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The paper establishes the central limit theorems and proposes how to perform valid inference in factor models. We consider a setting where many counties/regions/assets are observed for many time periods, and when estimation of a global…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-06-22 Stanislav Anatolyev , Anna Mikusheva

In [Kozma-Toth, Ann. Probab. v 45, pp 4307-4347 (2017)] the weak CLT was established for random walks in doubly stochastic (or, divergence-free) random environments, under the following conditions: 1. Strict ellipticity assumed for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Bálint Tóth

We present a theory of weak localization (WL) in the presence of generic spin-dependent fields, including any type of spin-orbit coupling, Zeeman fields, and non-homogeneous magnetic textures. We go beyond the usual diffusive approximation,…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2024-04-30 Alberto Hijano , Stefan Ilić , F. Sebastián Bergeret

This paper studies the means-testing problem under weakly correlated Normal setups. Although quite common in genomic applications, test procedures having exact FWER control under such dependence structures are nonexistent. We explore the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-26 Swarnadeep Datta , Monitirtha Dey

Assessing the probability of occurrence of extreme events is a crucial issue in various fields like finance, insurance, telecommunication or environmental sciences. In a multivariate framework, the tail dependence is characterized by the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-26 Nicolas Goix , Anne Sabourin , Stéphan Clémençon

In this paper, we formulate and prove new properties of conditional quantiles given one of the particular sigma-fields. Next, we use them to investigate almost sure asymptotic behavior of central order statistics which arise from strictly…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-25 Aneta Augustynowicz

A convergence theorem for martingales with c\`adl\`ag trajectories (right continuous with left limits everywhere) is obtained in the sense of the weak dual topology on Hilbert space, under conditions that are much weaker than those required…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Bruno N. Remillard , Jean Vaillancourt

How should one assess the credibility of assumptions weaker than statistical independence, like quantile independence? In the context of identifying causal effects of a treatment variable, we argue that such deviations should be chosen…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-05-01 Matthew A. Masten , Alexandre Poirier

Rare and Weak models for multiple hypothesis testing assume that only a small proportion of the tested hypotheses concern non-null effects and the individual effects are only moderately large, so they generally do not stand out…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-20 Alon Kipnis

Recent theoretical works have characterized the dynamics of wide shallow neural networks trained via gradient descent in an asymptotic mean-field limit when the width tends towards infinity. At initialization, the random sampling of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Zhengdao Chen , Grant M. Rotskoff , Joan Bruna , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

We provide the asymptotic minimax detection boundary for a bump, i.e. an abrupt change, in the mean function of a stationary Gaussian process. This will be characterized in terms of the asymptotic behavior of the bump length and height as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-07 Farida Enikeeva , Axel Munk , Markus Pohlmann , Frank Werner

Under mild structural assumptions and regularity conditions on the marginal and conditional densities, an explicit bound on the $\beta$-mixing coefficients in terms of the physical dependence measure is provided. Consequently, weak physical…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-05 Florian Heinrichs

In $M$-estimation under standard asymptotics, the weak convergence combined with the polynomial type large deviation estimate of the associated statistical random field Yoshida (2011) provides us with not only the asymptotic distribution of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-04-18 Hiroki Masuda , Yusuke Shimizu

We study the number of occurrences of any fixed vincular permutation pattern. We show that this statistics on uniform random permutations is asymptotically normal and describe the speed of convergence. To prove this central limit theorem,…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Lisa Hofer

Recently a functional limit theorem for sums of moving averages with random coefficients and i.i.d. heavy tailed innovations has been obtained under the assumption that all partial sums of the series of coefficients are a.s. bounded between…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-09-27 Danijel Krizmanić

We study locally interacting processes in discrete time, often called probabilistic cellular automata, indexed by locally finite graphs. For infinite regular trees and certain generalized Galton-Watson trees, we show that the marginal…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-28 Daniel Lacker , Kavita Ramanan , Ruoyu Wu

We prove a local limit theorem for nearest neighbours random walks in stationary random environment of conductances on Z without using any of both classic assumptions of uniform ellipticity and independence on the conductances. Besides the…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Jean-Marc Derrien

Let $(\Omega, \A, \mu)$ be a Lebesgue space and $T$ an ergodic measure preserving automorphism on $\Omega$ with positive entropy. We show that there is a bounded and strictly stationary martingale difference sequence defined on $\Omega$…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mohamed El Machkouri , Dalibor Volny

In a case-control study aimed at locating autosomal disease variants for a disease of interest, association between markers and the disease status is often tested by comparing the marker minor allele frequencies (MAFs) between cases and…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-13 Marianne A. Jonker , Jakub Pecanka

We establish the asymptotic validity of frequency-domain inference for stationary multivariate Hawkes processes under mild conditions, bridging the gap between theory and application. By developing upper-bounds on the reduced cumulant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Yifu Tang , Conor Kresin , Boris Baeumer , Ting Wang
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