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Filtering-based probabilistic numerical solvers for ordinary differential equations (ODEs), also known as ODE filters, have been established as efficient methods for quantifying numerical uncertainty in the solution of ODEs. In practical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-02 Dingling Yao , Filip Tronarp , Nathanael Bosch

Neural ODEs (NODEs) have emerged as powerful tools for modeling time series data, offering the flexibility to adapt to varying input scales and capture complex dynamics. However, they face significant challenges: first, their reliance on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Muhao Guo , Yang Weng

This work proposes a statistically enhanced framework to address the instability and limited predictive capability of conventional Galerkin-Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (Galerkin-POD) models. The method reformulates the correction of the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-15 Bijie Yang , Chengyuan Liu , Lu Tian , Yuping Qian , Mingyang Yang

Stochastic interpolants offer a robust framework for continuously transforming samples between arbitrary data distributions, holding significant promise for generative modeling. Despite their potential, rigorous finite-time convergence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Yuhao Liu , Rui Hu , Yu Chen , Longbo Huang

Differential equations (DEs) are commonly used to describe dynamic systems evolving in one (ordinary differential equations or ODEs) or in more than one dimensions (partial differential equations or PDEs). In real data applications the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-25 Gianluca Frasso , Jonathan Jaeger , Philippe Lambert

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are central to scientific modelling, but inferring their vector fields from noisy trajectories remains challenging. Current approaches such as symbolic regression, Gaussian process (GP) regression, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-10 Maximilian Mauel , Johannes R. Hübers , David Berghaus , Patrick Seifner , Ramses J. Sanchez

Filter methods realize a projection from a superposed quantum state onto a target state, which can be efficient if two states have sufficient overlap. Here we propose a quantum Gaussian filter (QGF) with the filter operator being a Gaussian…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-09-19 Min-Quan He , Dan-Bo Zhang , Z. D. Wang

This paper presents an intrinsic approach for addressing control problems with systems governed by linear ordinary differential equations (ODEs). We use computer algebra to constrain a Gaussian Process on solutions of ODEs. We obtain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-18 Andreas Besginow , Markus Lange-Hegermann , Jörn Tebbe

State-space models are successfully used in many areas of science, engineering and economics to model time series and dynamical systems. We present a fully Bayesian approach to inference \emph{and learning} (i.e. state estimation and system…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-12-18 Roger Frigola , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön , Carl E. Rasmussen

We present Ordinary Differential Equation Variational Auto-Encoder (ODE$^2$VAE), a latent second order ODE model for high-dimensional sequential data. Leveraging the advances in deep generative models, ODE$^2$VAE can simultaneously learn…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-25 Çağatay Yıldız , Markus Heinonen , Harri Lähdesmäki

Recent advances in learning techniques have enabled the modelling of dynamical systems for scientific and engineering applications directly from data. However, in many contexts explicit data collection is expensive and learning algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-11 Steffen Ridderbusch , Christian Offen , Sina Ober-Blöbaum , Paul Goulart

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are used to model dynamic systems appearing in engineering, physics, biomedical sciences and many other fields. These equations contain unknown parameters, say $\theta$ of physical significance which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-05 Prithwish Bhaumik , Subhashis Ghosal

In most relevant cases in the Bayesian analysis of ODE inverse problems, a numerical solver needs to be used. Therefore, we cannot work with the exact theoretical posterior distribution but only with an approximate posterior deriving from…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-01 Marcos Capistrán , J. Andrés Christen , Sophie Donnet

It has recently been established that the numerical solution of ordinary differential equations can be posed as a nonlinear Bayesian inference problem, which can be approximately solved via Gaussian filtering and smoothing, whenever a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-01-13 Filip Tronarp , Simo Sarkka , Philipp Hennig

The paper presents a general strategy to solve ordinary differential equations (ODE), where some coefficient depend on the spatial variable and on additional random variables. The approach is based on the application of a recently developed…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-17 Maximilian Bochmann , Lutz Kämmerer , Daniel Potts

In this work, we concern with the high order numerical methods for coupled forward-backward stochastic differential equations (FBSDEs). Based on the FBSDEs theory, we derive two reference ordinary differential equations (ODEs) from the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-03-27 Weidong Zhao , Yu Fu , Tao Zhou

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a widely-used method for optimizing expensive (to evaluate) problems. At the core of most BO methods is the modeling of the objective function using a Gaussian Process (GP) whose covariance is selected from a…

In this paper, the problem of state estimation, in the context of both filtering and smoothing, for nonlinear state-space models is considered. Due to the nonlinear nature of the models, the state estimation problem is generally intractable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-24 Jarrad Courts , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

A higher-order numerical method is presented for scalar valued, coupled forward-backward stochastic differential equations. Unlike most classical references, the forward component is not only discretized by an Euler-Maruyama approximation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-01-22 Balint Negyesi , Cornelis W. Oosterlee

The main goal of this article is to show a new method to solve some Fractional Order Integral Equations (FOIE), more precisely the ones which are linear, have constant coefficients and all the integration orders involved are rational. The…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2018-02-09 Daniel Cao Labora , Rosana Rodríguez-López