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We consider a critical bisexual branching process in a random environment generated by independent and identically distributed random variables. Assuming that the process starts with a large number of pairs $N$, we prove that its extinction…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-13 A. P. Zhiyanov , A. V. Shklyaev

It is well-known that conditioning a supercritical (multi-type) branching process on the event that it eventually becomes extinct yields a subcritical branching process. We study the corresponding inverse problem: given a subcritical…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Ewain Gwynne , Jiaqi Liu

We investigate extinction of a long-lived self-regulating stochastic population, caused by intrinsic (demographic) noise. Extinction typically occurs via one of two scenarios depending on whether the absorbing state n=0 is a repelling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Michael Assaf , Baruch Meerson

A special type of immigration associated with measure-valued branching processes is formulated by using skew convolution semigroups. We give characterization for a general inhomogeneous skew convolution semigroup in terms of probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Zeng-Hu Li

We study the asymptotic behaviour of the survival probability of a multitype branching process in random environment. The class of processes we consider here corresponds, in the one-dimensional situation, to the strongly subcritical case.…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Vladimir Vatutin , Vitali Wachtel

A continuous-state polynomial branching process is constructed as the pathwise unique solution of a stochastic integral equation with absorbing boundary condition. The extinction and explosion probabilities and the mean extinction and…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-09 Pei-Sen Li

Evolutionary branching is analysed in a stochastic, individual-based population model under mutation and selection. In such models, the common assumption is that individual reproduction and life career are characterised by values of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-10-01 S. Sagitov , B. Mehlig , P. Jagers , V. Vatutin

The asymptotic behavior, as $n\rightarrow \infty $ of the conditional distribution of the number of particles in a decomposable critical branching process $\mathbf{Z}% (m)=(Z_{1}(m),...,Z_{N}(m)),$ with $N$ types of particles at moment…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 V. A. Vatutin , E. E. Dyakonova

Life is on the razor's edge as resulting from competitive birth and death random forces. We illustrate this aphorism in the context of three Markov chain population models where systematic random immigration events promoting growth are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-04-18 Thierry Huillet

We present an explicit unified stochastic model of fluctuations in population size due to random birth, death, density-dependent competition and environmental fluctuations. Stochastic dynamics provide insight into small populations,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-07-31 Alexei J. Drummond , Peter D. Drummond

We investigate the long-time evolution of branching diffusion processes (starting with a finite number of particles) in inhomogeneous media. The qualitative behavior of the processes depends on the intensity of the branching. In the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-23 Leonid Koralov

This paper introduces stochastic processes that describe the evolution of systems of particles in which particles immigrate according to a Poisson measure and split according to a self-similar fragmentation. Criteria for existence and…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Benedicte Haas

In this work we address the analysis of discrete-time models of structured metapopulations subject to environmental stochasticity. Previous works on these models made use of the fact that migrations between the patches can be considered…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-02-07 Luis Sanz , Rafael Bravo de la Parra

Certain Markov processes, or deterministic evolution equations, have the property that they are dual to a stochastic process that exhibits extinction versus unbounded growth, i.e., the total mass in such a process either becomes zero, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jan M. Swart

In this paper, we investigate the asymptotic behaviors of the survival probability and maximal displacement of a subcritical branching killed L\'{e}vy process $X$ in $\mathbb{R}$. Let $\zeta$ denote the extinction time, $M_t$ be the maximal…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Yan-Xia Ren , Renming Song , Yaping Zhu

A family of continuous-state branching processes with immigration are constructed as the solution flow of a stochastic equation system driven by time-space noises. The family can be regarded as an inhomogeneous increasing path-valued…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-14 Zenghu Li

We study a generic reaction-diffusion model for single-species population dynamics that includes reproduction, death, and competition. The population is assumed to be confined in a refuge beyond which conditions are so harsh that they lead…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 C. Escudero , J. Buceta , F. J. de la Rubia , Katja Lindenberg

In this paper we study a particular class of Piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP's) which are semi-stochastic catastrophe versions of deterministic population growth models. In between successive jumps the process follows a flow…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Branda Goncalves , Thierry Huillet , Eva Löcherbach

In this paper, a special sequence of controlled branching processes is considered. We provide a simple set of sufficient conditions for the weak convergence of such processes to a weak solution to a kind of continuous branching processes…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-15 Jiawei Liu

We consider an indecomposable Galton-Watson branching process with countably infinitely many types. Assuming that the process is critical and allowing for infinite variance of the offspring sizes of some (or all) types of particles we…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-02 V. A. Topchii , V. A. Vatutin , E. E. Dyakonova