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The Bitcoin transaction graph is a public data structure organized as transactions between addresses, each associated with a logical entity. In this work, we introduce a complete probabilistic model of the Bitcoin Blockchain. We first…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-12-14 Marc Jourdan , Sebastien Blandin , Laura Wynter , Pralhad Deshpande

We present a deep transformation model for probabilistic regression. Deep learning is known for outstandingly accurate predictions on complex data but in regression tasks, it is predominantly used to just predict a single number. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-02 Beate Sick , Torsten Hothorn , Oliver Dürr

Predicting business process behaviour is an important aspect of business process management. Motivated by research in natural language processing, this paper describes an application of deep learning with recurrent neural networks to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-05 Joerg Evermann , Jana-Rebecca Rehse , Peter Fettke

Big data, both in its structured and unstructured formats, have brought in unforeseen challenges in economics and business. How to organize, classify, and then analyze such data to obtain meaningful insights are the ever-going research…

General Economics · Economics 2025-02-04 Viet Trinh

Introduction: The paper addresses the challenging problem of predicting the short-term realized volatility of the Bitcoin price using order flow information. The inherent stochastic nature and anti-persistence of price pose difficulties in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-21 Artem Lensky , Mingyu Hao

For a long time predicting, studying and analyzing financial indices has been of major interest for the financial community. Recently, there has been a growing interest in the Deep-Learning community to make use of reinforcement learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-27 Jatin Nainani , Nirman Taterh , Md Ausaf Rashid , Ankit Khivasara

This paper presents a data-driven decentralized trajectory optimization approach for multi-robot motion planning in dynamic environments. When navigating in a shared space, each robot needs accurate motion predictions of neighboring robots…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-02-25 Hai Zhu , Francisco Martinez Claramunt , Bruno Brito , Javier Alonso-Mora

In this paper, we consider the temporal pattern in traffic flow time series, and implement a deep learning model for traffic flow prediction. Detrending based methods decompose original flow series into trend and residual series, in which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-12 Xingyuan Dai , Rui Fu , Yilun Lin , Li Li , Fei-Yue Wang

With the escalating prevalence of malicious activities exploiting vulnerabilities in blockchain systems, there is an urgent requirement for robust attack detection mechanisms. To address this challenge, this paper presents a novel…

Efficient prediction of internet traffic is an essential part of Self Organizing Network (SON) for ensuring proactive management. There are many existing solutions for internet traffic prediction with higher accuracy using deep learning.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-10 Sajal Saha , Anwar Haque , Greg Sidebottom

We report successful results from using deep learning neural networks (DLNNs) to learn, purely by observation, the behavior of profitable traders in an electronic market closely modelled on the limit-order-book (LOB) market mechanisms that…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-11-08 Arthur le Calvez , Dave Cliff

The advent of blockchain technology has facilitated the widespread adoption of smart contracts in the financial sector. However, current fraud detection methodologies exhibit limitations in capturing both global structural patterns within…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Zhang Sheng , Liangliang Song , Yanbin Wang

Company disclosures greatly aid in the process of financial decision-making; therefore, they are consulted by financial investors and automated traders before exercising ownership in stocks. While humans are usually able to correctly…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-10-12 Mathias Kraus , Stefan Feuerriegel

Blockchain has recently been applied in many applications such as bitcoin, smart grid, and Internet of Things (IoT) as a public ledger of transactions. However, the use of blockchain in mobile environments is still limited because the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-11-20 Nguyen Cong Luong , Zehui Xiong , Ping Wang , Dusit Niyato

Spatial time series forecasting problems arise in a broad range of applications, such as environmental and transportation problems. These problems are challenging because of the existence of specific spatial, short-term and long-term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-05 Reza Asadi , Amelia Regan

Financial time series have historically been assumed to be a martingale process under the Random Walk hypothesis. Instead of making investment decisions using the raw prices alone, various multimodal pattern matching algorithms have been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-21 Minsuk Kim , Byungchul Kim , Junyeong Yong , Jeongwoo Park , Gyeongmin Kim

Anti-money laundering (AML) regulations play a critical role in safeguarding financial systems, but bear high costs for institutions and drive financial exclusion for those on the socioeconomic and international margins. The advent of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-08-08 Mark Weber , Giacomo Domeniconi , Jie Chen , Daniel Karl I. Weidele , Claudio Bellei , Tom Robinson , Charles E. Leiserson

In the complex landscape of traditional futures trading, where vast data and variables like real-time Limit Order Books (LOB) complicate price predictions, we introduce the FutureQuant Transformer model, leveraging attention mechanisms to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-12 Wenhao Guo , Yuda Wang , Zeqiao Huang , Changjiang Zhang , Shumin ma

For any financial organization, computing accurate quarterly forecasts for various products is one of the most critical operations. As the granularity at which forecasts are needed increases, traditional statistical time series models may…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Allison Koenecke , Amita Gajewar

Mobile devices with embedded sensors for data collection and environmental sensing create a basis for a cost-effective approach for data trading. For example, these data can be related to pollution and gas emissions, which can be used to…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2020-12-22 Lam Duc Nguyen , Israel Leyva-Mayorga , Amari N. Lewis , Petar Popovski
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