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This article is concerned with stochastic differential equations driven by a $d$ dimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H>1/4$, understood in the rough paths sense. Whenever the coefficients of the equation satisfy a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Xi Geng , Cheng Ouyang , Samy Tindel

We study nonparametric density estimation in non-stationary drift settings. Given a sequence of independent samples taken from a distribution that gradually changes in time, the goal is to compute the best estimate for the current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Alessio Mazzetto , Eli Upfal

In this paper, we study the estimation of drift and diffusion coefficients in a two dimensional system of N interacting particles modeled by a degenerate stochastic differential equation. We consider both complete and partial observation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Chiara Amorino , Vytautė Pilipauskaitė

The purpose of the present work is to construct estimators for the random effects in a fractional diffusion model using a hybrid estimation method where we combine parametric and nonparametric thechniques. We precisely consider $n$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-13 Nesrine Chebli , Hamdi Fathallah , Yousri Slaoui

We develop several statistical tests of the determinant of the diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation, based on discrete observations on a time interval $[0,T]$ sampled with a time step $\Delta$. Our main contribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-22 Anna Melnykova , Patricia Reynaud-Bouret , Adeline Samson

We consider a 1-dimensional diffusion process X with jumps. The particularity of this model relies in the jumps which are driven by a multidimensional Hawkes process denoted N. This article is dedicated to the study of a nonparametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-05 Charlotte Dion , Sarah Lemler

Identification of nonlinear dynamical systems is crucial across various fields, facilitating tasks such as control, prediction, optimization, and fault detection. Many applications require methods capable of handling complex systems while…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-05 Luc Brogat-Motte , Riccardo Bonalli , Alessandro Rudi

We present a method for the nonparametric estimation of the drift function of certain types of stochastic differential equations from the empirical density. It is based on a variational formulation of the Fokker-Planck equation. The…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-12-16 Philipp Batz , Andreas Ruttor , Manfred Opper

We study one-dimensional stochastic differential equations of form $dX_t = \sigma(X_t)dY_t$, where $Y$ is a suitable H\"older continuous driver such as the fractional Brownian motion $B^H$ with $H>\frac12$. The innovative aspect of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-08-09 Soledad Torres , Lauri Viitasaari

We investigate the problem of estimating the drift parameter from $N$ independent copies of the solution of a stochastic differential equation driven by a multiplicative fractional Brownian noise with Hurst parameter $H\in (1/3,1)$.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Chiara Amorino , Laure Coutin , Nicolas Marie

A parameter estimation problem for a class of semilinear stochastic evolution equations is considered. Conditions for consistency and asymptotic normality are given in terms of growth and continuity properties of the nonlinear part.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-26 Gregor Pasemann , Wilhelm Stannat

This paper provides a semiparametric model of estimating states of the volatility defined as the squared diffusion coefficient of a stochastic differential equation. Without assuming any functional form of the volatility function, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-07-18 I. Shoji

We consider nonparametric invariant density and drift estimation for a class of multidimensional degenerate resp. hypoelliptic diffusion processes, so-called stochastic damping Hamiltonian systems or kinetic diffusions, under anisotropic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Niklas Dexheimer , Claudia Strauch

Our investigation is specially motivated by the stochastic version of a common model of potential spread in a dendritic tree. We do not assume the noise in the junction points to be Markovian. In fact, we allow for long-range dependence in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-12-21 Stefano Bonaccorsi , Delio Mugnolo

This paper deals with nonparametric estimators of the drift function $b$ computed from independent continuous observations, on a compact time interval, of the solution of a stochastic differential equation driven by the fractional Brownian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-16 Fabienne Comte , Nicolas Marie

We consider a simple mean reverting diffusion process, with piecewise constant drift and diffusion coefficients, discontinuous at a fixed threshold. We discuss estimation of drift and diffusion parameters from discrete observations of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-12 Sara Mazzonetto , Paolo Pigato

We study the estimation of the invariant density of additive fractional stochastic differential equations with Hurst parameter $H \in (0,1)$. We first focus on continuous observations and develop a kernel-based estimator achieving faster…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Chiara Amorino , Eulalia Nualart , Fabien Panloup , Julian Sieber

We study the problem of parameter estimation for a univariate discretely observed ergodic diffusion process given as a solution to a stochastic differential equation. The estimation procedure we propose consists of two steps. In the first…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Shota Gugushvili , Peter Spreij

This article is concerned with stochastic differential equations driven by a $d$ dimensional fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H>1/4$, understood in the rough paths sense. Whenever the coefficients of the equation satisfy a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-03 Xi Geng , Cheng Ouyang , Samy Tindel

We consider the problem of minimizing a convex function that is evolving according to unknown and possibly stochastic dynamics, which may depend jointly on time and on the decision variable itself. Such problems abound in the machine…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-30 Joshua Cutler , Dmitriy Drusvyatskiy , Zaid Harchaoui