Burnaev

In many applications in statistics and machine learning, the availability of data samples from multiple possibly heterogeneous sources has become increasingly prevalent. On the other hand, in distributionally robust optimization, we seek…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-31 Tim Tsz-Kit Lau , Han Liu

We propose a novel approach to the problem of multilevel clustering, which aims to simultaneously partition data in each group and discover grouping patterns among groups in a potentially large hierarchically structured corpus of data. Our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-06-14 Nhat Ho , XuanLong Nguyen , Mikhail Yurochkin , Hung Hai Bui , Viet Huynh , Dinh Phung

In this paper we propose a novel Bayesian methodology for Value-at-Risk computation based on parametric Product Partition Models. Value-at-Risk is a standard tool to measure and control the market risk of an asset or a portfolio, and it is…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-05-15 Giacomo Bormetti , Maria Elena De Giuli , Danilo Delpini , Claudia Tarantola

Wasserstein barycenters provide a principled approach for aggregating probability measures, while preserving the geometry of their ambient space. Existing discrete methods are not scalable as they assume access to the complete set of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-10 Eduardo Fernandes Montesuma , Yassir Bendou , Mike Gartrell
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