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Metapopulation models are commonly used in ecology, evolution, and epidemiology. These models usually entail homogeneity assumptions within patches and study networks of migration between patches to generate insights into conservation of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-06-06 Diepreye Ayabina , Hasan Sevil , Adam Kleczkowski , M. Gabriela M. Gomes

Incorporating decision-making dynamics during an outbreak poses a challenge for epidemiology, faced by several modeling approaches siloed by different disciplines. We propose an epi-economic model where high-frequency choices of individuals…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-31 Lorenzo Amir Nemati Fard , Alberto Bisin , Michele Starnini , Michele Tizzoni

The development and evolution of malware including computer viruses, worms, and trojan horses, is shown to be closely analogous to the process of community succession long recognized in ecology. In particular, both changes in the overall…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2014-10-30 Reginald D. Smith

The detection and management of diseases become quite complicated when pathogens contain asymptomatic phenotypes amongst their ranks, as evident during the recent COVID-19 pandemic. Spreading of diseases has been studied extensively under…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-10-27 Saptarshi Sinha , Deep Nath , Soumen Roy

We consider the problem of identifying the source of an epidemic, spreading through a network, from a complete observation of the infected nodes in a snapshot of the network. Previous work on the problem has often employed geometric,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-06-13 S. Jalil Kazemitabar , Arash A. Amini

We analytically address disease outbreaks in large, random networks with heterogeneous infectivity and susceptibility. The transmissibility $T_{uv}$ (the probability that infection of $u$ causes infection of $v$) depends on the infectivity…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Joel C. Miller

The current survey paper concerns stochastic mathematical models for the spread of infectious diseases. It starts with the simplest setting of a homogeneous population in which a transmittable disease spreads during a short outbreak.…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-30 Tom Britton

Understanding the timing of the peak of a disease outbreak forms an important part of epidemic forecasting. In many cases, such information is essential for planning increased hospital bed demand and for designing of public health…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-11-27 Jacob Curran-Sebastian , Lorenzo Pellis , Ian Hall , Thomas House

Motivated by the analysis of social networks, we study a model of random networks that has both a given degree distribution and a tunable clustering coefficient. We consider two types of growth processes on these graphs: diffusion and…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-23 Emilie Coupechoux , Marc Lelarge

In this paper we investigate a susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) epidemic model describing data dissemination in opportunistic networks with heterogeneous setting of transmission parameters. We obtained the estimation of the final…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-03-28 Vadim Alexeev , Liudmila Rozanova , Alexander Temerev

We consider a threshold epidemic model on a clustered random graph with overlapping communities. In other words, our epidemic model is such that an individual becomes infected as soon as the proportion of her infected neighbors exceeds the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-03 Emilie Coupechoux , Marc Lelarge

Many models of virus propagation in Computer Networks inspired by {\bf SIS,SIR,}\\ {\bf SEIR}, etc. epidemic disease propagation mathematical models that can be found in the epidemiology field have been proposed in the last two decades. The…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Carlos Rodriguez Lucatero

We investigate the spread of an infection or other malfunction of cascading nature when a system component can recover only if it remains reachable from a functioning central component. We consider the susceptible-infected-susceptible…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-27 L. Böttcher , O. Woolley-Meza , E. Goles , D. Helbing , H. J. Herrmann

The spread of an epidemic disease and the population's collective behavioural response are deeply intertwined, influencing each other's evolution. Such a co-evolution typically has been overlooked in mathematical models, limiting their…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-10-24 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Mengbin Ye , Alessandro Rizzo , Ming Cao

The dynamic nature of system gives rise to dynamical features of epidemic spreading, such as oscillation and bistability. In this paper, by studying the epidemic spreading in growing networks, in which susceptible nodes may adaptively break…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-20 Jie Zhou , Gaoxi Xiao , Siew Ann Cheong , Xiuju Fu , Lim Soon Wong , Stefan Ma , Tee Hiang Cheng

Recent work has attempted to use whole-genome sequence data from pathogens to reconstruct the transmission trees linking infectors and infectees in outbreaks. However, transmission trees from one outbreak do not generalize to future…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-10-24 Eben Kenah , Tom Britton , M. Elizabeth Halloran , Ira M. Longini

Inferring how an epidemic will progress and what actions to take when presented with limited information is of critical importance for epidemiologists and health professionals. In real world settings, epidemiology data can be scarce or…

Computation · Statistics 2022-11-02 Georgios Efstathiadis

A problem closely related to epidemiology, where a subgraph of 'infected' links is defined inside a larger network, is investigated. This subgraph is generated from the underlying network by a random variable, which decides whether a link…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-04-07 M Cotacallapa , M O Hase

Throughout the course of an epidemic, the rate at which disease spreads varies with behavioral changes, the emergence of new disease variants, and the introduction of mitigation policies. Estimating such changes in transmission rates can…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-29 Jenny Huang , Raphaël Morsomme , David Dunson , Jason Xu

Knowing which individuals can be more efficient in spreading a pathogen throughout a determinate environment is a fundamental question in disease control. Indeed, over the last years the spread of epidemic diseases and its relationship with…