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Estimating and detecting faults is crucial in ensuring safe and efficient automated systems. In the presence of disturbances, noise or varying system dynamics, such estimation is even more challenging. To address this challenge, this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-13 Chris van der Ploeg , Emilia Silvas , Nathan van de Wouw , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

We introduce an approach which allows detecting causal relationships between variables for which the time evolution is available. Causality is assessed by a variational scheme based on the Information Imbalance of distance ranks, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-07 Vittorio Del Tatto , Gianfranco Fortunato , Domenica Bueti , Alessandro Laio

Learning causal structures from observational data is a fundamental problem facing important computational challenges when the number of variables is large. In the context of linear structural equation models (SEMs), this paper focuses on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-21 Shuyu Dong , Kento Uemura , Akito Fujii , Shuang Chang , Yusuke Koyanagi , Koji Maruhashi , Michèle Sebag

The availability of data on economic uncertainty sparked a lot of interest in models that can timely quantify episodes of international spillovers of uncertainty. This challenging task involves trading off estimation accuracy for more…

General Economics · Economics 2023-02-07 Niels Gillmann , Ostap Okhrin

Incorporating nonlinearity is paramount to predicting the future states of a dynamical system, its response to shocks, and its underlying causal network. However, most existing methods for causality detection and impulse response, such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-08 Kurt Izak Cabanilla , Kevin Thomas Go

Arbitrary varying channels (AVC) are used to model communication settings in which a channel state may vary arbitrarily over time. Their primary objective is to circumvent statistical assumptions on channel variation. Traditional studies on…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Michael Langberg , Oron Sabag

We propose a structural variational resolution of the Abraham-Lorentz-Dirac (ALD) pathologies. By deriving the Variational Kinematic Constraint (VKC) and the Variational Dynamics Constraint (VDC) from the particle's proper-time perspective,…

Classical Physics · Physics 2025-05-13 Duje Bonacci

The identification of the lag length for vector autoregressive models by mean of Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Partial Autoregressive and Correlation Matrices (PAM and PCM hereafter) is studied in the framework of processes with time…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-27 Hamdi RaÏssi

Identifying the causal relations between interested variables plays a pivotal role in representation learning as it provides deep insights into the dataset. Identifiability, as the central theme of this approach, normally hinges on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Boyang Sun , Ignavier Ng , Guangyi Chen , Yifan Shen , Qirong Ho , Kun Zhang

Phase-amplitude coupling (PAC), a form of cross-frequency interaction, has been implicated in various cognitive functions and, by extension, in neural communication and information integration. Accurately detecting and characterising PAC is…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-11 Rajintha Gunawardena , Fei He

Predicting the distribution of outcomes under hypothetical interventions is crucial across healthcare, economics, and policy-making. However, existing methods often require restrictive assumptions, and are typically limited by the lack of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Andreas Sauter , Saber Salehkaleybar , Aske Plaat , Erman Acar

The vector autoregressive (VAR) model has been used to describe the dependence within and across multiple time series. This is a model for stationary time series which can be extended to allow the presence of a deterministic trend in each…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-14 Xixi Li , Jingsong Yuan

In this article, variational state estimation is examined from the dynamic programming perspective. This leads to two different value functional recursions depending on whether backward or forward dynamic programming is employed. The result…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-17 Filip Tronarp

We generalize the low-rank decomposition problem, such as principal and independent component analysis (PCA, ICA) for continuous-time vector-valued signals and provide a model-agnostic implicit neural signal representation framework to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Shayan K. Azmoodeh , Krishna Subramani , Paris Smaragdis

Dynamic inner principal component analysis (DiPCA) is a powerful method for the analysis of time-dependent multivariate data. DiPCA extracts dynamic latent variables that capture the most dominant temporal trends by solving a large-scale,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-16 Sungho Shin , Alex D. Smith , S. Joe Qin , Victor M. Zavala

This paper proposes a dynamical Variable-separation method for solving parameter-dependent dynamical systems. To achieve this, we establish a dynamical low-rank approximation for the solutions of these dynamical systems by successively…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-13 Liang Chen , Yaru Chen , Qiuqi Li , Tao Zhou

The ISOKANN (Invariant Subspaces of Koopman Operators Learned by Artificial Neural Networks) framework provides a data-driven route to extract collective variables (CVs) and effective dynamics from complex molecular systems. In this work,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Alexander Sikorski , Luca Donati , Marcus Weber , Christof Schütte

A new classification method for functional data is proposed in this paper. This work is motivated by the need to identify features that discriminate between neurological conditions on which local field potentials (LFPs) were recorded.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-08 Shuhao Jiao , Ron D. Frostig , Hernando Ombao

Many economic variables feature changes in their conditional mean and volatility, and Time Varying Vector Autoregressive Models are often used to handle such complexity in the data. Unfortunately, when the number of series grows, they…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-19 G. Cubadda , S. Grassi , B. Guardabascio

We propose a method for learning dynamical systems from high-dimensional empirical data that combines variational autoencoders and (spatio-)temporal attention within a framework designed to enforce certain scientifically-motivated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Kai Lagemann , Christian Lagemann , Sach Mukherjee
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