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The paper examines the potential of deep learning to support decisions in financial risk management. We develop a deep learning model for predicting whether individual spread traders secure profits from future trades. This task embodies…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-19 Yaodong Yang , Alisa Kolesnikova , Stefan Lessmann , Tiejun Ma , Ming-Chien Sung , Johnnie E. V. Johnson

In Business Intelligence, accurate predictive modeling is the key for providing adaptive decisions. We studied predictive modeling problems in this research which was motivated by real-world cases that Microsoft data scientists encountered…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-16 Junxuan Li , Yung-wen Liu , Yuting Jia , Yifei Ren , Jay Nanduri

Predicting cryptocurrency price trends remains a major challenge due to the volatility and complexity of digital asset markets. Artificial intelligence (AI) has emerged as a powerful tool to address this problem. This study proposes a…

Privacy protection mechanisms are a fundamental aspect of security in cryptocurrency systems, particularly in decentralized networks such as Bitcoin. Although Bitcoin addresses are not directly associated with real-world identities, this…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2026-03-19 Shihan Zhang , Bing Han , Chuanyong Tian , Ruisheng Shi , Lina Lan , Qin Wang

In light of micro-scale inefficiencies induced by the high degree of fragmentation of the Bitcoin trading landscape, we utilize a granular data set comprised of orderbook and trades data from the most liquid Bitcoin markets, in order to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-24 Jakob Albers , Mihai Cucuringu , Sam Howison , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff

The Lightning Network (LN) is a second-layer protocol for Bitcoin designed to enable fast and cost-efficient off-chain transactions. Channels in the LN can be closed either by mutual agreement or unilaterally through a forced closure, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Simone Antonelli , Vincent Davis , Harrison Rush , Anthony Potdevin , Jesse Shrader , Vikash Singh , Emanuele Rossi

Since its advent in 2009, Bitcoin, a cryptography-enabled peer-to-peer digital payment system, has been gaining increasing attention from both academia and industry. An effort designed to overcome a cluster of bottlenecks inherent in…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Ling Cheng , Feida Zhu , Huiwen Liu , Chunyan Miao

Utilizing graph analytics and learning has proven to be an effective method for exploring aspects of crypto economics such as network effects, decentralization, tokenomics, and fraud detection. However, the majority of existing research…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Bingqiao Luo

With the rapid development of artificial intelligence, long short term memory (LSTM), one kind of recurrent neural network (RNN), has been widely applied in time series prediction. Like RNN, Transformer is designed to handle the sequential…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-21 Paul Bilokon , Yitao Qiu

This work addresses the problem of analyzing multi-channel time series data %. In this paper, we by proposing an unsupervised fusion framework based on %the recently proposed convolutional transform learning. Each channel is processed by a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-10 Pooja Gupta , Jyoti Maggu , Angshul Majumdar , Emilie Chouzenoux , Giovanni Chierchia

Bitcoin is a peer-to-peer electronic payment system that has rapidly grown in popularity in recent years. Usually, the complete history of Bitcoin blockchain data must be queried to acquire variables with economic meaning. This task has…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-11 Yulin Liu , Luyao Zhang , Yinhong Zhao

This paper investigates the application of Transformer-based neural networks to stock price forecasting, with a special focus on the intersection of machine learning techniques and financial market analysis. The evolution of Transformer…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Kamil Ł. Szydłowski , Jarosław A. Chudziak

The advent of financial technology has witnessed a surge in the utilization of deep learning models to anticipate consumer conduct, a trend that has demonstrated considerable potential in enhancing lending strategies and bolstering market…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Shenghan Zhao , Yuzhen Lin , Ximeng Yang , Qiaochu Lu , Haozhong Xue , Gaozhe Jiang

According to the advent of cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin, many investments and businesses are now conducted online through cryptocurrencies. Among them, Bitcoin uses blockchain technology to make transactions secure, transparent, traceable,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-30 Milad Asadpour , Alireza Rezaee , Farshid Hajati

Weather forecasting plays a vital role in disaster preparedness, agriculture, and resource management, yet current centralized forecasting systems are increasingly strained by security vulnerabilities, limited scalability, and…

Cryptocurrencies gain trust in users by publicly disclosing the full creation and transaction history. In return, the transaction history faithfully records the whole spectrum of cryptocurrency user behaviors. This article analyzes and…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-10-05 Xiao Fan Liu , Xin-Jian Jiang , Si-Hao Liu , Chi Kong Tse

Bitcoin mining hardware acquisition requires strategic timing due to volatile markets, rapid technological obsolescence, and protocol-driven revenue cycles. Despite mining's evolution into a capital-intensive industry, there is little…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Sithumi Wickramasinghe , Bikramjit Das , Dorien Herremans

There recently has been a surge of interest in developing a new class of deep learning (DL) architectures that integrate an explicit time dimension as a fundamental building block of learning and representation mechanisms. In turn, many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Yuzhou Chen , Ignacio Segovia-Dominguez , Yulia R. Gel

Graphs are a commonly used construct for representing relationships between elements in complex high dimensional datasets. Many real-world phenomenon are dynamic in nature, meaning that any graph used to represent them is inherently…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-11-21 Stephen Bonner , John Brennan , Ibad Kureshi , Georgios Theodoropoulos , Andrew Stephen McGough , Boguslaw Obara

The possibility to analyze everyday monetary transactions is limited by the scarcity of available data, as this kind of information is usually considered highly sensitive. Present econophysics models are usually employed on presumed random…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-04-01 Dániel Kondor , Márton Pósfai , István Csabai , Gábor Vattay