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We investigate the supports of extremal martingale measures with pre-specified marginals in a two-period setting. First, we establish in full generality the equivalence between the extremality of a given measure $Q$ and the denseness in…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-08 Luciano Campi , Claude Martini

In this work, we consider extensions of the dual risk model with proportional gains by introducing a dependence structure between gain sizes and gain interrarrival times. Among others, we further consider the case where the proportional…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-23 Ioannis Dimitriou

In this paper, we derive power guarantees of some sequential tests for bounded mean under general alternatives. We focus on testing procedures using nonnegative supermartingales which are anytime valid and consider alternatives which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Amaury Durand , Olivier Wintenberger

In this article we consider an aggregate loss model with dependent losses. The losses occurrence process is governed by a two-state Markovian arrival process (MAP2), a Markov renewal process process that allows for (1) correlated…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-06 Pepa Ramírez-Cobo , Emilio Carrizosa , Rosa Elvira Lillo

Assuming a $q$-variant of the prime $k$-tuple conjecture uniformly, we compute mixed moments of the number of primes in disjoint short intervals and progressions, respectively. This involves estimating the mean of singular series along…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Sun-Kai Leung

We study the discrete time risk process modelled by the skip-free random walk and we derive the results connected to the ruin probability, such as crossing the fixed level, for this kind of process. We use the method relying on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-08 Ivana Geček Tuđen

This note is an addendum to the work initiated by Eberlein, Kabanov, and Schmidt and developed further by Kabanov and Promyslov on the asymptotics of the ruin probabilities in the Sparre Andersen model with investments in a risky asset.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Yuri Kabanov , Danil Legenkiy , Platon Promyslov

We extend some sharp inequalities for martingale-differences to general multiplicative systems of random variables. The key ingredient in the proofs is a technique reducing the general case to the case of Rademacher random variables without…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2022-04-29 Grigori A. Karagulyan

Let us consider a signed measure $\Qv$ and a probability measure $\Pv$ such that $\Qv<<\Pv$. Let $D$ be the density of $\Qv$ with respect to $\Pv$. $H$ represents the set of zeros of $D$, $\bar{g}=0\vee\sup{H}$. In this paper, we shall…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-11 Fulgence Eyi Obiang , Youssef Ouknine , Octave Moutsinga

We revisit Merton's portfolio optimization problem under boun-ded state-dependent utility functions, in a market driven by a L\'evy process $Z$ extending results by Karatzas et. al. (1991) and Kunita (2003). The problem is solved using a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-01-15 Jose E. Figueroa-Lopez , Jin Ma

We consider dynamic sublinear expectations (i.e., time-consistent coherent risk measures) whose scenario sets consist of singular measures corresponding to a general form of volatility uncertainty. We derive a c\`adl\`ag nonlinear…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-18 Marcel Nutz , H. Mete Soner

We study point processes on the real line whose configurations $X$ are locally finite, have a maximum and evolve through increments which are functions of correlated Gaussian variables. The correlations are intrinsic to the points and…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-26 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Michael Aizenman

The paper develops multiplicative compensation for complex-valued semimartingales and studies some of its consequences. It is shown that the stochastic exponential of any complex-valued semimartingale with independent increments becomes a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-10 Aleš Černý , Johannes Ruf

For any infinite zero-density integer set M, we found a rigid measure-preserving transformation mixing along M by answering Bergelson's question. Gaussian and Poisson suspensions over infinite constructions are suggested as suitable…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-04-29 Valery V. Ryzhikov

We study general properties for the family of stochastic processes with polynomial regression property, that is that every conditional moment of the process is a polynomial. It turns out that then there exists a family of polynomial…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-04 Paweł J. Szabłowski

Motivated by Alain-Sol Sznitman's interlacement process, we consider the set of $\{0,1\}$-valued processes which can be constructed in an analogous way, namely as a union of sets coming from a Poisson process on a collection of sets. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-03 Malin P. Forsström , Nina Gantert , Jeffrey E. Steif

In this note, we show how the penalization method, introduced in order to describe some non-trivial changes of the Wiener measure, can be applied to the study of some simple polymer models such as the pinning model. The bulk of the analysis…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-18 Mihai Gradinaru , Samy Tindel

A compound Poisson process whose randomized time is an independent Poisson process is called compound Poisson process with Poisson subordinator. We provide its probability distribution, which is expressed in terms of the Bell polynomials,…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-18 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci , Shelemyahu Zacks

Given a Gaussian risk process $R(t)=u+c(t)-X(t),t\ge 0$, the cumulative Parisian ruin probability on a finite time interval $[0,T]$ with respect to $L \geq 0$ is defined as the probability that the sojourn time that the risk process $R$…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Svyatoslav M. Novikov

In this paper, we consider the problem of experience rating within the classic Markov chain life insurance framework. We begin by establishing a link between mixed Poisson distributions and the problem of pricing group disability insurance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Christian Furrer , Jacob Juhl Sørensen , Jorge Yslas
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