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Bayesian aggregation lets election forecasters combine diverse sources of information, such as state polls and economic and political indicators: as in our collaboration with The Economist magazine. However, the demands of real-time…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-23 Geonhee Han , Andrew Gelman , Aki Vehtari

Metagenomics offers a way to analyze biotopes at the genomic level and to reach functional and taxonomical conclusions. The bio-analyzes of large metagenomic projects face critical limitations: complex metagenomes cannot be assembled and…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2015-11-30 Maillet Nicolas , Collet Guillaume , Vanier Thomas , Lavenier Dominique , Pierre Peterlongo

The analysis of count data is commonly done using Poisson models. Negative binomial models are a straightforward and readily motivated generalization for the case of overdispersed data, i.e., when the observed variance is greater than…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-06 Christian Röver , Stefan Andreas , Tim Friede

Conventional meta analysis of model performance conducted using datasources from different underlying populations often result in estimates that cannot be interpreted in the context of a well defined target population. In this manuscript we…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-23 Jon A. Steingrimsson , Lan Wen , Sarah Voter , Issa J. Dahabreh

We provide an analytical argument for understanding the likely nature of parameter shifts between those coming from an analysis of a dataset and from a subset of that dataset, assuming differences are down to noise and any intrinsic…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-10-28 Steven Gratton , Anthony Challinor

In recent years, many methods have been developed for detecting causal relationships in observational data. Some of them have the potential to tackle large data sets. However, these methods fail to discover a combined cause, i.e. a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2015-10-16 Saisai Ma , Jiuyong Li , Lin Liu , Thuc Duy Le

Simulation studies are commonly used to evaluate the performance of newly developed meta-analysis methods. For methodology that is developed for an aggregated data meta-analysis, researchers often resort to simulation of the aggregated data…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-19 Edwin R. van den Heuvel , Osama Almalik , Zhuozhao Zhan

Process mining enables the reconstruction and evaluation of business processes based on digital traces in IT systems. An increasingly important technique in this context is process prediction. Given a sequence of events of an ongoing trace,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-09 Dominic A. Neu , Johannes Lahann , Peter Fettke

Meta-analysis is a statistical method used in evidence synthesis for combining, analyzing and summarizing studies that have the same target endpoint and aims to derive a pooled quantitative estimate using fixed and random effects models or…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-25 Ivette Raices Cruz , Matthias C. M. Troffaes , Johan Lindström , Ullrika Sahlin

The objective of this paper is to design performance metrics and respective formulas to quantitatively evaluate the achievement of set objectives and expected outcomes both at the course and program levels. Evaluation is defined as one or…

Physics Education · Physics 2015-09-16 Irfan Ahmed , Arif Bhatti

Summary Background Claims made in science papers are coming under increased scrutiny with many claims failing to replicate. Meta-analysis studies that use unreliable observational studies should be in question. We examine the reliability of…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-05 S. Stanley Young , Mithun Kumar Acharjee , Kumer Das

Scientific practice typically involves repeatedly studying a system, each time trying to unravel a different perspective. In each study, the scientist may take measurements under different experimental conditions (interventions,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-03-11 Sofia Triantafillou , Ioannis Tsamardinos

Data analysis requires translating higher level questions and hypotheses into computable statistical models. We present a mixed-methods study aimed at identifying the steps, considerations, and challenges involved in operationalizing…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-04-08 Eunice Jun , Melissa Birchfield , Nicole de Moura , Jeffrey Heer , Rene Just

To investigate intervention effects on rare events, meta-analysis techniques are commonly applied in order to assess the accumulated evidence. When it comes to adverse effects in clinical trials, these are often most adequately handled…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-03 Christian Röver , Qiong Wu , Anja Loos , Tim Friede

With the increasing size of today's data sets, finding the right parameter configuration in model selection via cross-validation can be an extremely time-consuming task. In this paper we propose an improved cross-validation procedure which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-02-05 Tammo Krueger , Danny Panknin , Mikio Braun

Experimental studies are a cornerstone of Machine Learning (ML) research. A common and often implicit assumption is that the study's results will generalize beyond the study itself, e.g., to new data. That is, repeating the same study under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Federico Matteucci , Vadim Arzamasov , Jose Cribeiro-Ramallo , Marco Heyden , Konstantin Ntounas , Klemens Böhm

In the future, competitive advantages will be given to organisations that can extract valuable information from massive data and make better decisions. In most cases, this data comes from multiple sources. Therefore, the challenge is to…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-11 Igor Barahona , Judith Cavazos , Jian-Bo Yang

Computer simulations are an essential pillar of knowledge generation in science. Exploring, understanding, reproducing, and sharing the results of simulations relies on tracking and organizing the metadata describing the numerical…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-06-13 José Villamar , Matthias Kelbling , Heather L. More , Michael Denker , Tom Tetzlaff , Johanna Senk , Stephan Thober

Throughout the different phases of a drug development program, randomized trials are used to establish the tolerability, safety, and efficacy of a candidate drug. At each stage one aims to optimize the design of future studies by…

Applications · Statistics 2021-02-08 Sebastian Weber , Andrew Gelman , Daniel Lee , Michael Betancourt , Aki Vehtari , Amy Racine

Data analysis is a powerful tool in all experimental sciences. Statistical methods, such as sampling theory, computer technologies necessary for handling large amounts of data, skill in analysing information contained in different types of…

Physics Education · Physics 2012-06-20 Vera Montalbano