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Strict stationarity is a common assumption used in the time series literature in order to derive asymptotic distributional results for second-order statistics, like sample autocovariances and sample autocorrelations. Focusing on weak…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Yunyi Zhang , Efstathios Paparoditis , Dimitris N. Politis

We investigate long and short memory in $\alpha$-stable moving averages and max-stable processes with $\alpha$-Fr\'echet marginal distributions. As these processes are heavy-tailed, we rely on the notion of long range dependence suggested…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-01 Vitalii Makogin , Marco Oesting , Albert Rapp , Evgeny Spodarev

In this paper we study the asymptotic behavior of the Gaussian quasi maximum likelihood estimator of a stationary GARCH process with heavy-tailed innovations. This means that the innovations are regularly varying with index…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Thomas Mikosch , Daniel Straumann

Nonstationarity of real-life time series requires model adaptation. In classical approaches like ARMA-ARCH there is assumed some arbitrarily chosen dependence type. To avoid their bias, we will focus on novel more agnostic approach: moving…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-09 Jarek Duda

The extremal index parameter theta characterizes the degree of local dependence in the extremes of a stationary time series and has important applications in a number of areas, such as hydrology, telecommunications, finance and…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-05-25 Kamal Hamidieh , Stilian A. Stoev , George Michailidis

We consider testing marginal independence versus conditional independence in a trivariate Gaussian setting. The two models are non-nested and their intersection is a union of two marginal independences. We consider two sequences of such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-23 F. Richard Guo , Thomas S. Richardson

We consider a family of random matrix ensembles (RME) invariant under similarity transformations and described by the probability density $P({\bf H})= \exp[-{\rm Tr}V({\bf H})]$. Dyson's mean field theory (MFT) of the corresponding plasma…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 C. M. Canali

Positively (resp. negatively) associated point processes are a class of point processes that induce attraction (resp. inhibition) between the points. As an important example, determinantal point processes (DPPs) are negatively associated.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-20 Arnaud Poinas , Bernard Delyon , Frédéric Lavancier

Max-stable processes are widely used to model spatial extremes. These processes exhibit asymptotic dependence meaning that the large values of the process can occur simultaneously over space. Recently, inverted max-stable processes have…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-20 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jonathan A. Tawn

A restrictive assumption in change point analysis is "stationarity under the null hypothesis of no change-point", which is crucial for asymptotic theory but not very realistic from a practical point of view. For example, if change point…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-01 Holger Dette , Weichi Wu , Zhou Zhou

We investigate population dynamics in N-level systems driven beyond the linear regime by a strong external field, which couples to the system through an operator with nonzero diagonal elements. As concrete example we consider the case of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-20 Christoph Uiberacker , Werner Jakubetz

We study the mean-field limit of an elasto-plastic model introduced to describe the yielding transition of athermally and quasi-statically sheared amorphous solids. We focus on the sample-to-sample fluctuations, which we characterize…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2022-10-12 Saverio Rossi , Gilles Tarjus

We study (asymmetric) $U$-statistics based on a stationary sequence of $m$-dependent variables; moreover, we consider constrained $U$-statistics, where the defining multiple sum only includes terms satisfying some restrictions on the gaps…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-10 Svante Janson

The Fermi effective theory of the weak interaction helped identify the structure of the electroweak sector of the Standard Model, and the chiral effective Lagrangian pointed towards QCD as the theory of the strong interactions. The Standard…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2021-06-01 John Ellis

We consider the problem of inference after model selection under weak assumptions in the time series setting. Even when the data are not independent, we show that sample splitting remains asymptotically valid as long as the process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-27 Robert Lunde

We prove a central limit theorem with aassumptions which are many weak than classical conditions

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 René Blacher

The mean-field theory of Kinetically-Constrained-Models is developed by considering the Fredrickson-Andersen model on the Bethe lattice. Using certain properties of the dynamics observed in actual numerical experiments we derive asymptotic…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-01-20 Gianmarco Perrupato , Tommaso Rizzo

In this paper we study the convergence in distribution and the local limit theorem for the partial sums of linear random fields with i.i.d. innovations that have infinite second moment and belong to the domain of attraction of a stable law…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Magda Peligrad , Hailin Sang , Yimin Xiao , Guangyu Yang

Statistical mechanics describes interaction between particles of a physical system. Particle properties of the system can be modelled with a random field on a lattice and studied at different distance scales using renormalization group…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-29 Farida Kachapova , Ilias Kachapov

We consider the one-dimensional totally asymmetric simple exclusion process (TASEP) with position-dependent hopping rates. The problem is solved,in a mean field/adiabatic approximation, for a general (smooth) form of spatial rate variation.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-06-15 R. B. Stinchcombe , S. L. A. de Queiroz