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In this work, we consider the problem of goodness-of-fit (GoF) testing for parametric models. This testing problem involves a composite null hypothesis, due to the unknown values of the model parameters. In some special cases, co-sufficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-23 Wanrong Zhu , Rina Foygel Barber

Tests of goodness of fit are used in nearly every domain where statistics is applied. One powerful and flexible approach is to sample artificial data sets that are exchangeable with the real data under the null hypothesis (but not under the…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Ritwik Bhaduri , Aabesh Bhattacharyya , Rina Foygel Barber , Lucas Janson

Recently there have been many research efforts in developing generative models for self-exciting point processes, partly due to their broad applicability for real-world applications. However, rarely can we quantify how well the generative…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-15 Song Wei , Shixiang Zhu , Minghe Zhang , Yao Xie

We introduce a general framework for testing goodness-of-fit for Gaussian graphical models in both the low- and high-dimensional settings. This framework is based on a novel algorithm for generating exchangeable copies by conditioning on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-07 Xiaotong Lin , Weihao Li , Fangqiao Tian , Dongming Huang

In population genetics and other application fields, models with intractable likelihood are common. Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) or more generally Simulation-Based Inference (SBI) methods work by simulating instrumental data sets…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-29 Guillaume Le Mailloux , Paul Bastide , Jean-Michel Marin , Arnaud Estoup

Classical tests of goodness-of-fit aim to validate the conformity of a postulated model to the data under study. Given their inferential nature, they can be considered a crucial step in confirmatory data analysis. In their standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-06 Sara Algeri , Xiangyu Zhang

Approximate co-sufficient sampling (aCSS) offers a principled route to hypothesis testing when null distributions are unknown, yet current implementations are confined to maximum likelihood estimators with smooth or linear regularization…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-17 Jie Xie , Dongming Huang

The Gaussian graphical model is routinely employed to model the joint distribution of multiple random variables. The graph it induces is not only useful for describing the relationship between random variables but also critical for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-15 Thien-Minh Le , Ping-Shou Zhong , Chenlei Leng

A goodness-of-fit test for one-parameter count distributions with finite second moment is proposed. The test statistic is derived from the $L^1$ distance of a function of the probability generating function of the model under the null…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-11 Antonio Di Noia , Lucio Barabesi , Marzia Marcheselli , Caterina Pisani , Luca Pratelli

The proposed Goodness--of--Fit (GoF) test for checking the linear autocorrelation model in a functional time series is based on an empirical process, whose residual marks and covariate index set are in a separable Hilbert space \mathbb{H}.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-29 W. González-Manteiga , M. D. Ruiz-Medina , M. Febrero-Bande

We revisit the Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Cram\'er-von Mises goodness-of-fit (GoF) tests and propose a generalisation to identically distributed, but dependent univariate random variables. We show that the dependence leads to a reduction of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-06 Remy Chicheportiche , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

A fundamental and often final step in time series modeling is to assess the quality of fit of a proposed model to the data. Since the underlying distribution of the innovations that generate a model is often not prescribed, goodness-of-fit…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-13 Richard A. Davis , Leon Fernandes

We introduce the \textit{almost goodness-of-fit} test, a procedure to assess whether a (parametric) model provides a good representation of the probability distribution generating the observed sample. Specifically, given a distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-15 Amparo Baíllo , Javier Cárcamo

In this paper we study goodness-of-fit testing of single-index models. The large sample behavior of certain score-type test statistics is investigated. As a by-product, we obtain asymptotically distribution-free maximin tests for a large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Winfried Stute , Li-Xing Zhu

Assessing model adequacy is a crucial step in regression analysis, ensuring the validity of statistical inferences. For Generalized Functional Linear Models (GFLMs), which are widely used for modeling relationships between scalar responses…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-14 Feifei Chen , Kaiming Zhang , Yanni Zhang , Hua Liang

Independent component (IC) models are a standard tool for representing multivariate data in statistics, signal processing, and machine learning. Despite the extensive use of IC models, much less attention has been given to goodness-of-fit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Mingshuo Liu , Siyao Wang , Miles E. Lopes

A consistent goodness-of-fit test for distributional regression is introduced. The test statistic is based on a process that traces the difference between a nonparametric and a semi-parametric estimate of the marginal distribution function…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-10 Gitte Kremling , Gerhard Dikta

Goodness-of-fit (GoF) tests are fundamental for assessing model adequacy. Score-based tests are appealing because they require fitting the model only once under the null. However, extending them to powerful nonparametric alternatives is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 Zhihan Huang , Ziang Niu

Given an i.i.d. sample $\{(X_i,Y_i)\}_{i \in \{1 \ldots n\}}$ from the random design regression model $Y = f(X) + \epsilon$ with $(X,Y) \in [0,1] \times [-M,M]$, in this paper we consider the problem of testing the (simple) null hypothesis…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-20 Pierpaolo Brutti

Goodness-of-fit (GoF) tests are a fundamental component of statistical practice, essential for checking model assumptions and testing scientific hypotheses. Despite their widespread use, popular GoF tests exhibit surprisingly low…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Christian T. Covington , Jeffrey W. Miller
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