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This paper develops an agent-level simulation model, termed ALPS, for simulating the spread of an infectious disease in a confined community. The mechanism of transmission is agent-to-agent contact, using parameters reported for Corona…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-28 Anuj Srivastava

There is a continuing debate on relative benefits of various mitigation and suppression strategies aimed to control the spread of COVID-19. Here we report the results of agent-based modelling using a fine-grained computational simulation of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-11-12 Sheryl L. Chang , Nathan Harding , Cameron Zachreson , Oliver M. Cliff , Mikhail Prokopenko

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused more than 8 million confirmed cases and 500,000 death to date. In response to this emergency, many countries have introduced a series of social-distancing measures including lockdowns and businesses'…

General Economics · Economics 2020-07-08 Carlo Fezzi , Valeria Fanghella

The sudden onset of the coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic has resulted in tremendous loss of human life and economy in more than 210 countries and territories around the world. While self-protections such as wearing mask, sheltering in…

One of the defining moments of the year 2020 is the outbreak of Coronavirus Disease (Covid-19), a deadly virus affecting the body's respiratory system to the point of needing a breathing aid via ventilators. As of June 21, 2020 there are…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2020-07-21 Isa Inuwa-Dutse , Ioannis Korkontzelos

Evolution of disease in a large population is a function of the top-down policy measures from a centralized planner, as well as the self-interested decisions (to be socially active) of individual agents in a large heterogeneous population.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-07 S. Yagiz Olmez , Shubham Aggarwal , Jin Won Kim , Erik Miehling , Tamer Başar , Matthew West , Prashant G. Mehta

Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) which is caused by SARS-COV2 has become a pandemic. This disease is highly infectious and potentially fatal, causing a global public health concern. To contain the spread of COVID-19, governments are adopting…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-22 Sayantari Ghosh , Saumik Bhattacharya

As the COVID19 spreads across the world, prevention measures are becoming the essential weapons to combat the pandemic in the period of crisis. The lockdown measure is the most controversial one as it imposes an overwhelming impact on our…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-12 Yuting Fu , Haitao Xiang , Hanqing Jin , Ning Wang

During a public health crisis like COVID-19, individuals' adoption of protective behaviors, such as self-isolation and wearing masks, can significantly impact the spread of the disease. In the meanwhile, the spread of the disease can also…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-27 Wenxiang Dong , H. Vicky Zhao

Interaction-driven modeling of diseases over real-world contact data has been shown to promote the understanding of the spread of diseases in communities. This temporal modeling follows the path-preserving order and timing of the contacts,…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-13 Yanir Marmor , Alex Abbey , Yuval Shahar , Osnat Mokryn

The COVID-19 outbreak forced governments worldwide to impose lockdowns and quarantines to prevent virus transmission. As a consequence, there are disruptions in human and economic activities all over the globe. The recovery process is also…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-13 Rodrigo Minetto , Mauricio Pamplona Segundo , Gilbert Rotich , Sudeep Sarkar

The infectious coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become a serious global pandemic. Different studies have shown that increasing temperature can play a crucial role in the spread of the virus. Most of these studies were limited to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-23 Fadhah Amer Alanazi

The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic has changed our lives and still poses a challenge to science. Numerous studies have contributed to a better understanding of the pandemic. In particular, inhalation of aerosolised pathogens has…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-09-02 Simon Rahn , Marion Gödel , Gerta Köster , Gesine Hofinger

The short-term economic consequences of the critical measures employed to curb the transmission of Covid-19 are all too familiar, but the consequences of isolation and loneliness resulting from those measures on the mental well-being of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-08-30 José F. Fontanari

COVID-19 has spread from China across Europe and the United States and has become a global pandemic. In countries of the Global South, due to often weaker socioeconomic options and health care systems, effective local countermeasures remain…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-28 Andreas Bossert , Moritz Kersting , Marc Timme , Malte Schröder , Azza Feki , Justin Coetzee , Jan Schlüter

The Covid-19 outbreak of 2020 has required many governments to develop mathematical-statistical models of the outbreak for policy and planning purposes. This work provides a tutorial on building a compartmental model using Susceptibles,…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-27 Ryad Ghanam , Edward L. Boone , Abdel-Salam G. Abdel-Salam

COVID-19--a viral infectious disease--has quickly emerged as a global pandemic infecting millions of people with a significant number of deaths across the globe. The symptoms of this disease vary widely. Depending on the symptoms an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-23 Madhab Barman , Snigdhashree Nayak , Manoj K. Yadav , Soumyendu Raha , Nachiketa Mishra

The COVID-19 pandemic is considered as the most alarming global health calamity of this century. COVID-19 has been confirmed to be mutated from coronavirus family. As stated by the records of The World Health Organization (WHO at April 18…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-03 Subhrangshu Adhikary , Sonam Chaturvedi , Sudhir Kumar Chaturvedi , Saikat Banerjee

We discuss the impact of a Covid-19--like shock on a simple model economy, described by the previously developed Mark-0 Agent-Based Model. We consider a mixed supply and demand shock, and show that depending on the shock parameters…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-22 Dhruv Sharma , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Stanislao Gualdi , Marco Tarzia , Francesco Zamponi

In this paper, we propose a dynamical model to describe the transmission of COVID-19, which is spreading in China and many other countries. To avoid a larger outbreak in the worldwide, Chinese government carried out a series of strong…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-09 Jiwei Jia , Jian Ding , Siyu Liu , Guidong Liao , Jingzhi Li , Ben Duan , Guoqing Wang , Ran Zhang