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Counterfactual examples are an appealing class of post-hoc explanations for machine learning models. Given input $x$ of class $y_1$, its counterfactual is a contrastive example $x^\prime$ of another class $y_0$. Current approaches primarily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-17 Xiaoting Shao , Kristian Kersting

A new chaotic financial system is proposed by considering ethics involvement in a four-dimensional financial system with market confidence. A five-dimensional conformable derivative financial system is presented by introducing conformable…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-03 Baogui Xin , Wei Peng , Yekyung Kwon , Yanqin Liu

In reinforcement learning, we can learn a model of future observations and rewards, and use it to plan the agent's next actions. However, jointly modeling future observations can be computationally expensive or even intractable if the…

Partition-wise models offer a flexible approach for modeling complex and multidimensional data that are capable of producing interpretable results. They are based on partitioning the observed data into regions, each of which is modeled with…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-07 Rex C. Y. Cheung , Alexander Aue , Thomas C. M. Lee

Uncertainty quantification of causal effects is crucial for safety-critical applications such as personalized medicine. A powerful approach for this is conformal prediction, which has several practical benefits due to model-agnostic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-04 Maresa Schröder , Dennis Frauen , Jonas Schweisthal , Konstantin Heß , Valentyn Melnychuk , Stefan Feuerriegel

In this paper, a fractional derivative with short-term memory properties is defined, which can be viewed as an extension of Caputo fractional derivative. Then, some properties of the short memory fractional derivative are discussed. Also, a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Xudong Hai , Guojian Ren , Yongguang Yu , Lipo Mo , Conghui Xu

Fractional equations have become the model of choice in several applications where heterogeneities at the microstructure result in anomalous diffusive behavior at the macroscale. In this work we introduce a new fractional operator…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-01-29 Marta D'Elia , Christian Glusa

We develop methods for forming prediction sets in an online setting where the data generating distribution is allowed to vary over time in an unknown fashion. Our framework builds on ideas from conformal inference to provide a general…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-10 Isaac Gibbs , Emmanuel Candès

This paper presents a better approach to model an engineering problem in fractal-time space based on local fractional calculus. Some examples are given to elucidate to establish governing equations with local fractional derivative.

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2011-10-31 Xiao-Jun Yang

To overcome the weakness of a total variation based model for image restoration, various high order (typically second order) regularization models have been proposed and studied recently. In this paper we analyze and test a fractional-order…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2015-09-15 Jianping Zhang , Ke Chen

We devise a new formulation for the vertex coloring problem. Different from other formulations, decision variables are associated with the pairs of vertices. Consequently, colors will be distinguishable. Although the objective function is…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2015-01-12 Tomomi Matsui , Noriyoshi Sukegawa , Atsushi Miyauchi

Fixed effects models are very flexible because they do not make assumptions on the distribution of effects and can also be used if the heterogeneity component is correlated with explanatory variables. A disadvantage is the large number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-17 Moritz Berger , Gerhard Tutz

Probabilistic models based on continuous latent spaces, such as variational autoencoders, can be understood as uncountable mixture models where components depend continuously on the latent code. They have proven to be expressive tools for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-27 Alvaro H. C. Correia , Gennaro Gala , Erik Quaeghebeur , Cassio de Campos , Robert Peharz

In this paper, we introduce a novel method to generate interpretable regression function estimators. The idea is based on called data-dependent coverings. The aim is to extract from the data a covering of the feature space instead of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-27 Vincent Margot , Jean-Patrick Baudry , Frédéric Guilloux , Olivier Wintenberger

We define and study fractional versions of the well-known Gamma subordinator $\Gamma :=\{\Gamma (t),$ $t\geq 0\},$ which are obtained by time-changing $% \Gamma $ by means of an independent stable subordinator or its inverse. Their…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-05-09 Luisa Beghin

A method, recently advanced as the conformable Euler method, a general method for the finite difference discretization of fractional initial value problems for fractions in (0, 1], is shown to be valid only for the integer derivative. The…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2021-09-24 D. P. Clemence-Mkhope

Generative models lack rigorous statistical guarantees for their outputs and are therefore unreliable in safety-critical applications. In this work, we propose Sequential Conformal Prediction for Generative Models (SCOPE-Gen), a sequential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Klaus-Rudolf Kladny , Bernhard Schölkopf , Michael Muehlebach

We study two generalizations of fractional variational problems by considering higher-order derivatives and a state time delay. We prove a higher-order integration by parts formula involving a Caputo fractional derivative of variable order…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-20 Dina Tavares , Ricardo Almeida , Delfim F. M. Torres

Producing probabilistic forecasts for large collections of similar and/or dependent time series is a practically relevant and challenging task. Classical time series models fail to capture complex patterns in the data, and multivariate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Yuyang Wang , Alex Smola , Danielle C. Maddix , Jan Gasthaus , Dean Foster , Tim Januschowski

Most existing examples of full conformal predictive systems, split-conformal predictive systems, and cross-conformal predictive systems impose severe restrictions on the adaptation of predictive distributions to the test object at hand. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-19 Vladimir Vovk , Ivan Petej , Paolo Toccaceli , Alex Gammerman