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Predictive business process monitoring (PBPM) is a class of techniques designed to predict behaviour, such as next activities, in running traces. PBPM techniques aim to improve process performance by providing predictions to process…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-12-25 Sven Weinzierl , Sandra Zilker , Jens Brunk , Kate Revoredo , Martin Matzner , Jörg Becker

In time series analysis, traditional bootstrapping methods often fall short due to their assumption of data independence, a condition rarely met in time-dependent data. This paper introduces tsbootstrap, a python package designed…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-24 Sankalp Gilda , Benedikt Heidrich , Franz Kiraly

The Bootstrap method application in simulation supposes that value of random variables are not generated during the simulation process but extracted from available sample populations. In the case of Hierarchical Bootstrap the function of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-29 A. Andronov , M. Fioshin

Economic forecasting is concerned with the estimation of some variable like gross domestic product (GDP) in the next period given a set of variables that describes the current situation or state of the economy, including industrial…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-08 Pedro Afonso Fernandes

Statistical shape modeling (SSM) directly from 3D medical images is an underutilized tool for detecting pathology, diagnosing disease, and conducting population-level morphology analysis. Deep learning frameworks have increased the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-05-17 Jadie Adams , Shireen Elhabian

We propose a robust data-driven output feedback control algorithm that explicitly incorporates inherent finite-sample model estimate uncertainties into the control design. The algorithm has three components: (1) a subspace identification…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-12 Benjamin Gravell , Iman Shames , Tyler Summers

The problem of training spiking neural networks (SNNs) is a necessary precondition to understanding computations within the brain, a field still in its infancy. Previous work has shown that supervised learning in multi-layer SNNs enables…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-03-12 Amirhossein Tavanaei , Anthony S. Maida

General results from statistical learning theory suggest to understand not only brain computations, but also brain plasticity as probabilistic inference. But a model for that has been missing. We propose that inherently stochastic features…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-02-17 David Kappel , Stefan Habenschuss , Robert Legenstein , Wolfgang Maass

Neural Networks (NNs) have been widely {used in supervised learning} due to their ability to model complex nonlinear patterns, often presented in high-dimensional data such as images and text. However, traditional NNs often lack the ability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Jiayu Huang , Yutian Pang , Yongming Liu , Hao Yan

This paper examines Bayesian belief network inference using simulation as a method for computing the posterior probabilities of network variables. Specifically, it examines the use of a method described by Henrion, called logic sampling,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Homer L. Chin , Gregory F. Cooper

We propose a memory efficient method, named Stochastic Backpropagation (SBP), for training deep neural networks on videos. It is based on the finding that gradients from incomplete execution for backpropagation can still effectively train…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-04-01 Feng Cheng , Mingze Xu , Yuanjun Xiong , Hao Chen , Xinyu Li , Wei Li , Wei Xia

The multivariate linear regression model is an important tool for investigating relationships between several response variables and several predictor variables. The primary interest is in inference about the unknown regression coefficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-13 Daniel J. Eck

Respondent-Driven Sampling (RDS) is a form of link-tracing sampling, a sampling technique used for `hard-to-reach' populations that aims to leverage individuals' social relationships to reach potential participants. While the methodological…

The human brain is the gold standard of adaptive learning. It not only can learn and benefit from experience, but also can adapt to new situations. In contrast, deep neural networks only learn one sophisticated but fixed mapping from inputs…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-18 Shixian Wen , Amanda Rios , Yunhao Ge , Laurent Itti

A bootstrap procedure for constructing prediction bands for a stationary functional time series is proposed. The procedure exploits a general vector autoregressive representation of the time-reversed series of Fourier coefficients appearing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-17 Efstathios Paparoditis , Han Lin Shang

In machine learning, an agent needs to estimate uncertainty to efficiently explore and adapt and to make effective decisions. A common approach to uncertainty estimation maintains an ensemble of models. In recent years, several approaches…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-09 Vikranth Dwaracherla , Zheng Wen , Ian Osband , Xiuyuan Lu , Seyed Mohammad Asghari , Benjamin Van Roy

The monolithic approach to policy representation in Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) looks for a single policy that can be represented as a function from states to actions. For the monolithic approach to succeed (and this is not always…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-06-12 Daniel J. Mankowitz , Timothy A. Mann , Shie Mannor

Models that adapt their predictions based on some given contexts, also known as in-context learning, have become ubiquitous in recent years. We propose to study the behavior of such models when data is contaminated by noise. Towards this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Chen Shapira , Dan Rosenbaum

Learning the dynamics of spatiotemporal events is a fundamental problem. Neural point processes enhance the expressivity of point process models with deep neural networks. However, most existing methods only consider temporal dynamics…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-10 Zihao Zhou , Xingyi Yang , Ryan Rossi , Handong Zhao , Rose Yu

Probabilistic predictions from neural networks which account for predictive uncertainty during classification is crucial in many real-world and high-impact decision making settings. However, in practice most datasets are trained on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-30 Satya Borgohain , Klaus Ackermann , Ruben Loaiza-Maya
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