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Bayesian optimization is a sequential method for minimizing objective functions that are expensive to evaluate and about which few assumptions can be made. By using all gathered data to train a Gaussian process model for the function and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Jesse Schneider , William J. Welch

We introduce an ordinary differential equation (ODE) based deep generative method for learning conditional distributions, named Conditional F\"ollmer Flow. Starting from a standard Gaussian distribution, the proposed flow could approximate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-14 Jinyuan Chang , Zhao Ding , Yuling Jiao , Ruoxuan Li , Jerry Zhijian Yang

Quantum algorithms offer an exponential advantage with respect to the number of dependent variables for solving certain nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs). These algorithms typically begin by transforming the original…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-12-09 Judd Katz , Gopikrishnan Muraleedharan , Abhijeet Alase

We consider a Bayesian nonparametric approach to a family of linear inverse problems in a separable Hilbert space setting with Gaussian noise. We assume Gaussian priors, which are conjugate to the model, and present a method of identifying…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-08-05 Sergios Agapiou , Stig Larsson , Andrew M. Stuart

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

We obtain upper and lower Gaussian density estimates for the law of each component of the solution to a one-dimensional fully coupled forward-backward SDE (FBSDE). Our approach relies on the link between FBSDEs and quasilinear parabolic…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-03 Christian Olivera , Evelina Shamarova

A Bayesian probability based approach is applied to the problem of detecting and parameterizing oscillations in the upper solar atmosphere for the first time. Due to its statistical origin, this method provides a mechanism for determining…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-12-18 M. S. Marsh , J. Ireland , T. Kucera

Statistical models can involve implicitly defined quantities, such as solutions to nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs), that unavoidably need to be numerically approximated in order to evaluate the model. The approximation…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-16 Juho Timonen , Nikolas Siccha , Ben Bales , Harri Lähdesmäki , Aki Vehtari

Gaussian Process state-space models capture complex temporal dependencies in a principled manner by placing a Gaussian Process prior on the transition function. These models have a natural interpretation as discretized stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Krista Longi , Jakob Lindinger , Olaf Duennbier , Melih Kandemir , Arto Klami , Barbara Rakitsch

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) describe dynamical systems evolving deterministically in continuous time. Accurate data-driven modeling of systems as ODEs, a central problem across the natural sciences, remains challenging,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Maximilian Mauel , Manuel Hinz , Patrick Seifner , David Berghaus , Ramses J. Sanchez

In large-scale Bayesian inverse problems, it is often necessary to apply approximate forward models to reduce the cost of forward model evaluations, while controlling approximation quality. In the context of Bayesian inverse problems with…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-01-08 Josie König , Han Cheng Lie

Gauss's method of orbit determination (OD) and its variants are among the most popular initial state estimation techniques for astronomers and engineers alike. However, owing to its assumptions regarding the two-body problem, Gauss's method…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-03 Ishan Paranjape , Tarun Hejmadi , Utkarsh Ranjan Mishra , Suman Chakravorty

Anomalies in economic and financial data -- often linked to rare yet impactful events -- are of theoretical interest, but can also severely distort inference. Although outlier-robust methodologies can be used, many researchers prefer…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-01 Monica Billio , Roberto Casarin , Fausto Corradin , Antonio Peruzzi

We are interested in the numerical solution of coupled nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) in two and three dimensions. Under certain assumptions on the domain, we take advantage of the Kronecker structure arising in standard…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Gerhard Kirsten

Hybrid neural ordinary differential equations (neural ODEs) integrate mechanistic models with neural ODEs, offering strong inductive bias and flexibility, and are particularly advantageous in data-scarce healthcare settings. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Bob Junyi Zou , Lu Tian

An efficient approximate version of implicit Taylor methods for initial-value problems of systems of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) is introduced. The approach, based on an approximate formulation of Taylor methods, produces a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-05 Antonio Baeza , Raimund Bürger , María del Carmen Martí , Pep Mulet , David Zorío

In this paper, we derive a Bayesian model order selection rule by using the exponentially embedded family method, termed Bayesian EEF. Unlike many other Bayesian model selection methods, the Bayesian EEF can use vague proper priors and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-24 Zhenghan Zhu , Steven Kay

We propose an algebraic method that finds a sequence of functions that exponentially approach the solution of any second-order ordinary differential equation (ODE) with any boundary conditions. We define an extended ODE (eODE) composed of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-06-07 Pedro L. Garrido

We propose a new method for the numerical solution of backward stochastic differential equations (BSDEs) which finds its roots in Fourier analysis. The method consists of an Euler time discretization of the BSDE with certain conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-25 Cody Blaine Hyndman , Polynice Oyono Ngou

We introduce the concept of conjugate prior models for a given likelihood function in Bayesian spatial inversion. The conjugate class of prior models can be selection extended and still remain conjugate. We demonstrate the generality of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-06 Henning Omre , Kjartan Rimstad
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