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Conditional Density Estimation (CDE) models deal with estimating conditional distributions. The conditions imposed on the distribution are the inputs of the model. CDE is a challenging task as there is a fundamental trade-off between model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-31 Vincent Dutordoir , Hugh Salimbeni , Marc Deisenroth , James Hensman

Gaussian processes provide a promising framework by which to extrapolate the equation of state (EoS) of cold, catalyzed matter beyond $1-2$ times nuclear saturation density. Here we discuss how to extend Gaussian processes to include…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2023-02-17 Debora Mroczek , M. Coleman Miller , Jacquelyn Noronha-Hostler , Nicolas Yunes

In quantum mechanics, the Rosen-Zener model represents a two-level quantum system. Its generalization to multiple degenerate sets of states leads to larger non-autonomous linear system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). We propose a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-11-08 Christian Bonhomme , Stefano Pozza , Niel Van Buggenhout

This paper presents a fast algorithm for estimating hidden states of Bayesian state space models. The algorithm is a variation of amortized simulation-based inference algorithms, where a large number of artificial datasets are generated at…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-10-14 Ramis Khabibullin , Sergei Seleznev

Probabilistic solvers for ordinary differential equations (ODEs) have emerged as an efficient framework for uncertainty quantification and inference on dynamical systems. In this work, we explain the mathematical assumptions and detailed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-25 Nicholas Krämer , Nathanael Bosch , Jonathan Schmidt , Philipp Hennig

Optimal Bayesian feature filtering (OBF) is a supervised screening method designed for biomarker discovery. In this article, we prove two major theoretical properties of OBF. First, optimal Bayesian feature selection under a general family…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-10 Ali Foroughi pour , Lori A. Dalton

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are commonly used to model dynamic behavior of a system. Because many parameters are unknown and have to be estimated from the observed data, there is growing interest in statistics to develop…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Xin Qi , Hongyu Zhao

Linear partial differential equations (PDEs) are an important, widely applied class of mechanistic models, describing physical processes such as heat transfer, electromagnetism, and wave propagation. In practice, specialized numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Marvin Pförtner , Ingo Steinwart , Philipp Hennig , Jonathan Wenger

Accurate estimation of Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) is crucial for understanding climate change and its impacts on public health, as aerosols are a measure of air quality conditions. AOD is usually retrieved from satellite imagery at coarse…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-11 Fernando Rodriguez Avellaneda , Paula Moraga

Spatial modelling often uses Gaussian random fields to capture the stochastic nature of studied phenomena. However, this approach incurs significant computational burdens (O(n3)), primarily due to covariance matrix computations. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-22 Joaquin Cavieres , Paula Moraga , Cole C. Monnahan

Physical laws governing population dynamics are generally expressed as differential equations. Research in recent decades has incorporated fractional-order (non-integer) derivatives into differential models of natural phenomena, such as…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-08 A. P. Harris , T. A. Biala , A. Q. M. Khaliq

In this paper, we consider objective Bayesian inference of the generalized exponential distribution using the independence Jeffreys prior and validate the propriety of the posterior distribution under a family of structured priors. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-26 Aojun Li , Keying Ye , Min Wang

Practical Bayes filters often assume the state distribution of each time step to be Gaussian for computational tractability, resulting in the so-called Gaussian filters. When facing nonlinear systems, Gaussian filters such as extended…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-17 Wenhan Cao , Tianyi Zhang , Zeju Sun , Chang Liu , Stephen S. -T. Yau , Shengbo Eben Li

Bayesian filtering is a cornerstone of state estimation in complex systems such as aerospace systems, yet exact solutions are available only for linear Gaussian models. In practice,nonlinear systems are handled through tractable…

In this work, we develop a highly efficient representation of functions and differential operators based on Fourier analysis. Using this representation, we create a variational hybrid quantum algorithm to solve static, Schr\"odinger-type,…

Sparse variational approximations are popular methods for scaling up inference and learning in Gaussian processes to larger datasets. For $N$ training points, exact inference has $O(N^3)$ cost; with $M \ll N$ features, state of the art…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-15 Talay M Cheema , Carl Edward Rasmussen

Diffusion models have achieved remarkable success in generating samples from unknown data distributions. Most popular stochastic differential equation-based diffusion models perturb the target distribution by adding Gaussian noise,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-20 Wenpin Tang , Nizar Touzi , Zikun Zhang , Xun Yu Zhou

A transient magneto-quasistatic vector potential formulation involving nonlinear material is spatially discretized using the finite element method of first and second polynomial order. By applying a generalized Schur complement the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-11-09 Bernhard Kähne , Markus Clemens , Sebastian Schöps

Many inverse problems require reconstructing physical fields from limited and noisy data while incorporating known governing equations. A growing body of work within probabilistic numerics formalizes such tasks via Bayesian inference in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-19 Alex Alberts , Ilias Bilionis

This article revisits the approximation problem of systems of nonlinear delay differential equations (DDEs) by a set of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). We work in Hilbert spaces endowed with a natural inner product including a point…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-09-11 Mickaël D. Chekroun , Michael Ghil , Honghu Liu , Shouhong Wang