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Predictive linear and nonlinear models based on kernel machines or deep neural networks have been used to discover dependencies among time series. This paper proposes an efficient nonlinear modeling approach for multiple time series, with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-02 Kevin Roy , Luis Miguel Lopez-Ramos , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

The core principle of Variational Inference (VI) is to convert the statistical inference problem of computing complex posterior probability densities into a tractable optimization problem. This property enables VI to be faster than several…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Ankush Ganguly , Sanjana Jain , Ukrit Watchareeruetai

Multivariate Analysis (MVA) comprises a family of well-known methods for feature extraction that exploit correlations among input variables of the data representation. One important property that is enjoyed by most such methods is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-21 Sergio Muñoz-Romero , Vanessa Gómez-Verdejo , Jerónimo Arenas-García

Variational system identification is a new formulation of maximum likelihood for estimation of parameters of dynamical systems subject to process and measurement noise, such as aircraft flying in turbulence. This formulation is an…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-31 Dimas Abreu Archanjo Dutra

Learning useful representations of complex data has been the subject of extensive research for many years. With the diffusion of Deep Neural Networks, Variational Autoencoders have gained lots of attention since they provide an explicit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Marco Maggipinto , Matteo Terzi , Gian Antonio Susto

Vector Auto-Regressive (VAR) models capture lead-lag temporal dynamics of multivariate time series data. They have been widely used in macroeconomics, financial econometrics, neuroscience and functional genomics. In many applications, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-15 Peiliang Bai , Yue Bai , Abolfazl Safikhani , George Michailidis

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting has been extensively applied across diverse domains, such as weather prediction and energy consumption. However, current studies still rely on the vanilla point-wise self-attention mechanism to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Yingnan Yang , Qingling Zhu , Jianyong Chen

We present a representation learning algorithm that learns a low-dimensional latent dynamical system from high-dimensional \textit{sequential} raw data, e.g., video. The framework builds upon recent advances in amortized inference methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-29 Jung-Su Ha , Young-Jin Park , Hyeok-Joo Chae , Soon-Seo Park , Han-Lim Choi

Multibody dynamics simulators are an important tool in many fields, including learning and control for robotics. However, many existing dynamics simulators suffer from inaccuracies when dealing with constrained mechanical systems due to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Jan Brüdigam , Stefan Sosnowski , Zachary Manchester , Sandra Hirche

Despite advances in deep probabilistic models, learning discrete latent representations remains challenging. This work introduces a novel method to improve inference in discrete Variational Autoencoders by reframing the inference problem…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 María Martínez-García , Grace Villacrés , David Mitchell , Pablo M. Olmos

This article develops variational integrators for a class of underactuated mechanical systems using the theory of discrete mechanics. Further, a discrete optimal control problem is formulated for the considered class of systems and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-16 Siddharth H. Nair , Ravi N. Banavar

As deep Variational Auto-Encoder (VAE) frameworks become more widely used for modeling biomolecular simulation data, we emphasize the capability of the VAE architecture to concurrently maximize the timescale of the latent space while…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-12-08 Hannah K. Wayment-Steele , Vijay S. Pande

This paper introduces a novel process for both factor and idiosyncratic volatility matrices whose eigenvalues follow the vector auto-regressive (VAR) model. We call it the factor and idiosyncratic VAR (FIVAR) model. The FIVAR model accounts…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Minseok Shin , Donggyu Kim , Yazhen Wang , Jianqing Fan

Inference and inverse problems are closely related concepts, both fundamentally involving the deduction of unknown causes or parameters from observed data. Bayesian inference, a powerful class of methods, is often employed to solve a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-17 Yuan-Hao Wei , Yan-Jie Sun , Chen Zhang

The process of generating data such as images is controlled by independent and unknown factors of variation. The retrieval of these variables has been studied extensively in the disentanglement, causal representation learning, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Gaël Gendron , Michael Witbrock , Gillian Dobbie

This study advances the Variational Autoencoder (VAE) framework by addressing challenges in Independent Component Analysis (ICA) under both determined and underdetermined conditions, focusing on enhancing the independence and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-10 Yuan-Hao Wei , Yan-Jie Sun

Nonlinear ICA is a fundamental problem for unsupervised representation learning, emphasizing the capacity to recover the underlying latent variables generating the data (i.e., identifiability). Recently, the very first identifiability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-05 Aapo Hyvarinen , Hiroaki Sasaki , Richard E. Turner

We present the Complex Envelope Variable Approximation (CEVA) as the very useful and compact method for the analysis of the essentially nonlinear dynamical systems. It allows us to study both the stationary and non-stationary dynamics even…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2020-04-20 Valeri V. Smirnov , Leonid I. Manevitch

In contemporary neuroscience, a key area of interest is dynamic effective connectivity, which is crucial for understanding the dynamic interactions and causal relationships between different brain regions. Dynamic effective connectivity can…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-30 Wei Zhang , Ivor Cribben , sonia Petrone , Michele Guindani

Iterative learning control (ILC) is a method for reducing system tracking or estimation errors over multiple iterations by using information from past iterations. The disturbance observer (DOB) is used to estimate and mitigate disturbances…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-23 Harsh Modi , Zhu Chen , Xiao Liang , Minghui Zheng
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