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Dealing with compound renewal process with generally distributed jump sizes and inter-renewal intervals, we focus on the approximation for the fixed-probability level, which is the core of inverse level crossing problem. We are developing…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Vsevolod Malinovskii

We study a multidimensional renewal risk model, with common counting process and cadlag returns. Considering that the claim vectors have common distribution from some multivariate distribution class with heavy tail, are mutually weakly…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-18 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

This paper presents a convenient framework for modeling default process and pricing derivative securities involving credit risk. The framework provides an integrated view of credit valuation adjustment by linking distance-to-default,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-08 David Xiao

This paper concerns an insurance firm's surplus process observed at renewal inspection times, with a focus on assessing the probability of the surplus level dropping below zero. For various types of inter-inspection time distributions, an…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Florine Kuipers , Michel Mandjes , Sara Morcy

We introduce a novel framework to account for sensitivity to rewards uncertainty in sequential decision-making problems. While risk-sensitive formulations for Markov decision processes studied so far focus on the distribution of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-16 Nelson Vadori , Sumitra Ganesh , Prashant Reddy , Manuela Veloso

In the paper, the martingales and super-martingales relative to a regular set of measures are systematically studied. The notion of local regular super-martingale relative to a set of equivalent measures is introduced and the necessary and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-23 N. S. Gonchar

We analyze the general L\'{e}vy insurance risk process for L\'{e}vy measures in the convolution equivalence class $\mathcal{S}^{(\alpha)}$, $\alpha>0$, via a new kind of path decomposition. This yields a very general functional limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-22 Philip S. Griffin , Ross A. Maller

We study a general perturbed risk process with cumulative claims modelled by a subordinator with finite expectation, with the perturbation being a spectrally negative Levy process with zero expectation. We derive a Pollaczek-Hinchin type…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 Miljenko Huzak , Mihael Perman , Hrvoje Sikic , Zoran Vondracek

We propose a novel approach in the assessment of a random risk variable $X$ by introducing magnitude-propensity risk measures $(m_X,p_X)$. This bivariate measure intends to account for the dual aspect of risk, where the magnitudes $x$ of…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-28 Olivier P. Faugeras , Gilles Pagès

For a $d$-dimensional stochastic process $(S_n)_{n=0}^N$ we obtain criteria for the existence of an equivalent martingale measure, whose density $z$, up to a normalizing constant, is bounded from below by a given random variable $f$. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-04-11 Dmitry B. Rokhlin

We propose a general modeling framework for marked Poisson processes observed over time or space. The modeling approach exploits the connection of the nonhomogeneous Poisson process intensity with a density function. Nonparametric Dirichlet…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-02 Matthew A. Taddy , Athanasios Kottas

In this paper we investigate the Parisian ruin probability for an integrated Gaussian process. Under certain assumptions, we find the Parisian ruin probability and the classical ruin probability are on the log-scale asymptotically the same.…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-04 Xiaofan Peng , Li Luo

In this paper we study the joint ruin problem for two insurance companies that divide between them both claims and premia in some specified proportions (modeling two branches of the same insurance company or an insurance and re-insurance…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-16 Florin Avram , Zbigniew Palmowski , Martijn Pistorius

We propose that the entanglement of mixed states is characterised properly in terms of a probability density function $\mathcal{P}_{\rho}(\mathcal{E})$. There is a need for such a measure since the prevalent measures (such as…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Shanthanu Bhardwaj , V. Ravishankar

We study combinations of risk measures under no restrictive assumption on the set of alternatives. We develop and discuss results regarding the preservation of properties and acceptance sets for the combinations of risk measures. One of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Marcelo Brutti Righi

This paper obtains an asymptotic formula for the finite-time ruin probability of the compound nonhomogeneous Poisson risk model with a constant interest force, in which the claims are conditionally independent random variables with a common…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-30 Hui Xu , Fengyang Cheng

In this paper we consider the Parisian ruin probabilities for the dual risk model in a discrete-time setting. By exploiting the strong Markov property of the risk process we derive a recursive expression for the fnite-time Parisian ruin…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-24 Zbigniew Palmowski , Lewis Ramsden , Apostolos D. Papaioannou

In this paper, we first define the multivariate tempered space-fractional Poisson process (MTSFPP) by time-changing the multivariate Poisson process with an independent tempered {\alpha}-stable subordinator. Its distributional properties,…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Ashok Kumar Pathak , Ritik Soni

Experimentation involves risk. The investigator expends time and money in the pursuit of data that supports a hypothesis. In the end, the investigator may find that all of these costs were for naught and the data fail to reject the null.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-25 Thomas Cook , Patrick Flaherty

We are interested in the existence of equivalent martingale measures and the detection of arbitrage opportunities in markets where several multi-asset derivatives are traded simultaneously. More specifically, we consider a financial market…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-23 Antonis Papapantoleon , Paulo Yanez Sarmiento
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