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Animals are known to make efficient probabilistic inferences based on uncertain and noisy information from the outside world. Although it is known that generic neural networks can perform near-optimal point estimation by probabilistic…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-10 Kohei Ichikawa , Asaki Kataoka

Representations of sequential data are commonly based on the assumption that observed sequences are realizations of an unknown underlying stochastic process, where the learning problem includes determination of the model parameters. In this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-17 Ronny Hug , Wolfgang Hübner , Michael Arens

Recent advances in molecular simulations allow the evaluation of previously unattainable observables, such as rate constants for protein folding. However, these calculations are usually computationally expensive and even significant…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-27 Barmak Mostofian , Daniel M. Zuckerman

Neural processes (NPs) are models for transfer learning with properties reminiscent of Gaussian Processes (GPs). They are adept at modelling data consisting of few observations of many related functions on the same input space and are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-24 Miguel Garcia-Ortegon , Andreas Bender , Sergio Bacallado

Model misspecification is ubiquitous in data analysis because the data-generating process is often complex and mathematically intractable. Therefore, assessing estimation uncertainty and conducting statistical inference under a possibly…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-19 Rong Li , Yichen Qin , Yang Li

Clustering procedures typically estimate which data points are clustered together, a quantity of primary importance in many analyses. Often used as a preliminary step for dimensionality reduction or to facilitate interpretation, finding…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-06 Ryan Giordano , Runjing Liu , Nelle Varoquaux , Michael I. Jordan , Tamara Broderick

Language models for program synthesis are usually trained and evaluated on programming competition datasets (MBPP, APPS). However, these datasets are limited in size and quality, while these language models are extremely data hungry.…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-07-23 Noah van der Vleuten

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs) use a neural network to model the instantaneous rate of change in the state of a system. However, despite their apparent suitability for dynamics-governed time-series, NODEs present a few…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Alexander Norcliffe , Cristian Bodnar , Ben Day , Jacob Moss , Pietro Liò

The computational demands of deep learning motivate the investigation of alternative approaches to computation. One alternative is physical neural networks~(PNNs), in which learning and inference are performed directly via physical…

The ability to learn continuously in artificial neural networks (ANNs) is often limited by catastrophic forgetting, a phenomenon in which new knowledge becomes dominant. By taking mechanisms of memory encoding in neuroscience (aka. engrams)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-28 Isabelle Aguilar , Luis Fernando Herbozo Contreras , Omid Kavehei

We propose a framework, called neural-progressive hedging (NP), that leverages stochastic programming during the online phase of executing a reinforcement learning (RL) policy. The goal is to ensure feasibility with respect to constraints…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Supriyo Ghosh , Laura Wynter , Shiau Hong Lim , Duc Thien Nguyen

Although deep neural networks (DNN) are able to scale with direct advances in computational power (e.g., memory and processing speed), they are not well suited to exploit the recent trends for parallel architectures. In particular, gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-05-24 Andrew J. R. Simpson

First-principles-based modelings have been extremely successful in providing crucial insights and predictions for complex biological functions and phenomena. However, they can be hard to build and expensive to simulate for complex living…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2024-11-26 Ruilin Zhang , Zhongyi Wang , Tianyi Wu , Yuhang Cai , Louis Tao , Zhuo-Cheng Xiao , Yao Li

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are popular tools for accomplishing many machine learning tasks, including predicting continuous outcomes. However, the general lack of confidence measures provided with ANN predictions limit their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-12 Alex Contarino , Christine Schubert Kabban , Chancellor Johnstone , Fairul Mohd-Zaid

Learning is based on synaptic plasticity, which affects and is driven by neural activity. Because pre- and postsynaptic spiking activity is shaped by randomness, the synaptic weights follow a stochastic process, requiring a probabilistic…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-14 Jakob Stubenrauch , Naomi Auer , Richard Kempter , Benjamin Lindner

Neural Processes combine the strengths of neural networks and Gaussian processes to achieve both flexible learning and fast prediction in stochastic processes. However, a large class of problems comprises underlying temporal dependency…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Gautam Singh , Jaesik Yoon , Youngsung Son , Sungjin Ahn

Conditional Neural Processes (CNPs; Garnelo et al., 2018a) are meta-learning models which leverage the flexibility of deep learning to produce well-calibrated predictions and naturally handle off-the-grid and missing data. CNPs scale to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-14 Stratis Markou , James Requeima , Wessel P. Bruinsma , Anna Vaughan , Richard E. Turner

Assessing sampling uncertainty in extremum estimation can be challenging when the asymptotic variance is not analytically tractable. Bootstrap inference offers a feasible solution but can be computationally costly especially when the model…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-15 Jean-Jacques Forneron , Serena Ng

Having access to a forward model enables the use of planning algorithms such as Monte Carlo Tree Search and Rolling Horizon Evolution. Where a model is unavailable, a natural aim is to learn a model that reflects accurately the dynamics of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-16 Alvaro Ovalle , Simon M. Lucas

We investigate uncertainty estimation and multimodality via the non-deterministic predictions of Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) in fluid simulations. To this end, we deploy BNNs in three challenging experimental test-cases of increasing…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-05-04 Maximilian Mueller , Robin Greif , Frank Jenko , Nils Thuerey