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In this manuscript we present several possible ways of modeling human capital accumulation during the spread of a disease following an agent based approach, where agents behave maximizing their intertemporal utility. We assume that the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-09 Daria Ghilli , Cristiano Ricci , Giovanni Zanco

In this study we present a dynamical agent-based model to investigate the interplay between the socio-economy of and SEIRS-type epidemic spreading over a geographical area, divided to smaller area districts and further to smallest area…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-07-20 Jan E. Snellman , Rafael A. Barrio , Kimmo K. Kaski , Maarit J. Käpylä

COVID-19 has resulted in a public health global crisis. The pandemic control necessitates epidemic models that capture the trends and impacts on infectious individuals. Many exciting models can implement this but they lack practical…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Ou Deng , Kiichi Tago , Qun Jin

The Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has caused tremendous amount of deaths and a devastating impact on the economic development all over the world. Thus, it is paramount to control its further transmission, for which purpose it…

Applications · Statistics 2021-01-11 Quan-Lin Li , Chengliang Wang , Yiming Xu , Chi Zhang , Yanxia Chang , Xiaole Wu , Zhen-Ping Fan , Zhi-Guo Liu

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected travel behaviors and transportation system operations, and cities are grappling with what policies can be effective for a phased reopening shaped by social distancing. This edition of the white paper…

Amid the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, public health authorities and the general population are striving to achieve a balance between safety and normalcy. Ever changing conditions call for the development of theory and simulation tools to…

The COVID-19 crisis has shown that we can only prevent the risk of mass contagion through timely, large-scale, coordinated, and decisive actions. However, frequently the models used by experts [from whom decision-makers get their main…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-08 Mauricio Herrera

The emergence of the novel Coronavirus Disease in late 2019 (COVID-19) and subsequent pandemic led to an immense disruption in the daily lives of almost everyone on the planet. Faced with the consequences of inaction, most national…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-05-19 Grant McKenzie , Benjamin Adams

In this article we propose a compartmental model for the dynamics of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). We take into account the presence of asymptomatic infections and the main policies that have been adopted so far to contain the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-18 M. Soledad Aronna , Roberto Guglielmi , Lucas M. Moschen

With the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic spreading across the world, protective measures for containing the virus are essential, especially as long as no vaccine or effective treatment is available. One important measure is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-09 Thomas Harweg , Daniel Bachmann , Frank Weichert

The dynamics of epidemics depend on how people's behavior changes during an outbreak. At the beginning of the epidemic, people do not know about the virus, then, after the outbreak of epidemics and alarm, they begin to comply with the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-29 I. A. Kastalskiy , E. V. Pankratova , E. M. Mirkes , V. B. Kazantsev , A. N. Gorban

The novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 and resulting COVID-19 disease have had an unprecedented spread and continue to cause an increasing number of fatalities worldwide. While vaccines are still under development, social distancing, extensive…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-02 Calvin Tsay , Fernando Lejarza , Mark A. Stadtherr , Michael Baldea

Human cognitive responses, behavioral responses, and disease dynamics co-evolve over the course of any disease outbreak, and can result in complex feedbacks. We present a dynamic agent-based model that explicitly couples the spread of…

Since the first coronavirus case was identified in the U.S. on Jan. 21, more than 1 million people in the U.S. have confirmed cases of COVID-19. This infectious respiratory disease has spread rapidly across more than 3000 counties and 50…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Shuang Li , Lu Wang , Xinyun Chen , Yixiang Fang , Yan Song

The Coronavirus, also known as the COVID-19 virus, has emerged in Wuhan China since late November 2019. Since that time, it has been spreading at large-scale until today all around the world. It is currently recognized as the world's most…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-01 Anis Koubaa

Infectious diseases are a significant threat to human society which was over sighted before the incidence of COVID-19, although according to the report of the World Health Organisation (WHO) about 4.2 million people die annually due to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-02-05 Md Shahzamal , Saeed Khan

We recently described a dynamic causal model of a COVID-19 outbreak within a single region. Here, we combine several of these (epidemic) models to create a (pandemic) model of viral spread among regions. Our focus is on a second wave of new…

Motivated by epidemics such as COVID-19, we study the spread of a contagious disease when behavior responds to the disease's prevalence. We extend the SIR epidemiological model to include endogenous meeting rates. Individuals benefit from…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-09-25 Krishna Dasaratha

The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic drove a widespread, often uncoordinated effort by research groups to develop mathematical models of SARS-CoV-2 to study its spread and inform control efforts. The urgent demand for insight at the outset of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-21 Alexander N. Pillai , Kok Ben Toh , Dianela Perdomo , Sanjana Bhargava , Arlin Stoltzfus , Ira M. Longini , Carl A. B. Pearson , Thomas J. Hladish

We have established a novel mathematical model that considers various aspects of the spreading of the virus, including, the transmission based on being in the latent period, environment to human transmission, governmental decisions, and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2020-08-31 Kamran Soltani , Ghader Rezazadeh