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We obtain conditions for eradication and permanence of infection for a nonautonomous SIQR model with time-dependent parameters, that are not assumed to be periodic. The incidence is given by functions of all compartments and the threshold…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-01-05 César M. Silva

This paper presents several simple linear vaccination-based control strategies for a SEIR (susceptible plus infected plus infectious plus removed populations) propagation disease model. The model takes into account the total population…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2011-03-28 M. De la Sen , S. Alonso-Quesada

Stochastic infection processes are continuous-time Markov chains on graphs that assign each vertex one of multiple states, such as susceptible, infected, or recovered. Depending on the model, vertices change their state based on random…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Nicolas Klodt , Martin S. Krejca

In this study, we propose a time-dependent Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered (SEIR) model for the analysis of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic outbreak in three different countries, the United States of America, Italy and Iceland using public…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-08 P. Girardi , C. Gaetan

In light of the continuing emergence of new SARS-CoV-2 variants and vaccines, we create a simulation framework for exploring possible infection trajectories under various scenarios. The situations of primary interest involve the interaction…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-01-10 Kory D. Johnson , Annemarie Grass , Daniel Toneian , Mathias Beiglböck , Jitka Polechová

This paper studies the distribution function of the time of extinction of a subcritical epidemic, when a large enough proportion of the population has been immunized and/or the infectivity of the infectious individuals has been reduced, so…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Anicet Mougabe-Peurkor , Ibrahima Drame , Modeste N'zi , Etienne Pardoux

We extend the classical Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) model to a network-based framework where the degree distribution of nodes follows a Poisson distribution. This extension incorporates an additional parameter representing the mean…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-03 Josephine K. Wairimu , Andrew Gothard , Grzegorz A. Rempala

In contrast to the common assumption in epidemic models that the rate of infection between individuals is constant, in reality, an individual's viral load determines their infectiousness. We compare the average and individual reproductive…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-07 Nicholas Landry

Compartmental transmission models have become an invaluable tool to study the dynamics of infectious diseases. The Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) model is known to have an exact semi-analytical solution. In the current study, the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-03 Kevin Heng , Christian L. Althaus

The general epidemic process (GEP), also known as susceptible-infected-recovered model (SIR), describes how an epidemic spreads within a population of susceptible individuals who acquire permanent immunization upon recovery. This model…

A social (sexual) network is modeled by an extension of the configuration model to the situation where edges have weights, e.g. reflecting the number of sex-contacts between the individuals. An epidemic model is defined on the network such…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-21 Tom Britton , David Lindenstrand

We present an SI epidemic model whereby a continuous variable captures variability in proliferative potential and resistance to infection among susceptibles. The occurrence of heritable, spontaneous changes in these phenotype and the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-12-30 Tommaso Lorenzi , Andrea Pugliese , Mattia Sensi , Agnese Zardini

We propose an SIR epidemic model coupled with opinion dynamics to study an epidemic and opinions spreading in a network of communities. Our model couples networked SIR epidemic dynamics with opinions towards the severity of the epidemic,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-23 Baike She , Humphrey C. H. Leung , Shreyas Sundaram , Philip E. Paré

The SIR model is the cornerstone model for mathematical epidemiology, explaining key epidemic features such as the second-order transition between disease-free and epidemic states, the initial exponential growth of outbreaks or the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-20 Santiago Lamata-Otín , Alex Arenas , Jesús Gómez-Gardeñes , David Soriano-Paños

Dynamic properties of spreading infection through a heterogeneous population are studied numerically and analytically using a dynamic variant of Watts and Strogatz Small World Network-based stochastic Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-06-28 O. Mosbah , N. Zekri , M. Mokhtari , S. Sahraoui

Testing individuals for pathogens can affect the spread of epidemics. Understanding how individual-level processes of sampling and reporting test results can affect community- or population-level spread is a dynamical modeling question. The…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-20 Ali Gharouni , F. M. Abdelmalek , David J. D. Earn , Jonathan Dushoff , Benjamin M. Bolker

We study the spreading of an infection within an SIS epidemiological model on a network. Susceptible agents are given the opportunity of breaking their links with infected agents. Broken links are either permanently removed or reconnected…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-11-07 Damian H. Zanette , Sebastian Risau Gusman

It is essential to understand the dynamics of epidemics in the presence of coexisting pathogens. There are various phenomenon that can effect the dynamics. In this paper, we formulate a mathematical model using different assumptions to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-11-02 S. Ghersheen , V. Kozlov , U. Wennergren

The focus of this article is on the dynamics of a new susceptible-infected model which consists of a susceptible group ($S$) and two different infectious groups ($I_1$ and $I_2$). Once infected, an individual becomes a member of one of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-01 Ayse Peker-Dobie , Semra Ahmetolan , Ayse Humeyra Bilge , Ali Demirci

The spreading of an infectious disease can trigger human behavior responses to the disease, which in turn plays a crucial role on the spreading of epidemic. In this study, to illustrate the impacts of the human behavioral responses, a new…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-30 Can Liu , Jia-Rong Xie , Han-Shuang Chen , Hai-Feng Zhang , Ming Tang
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